[情報] Playoff Odds

看板MLB作者 (虎斑街貓˙悼月)時間13年前 (2012/08/16 00:57), 編輯推噓14(1406)
留言20則, 17人參與, 最新討論串2/5 (看更多)
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/ 雙外卡新制實行的第一年,到目前為止的playoff odds~ Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct NYY .581 96.0 66.0 97.1% 2.5% 99.6% TBR .529 86.6 75.4 2.5% 53.1% 55.6% BAL .427 82.3 79.7 0.2% 11.1% 11.3% BOS .536 80.6 81.4 0.2% 5.7% 5.9% TOR .453 75.6 86.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct CHW .548 88.9 73.1 61.2% 22.3% 83.5% DET .546 87.8 74.2 38.7% 32.7% 71.4% CLE .469 74.9 87.1 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% MIN .436 69.9 92.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% KCR .424 69.4 92.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct TEX .586 94.9 67.1 94.0% 5.2% 99.2% LAA .566 86.3 75.7 5.0% 49.8% 54.8% OAK .474 82.9 79.1 1.0% 17.4% 18.4% SEA .446 74.0 88.0 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct WAS .571 97.6 64.4 80.8% 18.6% 99.4% ATL .560 92.7 69.3 19.2% 69.8% 89.0% NYM .506 78.9 83.1 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% PHI .503 76.8 85.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% MIA .412 70.3 91.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct CIN .553 95.9 66.1 89.8% 7.9% 97.7% STL .584 89.6 72.4 8.0% 54.0% 62.0% PIT .507 87.5 74.5 2.2% 33.3% 35.5% CHC .399 64.4 97.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% MIL .513 76.0 86.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% HOU .372 55.4 106.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct SFG .545 88.6 73.4 53.2% 7.3% 60.5% LAD .525 87.1 74.9 36.4% 6.6% 43.0% ARI .539 83.6 78.4 10.4% 2.4% 12.8% COL .425 63.8 98.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% SDP .466 71.9 90.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -- =. .= http://0rz.tw/ad4Js ◣ 時代が進もうと﹑人の根本は何一つ變わらない!惡意が人間の本性だ! -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 114.36.140.141

08/16 01:00, , 1F
這讓我想到去年紅襪XD
08/16 01:00, 1F

08/16 01:00, , 2F
CUB 0.0%
08/16 01:00, 2F

08/16 01:00, , 3F
記得開季的時候PHI不是這樣的
08/16 01:00, 3F

08/16 01:01, , 4F
wc pct是?
08/16 01:01, 4F
※ 編輯: Homura 來自: 114.36.140.141 (08/16 01:03)

08/16 01:02, , 5F
WILD CARD
08/16 01:02, 5F

08/16 01:03, , 6F
99.9
08/16 01:03, 6F

08/16 01:03, , 7F
勝率 和勝負場數對不太起來= =
08/16 01:03, 7F

08/16 01:03, , 8F
金鶯被預測勝率比較低,可是為什麼季後賽機率較紅襪高@@?
08/16 01:03, 8F

08/16 01:09, , 9F
我猜他的expected winning pct 是預測餘下比賽的勝率
08/16 01:09, 9F

08/16 01:11, , 10F
大概類似Pythagorean 由得失分推測之類
08/16 01:11, 10F

08/16 01:11, , 11F
我覺得expected winning%是球季開打前估算的
08/16 01:11, 11F

08/16 01:13, , 12F
不可能 誰球季開打前會給PHI估.503
08/16 01:13, 12F

08/16 01:17, , 13F
BAL 會.427 是因為現在它得分還比失分少..
08/16 01:17, 13F

08/16 01:32, , 14F
有誰有去年9/1的 playoff odds?
08/16 01:32, 14F

08/16 01:47, , 15F
有去年紅襪的前車之鑑之後...
08/16 01:47, 15F

08/16 01:48, , 16F
給樓樓上 #1EW_eYTo這篇下方有部分的
08/16 01:48, 16F

08/16 01:51, , 17F
可以直接教我們怎麼押保證賺嗎?(<--求明牌推文)
08/16 01:51, 17F

08/16 04:28, , 18F
天使補成這樣要是沒進真的很悶XD
08/16 04:28, 18F

08/16 10:06, , 19F
真要說的話 條子沒進才是真的會幹到死...
08/16 10:06, 19F

08/16 10:36, , 20F
去年這時候光芒根本還看不到紅襪的車尾燈~ 差了快十場勝差吧
08/16 10:36, 20F
文章代碼(AID): #1GAzK1Fj (MLB)
討論串 (同標題文章)
文章代碼(AID): #1GAzK1Fj (MLB)