[討論] 金正恩決心開戰?
葛來儀推特
https://twitter.com/BonnieGlaser/status/1746920356697247769
說這篇文章沒有得到應該有的重視
https://www.38north.org/2024/01/is-kim-jong-un-preparing-for-war/
這篇文章說,大多數人其實誤解過去33年來北朝鮮的國策,
其實北朝鮮是想和美國關係正常化。
而河內會談的失敗對金正恩是一個打擊,讓金正恩重新審視北朝鮮要怎麼做
而促成這幾年北韓國策大轉變。
(不過文章中沒有提到板門店會談的影響就是了)
然後文章中提到相信Deterrence有效可能是致命的
金正恩這回是認真想在某個時間點開戰了
而且一旦開戰會動用到核武?
我是覺得這篇沒有詳細的論述為什麼金正恩認為和美國改善關係絕望,
畢竟和金正恩有點交情的川普也頗有可能重掌白宮
只不過平壤最近的發言確實大大不同了,葛來儀講的也不能說是杞人憂天。
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※ 編輯: chordate (146.70.205.62 日本), 01/20/2024 11:52:30
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