[機統] 一直想不透的機率問題!
我從好幾年前就一直在想一個問題
或許這裡的高手可以解惑,因此特來請教
如果我們擲骰子6000次,前5000次都沒有出現2點
從巨觀的角度來看,5001~6000次應該要密集出現2點
才會讓每點都平均出現1/6
但從微觀的角度來看,任何下一次擲骰子,出現2點的機率應該都是1/6
所以不會有將來密集出現2點的事發生
那到底5001~6000次是否應該密集出現2點?
理由又為何呢?
謝謝!
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◆ From: 118.161.34.18
※ 編輯: ntuguy 來自: 118.161.34.18 (09/15 18:57)
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