Re: [情報] Playoff Odds
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct 7 Day Delta
NYY .575 93.2 68.8 88.9% 8.1% 97.0% -2.4%
TBR .547 87.2 74.8 5.4% 35.7% 41.1% -34.5%
BAL .435 86.4 75.6 5.7% 23.3% 29.0% 18.6%
BOS .536 80.6 81.4 0.2% 5.7% 5.9% 0.0%
TOR .453 75.6 86.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.2%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct 7 Day Delta
CHW .539 89.0 73.0 66.3% 10.4% 76.7% -12.5%
DET .548 87.6 74.4 33.7% 19.9% 53.6% -8.5%
CLE .436 68.0 94.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
MIN .436 66.9 95.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
KCR .431 72.7 89.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct 7 Day Delta
TEX .599 96.3 65.7 92.3% 7.6% 99.9% 0.2%
OAK .518 89.0 73.0 6.2% 62.0% 68.2% 40.1%
LAA .561 86.7 75.3 1.5% 33.0% 34.5% -0.7%
SEA .444 76.6 85.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct 7 Day Delta
WAS .584 98.2 63.8 95.7% 4.3% 100.0% 0.3%
ATL .558 90.9 71.1 4.3% 84.4% 88.7% 5.4%
MIA .425 71.7 90.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NYM .501 77.0 85.0 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
PHI .507 78.3 83.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct 7 Day Delta
CIN .554 97.7 64.3 99.3% 0.4% 99.7% 1.0%
STL .574 88.2 73.8 0.4% 63.7% 64.1% -12.1%
PIT .512 86.4 75.6 0.3% 33.9% 34.2% 15.5%
MIL .524 78.4 83.6 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
CHC .399 63.7 98.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
HOU .356 50.8 111.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct 7 Day Delta
SFG .535 90.7 71.3 88.7% 3.3% 92.0% 8.5%
LAD .529 84.7 77.3 10.1% 8.7% 18.8% -15.9%
ARI .523 81.5 80.5 1.2% 1.2% 2.4% -2.8%
COL .423 66.3 95.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SDP .473 75.4 86.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
幾個值得注意的點如下
˙美東雙雄雙雙烙賽,洋基靠著雄厚的老本,目前依舊是分區冠軍的第一候選
光芒跟半個月前相比季後賽機率掉了14.5%,過去七天更是狂掉34.5%,高居所有球隊
之冠
˙美中兩支領先球隊狀況平平,拜同區其他三支球隊早早退出競爭圈,比起爭奪外卡
努力取得分區冠軍是比較保險的做法
˙美西運動家一路爆衝,過去半個月季後賽機率大增49.8%,過去七天更是狂增40.1%
一舉成為目前美聯外卡最熱門的球隊
˙國東國民成為第一支被視為必定進季後賽的球隊(目前看來也是如此)
勇士近況稱不上多好,所幸緊追在後的幾支球隊近況同樣不佳
讓勇士依舊保持3場勝差,暫時穩住外卡領先
˙國中紅人一路獨走,分區冠軍幾近十拿九穩
紅雀、海盜兩支外卡爭奪球隊近況都不太理想,剩下的比賽得要好好把握
˙國西巨人和半個月前相比,季後賽機率增加了31.5%之多
反倒是先前有大動作的道奇和半個月前相比,衰退了24.2%之多
過去七天更是減少了15.9%國聯之冠
新經營團隊的野望,目前看來有點難以實現
剩下最後一個月了,會再出現大翻盤嗎 - -
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