[分享]關於美台軍售武器洩密
看板Military作者cloudskyblue (cloud_skyblue)時間10年前 (2013/10/25 13:49)推噓21(21推 0噓 52→)留言73則, 24人參與討論串1/3 (看更多)
小弟日前看到了一個外籍作家寫的文章, 內容是關於台灣取得阿帕契的消息
好奇翻了一下這個作者的背景後發現, 他是前加拿大情報局的成員
目前在台灣定居, 專門撰寫有關東亞政治/軍事方面的報導
其實小弟一直都對美國在對台軍售中, 究竟多重視洩密這件事情感到好奇
畢竟這幾年來, 台灣的美製武器系統資訊被軍人或是...厄..."其他人"
給拿去中共獻寶的次數已經不是一次兩次了
在好奇心的驅使之下, 就寫了封信問問這個作者的意見, 沒想到他真的回復了
在此跟大家分享, 原文及翻譯如下:
小弟的提問:
Hi xxxx,
I recently came across your post regarding the AH64 sales to Taiwan, and I
became very curious about one thing: given the heavily pro-China stance of
the current president, in addition to the many military espionage cases
convicted by both current and retired Taiwanese military members (some even
high ranking generals), one may expect the US to be very concerned with such
weapons finding their ways to China. Apparently that is not the case, or at
least not so much. I was wondering if you have any idea why this may be?
Thanks, and hope all is well.
中文翻譯
你好, 最近拜讀這位大大關於阿帕契軍售的文章, 讓我對一點有些好奇:
考慮到現任總統的親中立場, 以及近年來層出不窮的投共/軍情洩密案
(有些甚至包括退役或現任將領), 照理說美國應該會在對台軍售上有所保留
但在看到這項軍售案後, 感覺美國似乎又不太重視這件事情?
請問大大對此有何看法?
作者的回信:
Hi there,
Apologies for the late response. Yours is a valid question. In my talks with
U.S. officials who are directly involved in arms sales to Taiwan, I have been
told that all sales are based on the assumption that eventually the
technology could be acquired by an enemy country at some point. In other,
they weigh the pros and cons of transferring advanced military equipment to
an ally. That said, when it comes to attack helicopters, it's pretty obvious
that the Z-9 already has many of the components of the AH-64. The "Echo"
model that Taiwan has procured is pretty much the same platform, except that
some electronics and the fire control system are more advanced; such
technology would usually be "black boxed," meaning that it's nearly
impossible to access the exciting parts.
So is there a risk? Yes. But it's a calculated one, and the PLA putting its
hands on the AH-64E wouldn't be a game changer by any means. Plus, yes,
Taiwan has an espionage problem, and yes, the administration is Ma-friendly,
but it's not as careless about security as the media would sometimes have us
believe.
Hope this answers your questions!
All good wishes,
xxxx
中文翻譯
這是個好問題. 我跟負責對台軍售的美國官員討論過這件事情. 根據他們的說法,
美國在所有對台軍售當中, 都已假設這些武器最後可能會落入中國的手中
就這件軍售案來看, 其實阿帕契的許多部件, 都早就被中國人給摸透
有些甚至跑到了直九的身上. 台灣所買到的AH64E, 除了在某些
電子/火控系統上較為先進之外, 其餘的地方都跟基本款的阿帕契大同小異
而這些較為先進的電子系統, 通通都會被加密到整個"黑盒化"
所以中國人完全掌握這些系統的機率是微乎其微
這項軍售是否有其風險? 答案是肯定的, 但這些都在預期之內
而且AH64E的技術被交到中國人的手上也不是什麼能夠改變大局的事情
是的, 台灣有不可忽視的共諜問題, 但美國政府在這方面並不如外界所想像的無知
xxxx 上
其實答案也跟之前想像的差不多. 也許版上的強者會覺得小弟神經病這也要問
來版上查察就行了, 但我總覺得從專家那裡取得的資訊
也許會比大家討論/猜測來的確實些
希望我翻譯得比洪蘭好 XD
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