[分享] 砸錢拚軌道 真的「前瞻」嗎?
前瞻基礎建設計畫如火如荼進行,較受人矚目的不外乎軌道建設,爭議不斷的也是軌道建
設。
政府接連宣布要在基隆、新竹、彰化等地都鋪設輕軌系統,改變大眾運輸模式,進而促成
環境的改善,不可不謂用心良苦。然而,這是植基於當前訊息環境下的規劃,在廿世紀時
,軌道運輸可解決道路壅塞及改善空汙,但在當下,軌道建設是否仍有必要?實需多加斟
酌。
政府措施絕不是立即可見效果,尚待時間的慢燉方得其功,所以規劃時需設定未來十至廿
年的生活願景,規劃方能切中要旨,因此盡量正確預測是政府規劃前的必要功課。
茲以運輸模式為例,十至廿年後的人類生活模式會是什麼呢?大數據已成當前所有議題的
主流,然其應用才是重點,隨著計算工具能力不斷提升、物聯網擴張下,未來生活模式是
否還如現在一樣?不言自明。
在自動化駕駛、電力驅動、共享經濟、互聯網絡下,運輸系統的運作模式將與軌道大抵相
同,而便利乾淨也與軌道系統相似。依這樣的未來運輸方式下,軌道系統是否還有必要,
令人懷疑。
如果政府依據未來生活模式的趨勢,將資源配置於未來的人工智慧、電動車、資訊系統、
物聯等相關的教育及產業上,相信對於我國的產業發展及人民福祉,必有大舉提升之效。
至於該如何預測未來的生活模式?我認為可大量探詢電子科技業的專家與業者,針對技術
發展改變人類生活的可能結果提供意見,再歸納整理出未來國家發展規劃,進而部署資源
於相關計畫上,方能收事半功倍及資源有效的配置。
總之,政府任何措施必須根據未來擘畫,未來沒有人能百分之百掌握,但是仍應窮盡一切
方法探知未來,再形成決策,才可避免資源浪費,希冀政府在使用民脂民膏前能謹慎而行
。
聯合新聞網
https://udn.com/news/story/7339/2405850
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 122.118.106.21
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Railway/M.1492326992.A.1DB.html
→
04/16 15:27, , 1F
04/16 15:27, 1F
→
04/16 15:28, , 2F
04/16 15:28, 2F
推
04/16 15:30, , 3F
04/16 15:30, 3F
推
04/16 15:32, , 4F
04/16 15:32, 4F
噓
04/16 15:34, , 5F
04/16 15:34, 5F
→
04/16 15:34, , 6F
04/16 15:34, 6F
噓
04/16 15:35, , 7F
04/16 15:35, 7F
→
04/16 15:36, , 8F
04/16 15:36, 8F
→
04/16 15:36, , 9F
04/16 15:36, 9F
噓
04/16 16:08, , 10F
04/16 16:08, 10F
推
04/16 22:27, , 11F
04/16 22:27, 11F
→
04/16 22:27, , 12F
04/16 22:27, 12F
→
04/16 22:27, , 13F
04/16 22:27, 13F
推
04/16 22:50, , 14F
04/16 22:50, 14F
→
04/16 23:49, , 15F
04/16 23:49, 15F
→
04/16 23:49, , 16F
04/16 23:49, 16F
→
04/17 00:07, , 17F
04/17 00:07, 17F
推
04/17 00:25, , 18F
04/17 00:25, 18F
推
04/17 00:39, , 19F
04/17 00:39, 19F
→
04/17 00:52, , 20F
04/17 00:52, 20F
→
04/17 00:52, , 21F
04/17 00:52, 21F
推
04/17 01:10, , 22F
04/17 01:10, 22F
噓
04/17 01:30, , 23F
04/17 01:30, 23F
推
04/17 01:32, , 24F
04/17 01:32, 24F
→
04/17 01:32, , 25F
04/17 01:32, 25F
→
04/17 01:32, , 26F
04/17 01:32, 26F
→
04/17 01:33, , 27F
04/17 01:33, 27F
→
04/17 01:36, , 28F
04/17 01:36, 28F
→
04/17 01:39, , 29F
04/17 01:39, 29F
→
04/17 01:40, , 30F
04/17 01:40, 30F
→
04/17 01:40, , 31F
04/17 01:40, 31F
→
04/17 06:39, , 32F
04/17 06:39, 32F
→
04/17 07:16, , 33F
04/17 07:16, 33F
→
04/17 07:45, , 34F
04/17 07:45, 34F
噓
04/17 08:57, , 35F
04/17 08:57, 35F
推
04/17 10:51, , 36F
04/17 10:51, 36F
→
04/17 10:52, , 37F
04/17 10:52, 37F
推
04/17 11:35, , 38F
04/17 11:35, 38F
推
04/17 12:19, , 39F
04/17 12:19, 39F
→
04/17 12:19, , 40F
04/17 12:19, 40F
→
04/17 12:19, , 41F
04/17 12:19, 41F
推
04/17 13:38, , 42F
04/17 13:38, 42F
→
04/17 13:39, , 43F
04/17 13:39, 43F
噓
04/17 13:52, , 44F
04/17 13:52, 44F
→
04/17 13:52, , 45F
04/17 13:52, 45F
→
04/17 13:52, , 46F
04/17 13:52, 46F
推
04/17 14:29, , 47F
04/17 14:29, 47F
→
04/17 14:35, , 48F
04/17 14:35, 48F
→
04/17 14:38, , 49F
04/17 14:38, 49F
→
04/17 14:38, , 50F
04/17 14:38, 50F
推
04/17 14:47, , 51F
04/17 14:47, 51F
→
04/17 14:47, , 52F
04/17 14:47, 52F
→
04/17 14:48, , 53F
04/17 14:48, 53F
→
04/17 14:49, , 54F
04/17 14:49, 54F
→
04/17 14:49, , 55F
04/17 14:49, 55F
→
04/17 14:50, , 56F
04/17 14:50, 56F
推
04/17 18:50, , 57F
04/17 18:50, 57F
→
04/17 18:51, , 58F
04/17 18:51, 58F
→
04/17 18:51, , 59F
04/17 18:51, 59F
→
04/17 18:51, , 60F
04/17 18:51, 60F
→
04/17 18:51, , 61F
04/17 18:51, 61F
→
04/17 18:51, , 62F
04/17 18:51, 62F
推
04/18 01:58, , 63F
04/18 01:58, 63F
→
04/18 01:59, , 64F
04/18 01:59, 64F
→
04/18 01:59, , 65F
04/18 01:59, 65F
→
04/18 02:02, , 66F
04/18 02:02, 66F
→
04/18 02:03, , 67F
04/18 02:03, 67F
→
04/18 02:03, , 68F
04/18 02:03, 68F
→
04/18 02:04, , 69F
04/18 02:04, 69F
→
04/18 02:05, , 70F
04/18 02:05, 70F
→
04/18 02:08, , 71F
04/18 02:08, 71F
推
04/18 13:20, , 72F
04/18 13:20, 72F
→
04/18 18:55, , 73F
04/18 18:55, 73F
推
04/18 19:41, , 74F
04/18 19:41, 74F
→
04/18 19:41, , 75F
04/18 19:41, 75F
→
04/18 19:41, , 76F
04/18 19:41, 76F
→
04/18 19:41, , 77F
04/18 19:41, 77F
→
04/18 19:41, , 78F
04/18 19:41, 78F
→
04/18 19:41, , 79F
04/18 19:41, 79F
→
04/18 19:41, , 80F
04/18 19:41, 80F
→
04/18 19:41, , 81F
04/18 19:41, 81F
→
04/18 19:41, , 82F
04/18 19:41, 82F
推
04/18 23:41, , 83F
04/18 23:41, 83F
→
04/18 23:41, , 84F
04/18 23:41, 84F
推
04/30 07:27, , 85F
04/30 07:27, 85F
討論串 (同標題文章)