[情報] Playoff Odds

看板MLB作者 (虎斑街貓˙悼月)時間13年前 (2011/06/29 22:06), 編輯推噓23(2306)
留言29則, 23人參與, 最新討論串1/5 (看更多)
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/ Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct BOS .576 95.9 66.1 61.5% 33.5% 95.0% NYY .567 93.9 68.1 36.6% 51.9% 88.5% TBR .510 86.0 76.0 1.9% 11.8% 13.7% BAL .497 76.5 85.5 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% TOR .443 76.3 85.7 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct DET .523 86.5 75.5 65.8% 0.6% 66.4% CWS .498 81.9 80.1 20.0% 0.7% 20.7% CLE .465 80.5 81.5 12.5% 0.6% 13.1% MIN .505 75.7 86.3 1.7% 0.1% 1.8% KCR .397 66.3 95.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct TEX .528 85.3 76.7 72.5% 0.1% 72.6% LAA .459 78.6 83.4 12.6% 0.1% 12.8% OAK .509 78.7 83.3 11.7% 0.1% 11.9% SEA .465 75.4 86.6 3.1% 0.1% 3.2% Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct PHI .556 93.7 68.3 74.7% 17.7% 92.4% ATL .559 89.4 72.6 24.6% 43.2% 67.8% NYM .470 79.4 82.6 0.5% 2.1% 2.6% FLA .515 77.2 84.8 0.1% 0.7% 0.8% WAS .435 76.7 85.3 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct MIL .530 87.8 74.2 55.8% 6.4% 62.2% STL .541 85.7 76.3 28.9% 9.2% 38.1% CIN .526 83.3 78.7 14.2% 5.3% 19.5% PIT .428 76.9 85.1 1.0% 0.4% 1.3% CHC .476 73.2 88.8 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% HOU .406 61.0 101.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct SFG .531 92.0 70.0 88.9% 2.2% 91.1% COL .536 82.4 79.6 6.2% 6.2% 12.4% ARI .465 80.8 81.2 3.1% 3.5% 6.6% LAD .482 79.7 82.3 1.8% 2.5% 4.2% SD .487 73.1 88.9 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% Expected Win Pct - 預期勝率 Sim Win - 模擬勝場數 Sim Loss - 模擬敗場數 Div Pct - 分區冠軍機率 WC Pct - 外卡機率 Playoff Pct - 季後賽機率 有兩隊被認為已經放寒假去了 - - -- =. .= http://0rz.tw/ad4Js ◣ 時代が進もうと﹑人の根本は何一つ變わらない!惡意が人間の本性だ! -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 114.42.118.250

06/29 22:08, , 1F
藍鳥教士不遑多讓
06/29 22:08, 1F

06/29 22:09, , 2F
百年還有0.2%
06/29 22:09, 2F

06/29 22:09, , 3F
馬林魚!
06/29 22:09, 3F

06/29 22:09, , 4F
蛇也被看的太扁了吧...
06/29 22:09, 4F

06/29 22:10, , 5F
國西很難講....
06/29 22:10, 5F

06/29 22:12, , 6F
水手輸運動家...
06/29 22:12, 6F

06/29 22:12, , 7F
太空人和皇家表示:
06/29 22:12, 7F

06/29 22:14, , 8F
Expected Pct. 是根據畢式公式出來的嗎?
06/29 22:14, 8F

06/29 22:15, , 9F
07、08年 Mets 99.9%不知道幾個月了還不是沒進季後賽XD
06/29 22:15, 9F

06/29 22:16, , 10F
季末大崩盤不是常態啊 XD
06/29 22:16, 10F

06/29 22:17, , 11F
軟豆腐與傑曼紐表示:......
06/29 22:17, 11F

06/29 22:19, , 12F
國東前兩名怪怪的...
06/29 22:19, 12F

06/29 22:19, , 13F
Expected Pct.是季前預測 + 球季表現的綜合數據
06/29 22:19, 13F

06/29 22:21, , 14F
了蓋
06/29 22:21, 14F

06/29 22:21, , 15F
國東前兩名 只要考慮"季前"Uggla被預期帶給斧軍的火力,
06/29 22:21, 15F

06/29 22:23, , 16F
以及 Werth 換成 Dom Brown 被預期造成的打擊下修 不離譜
06/29 22:23, 16F

06/29 22:54, , 17F
好奇怪的WC Pct
06/29 22:54, 17F

06/29 23:01, , 18F
HOU&KC XDD
06/29 23:01, 18F

06/29 23:03, , 19F
有沒有原文連結啊?@@
06/29 23:03, 19F

06/29 23:13, , 20F
這個有沒有算錯= = 藍鳥在金鶯之後?
06/29 23:13, 20F

06/29 23:18, , 21F
↑都是0點多% 好像沒啥差= =
06/29 23:18, 21F

06/29 23:25, , 22F
以為0.1%夠慘的了 竟然還有0%的
06/29 23:25, 22F

06/29 23:27, , 23F
Werth換成DoMo應該是沒甚麼差
06/29 23:27, 23F

06/29 23:27, , 24F
馬林魚還有0.8% XD
06/29 23:27, 24F
※ 編輯: Homura 來自: 114.42.118.250 (06/29 23:30)

06/30 01:50, , 25F
小熊今年拿...
06/30 01:50, 25F

06/30 02:27, , 26F
獎學金TT
06/30 02:27, 26F

06/30 02:54, , 27F
去買山羊
06/30 02:54, 27F

06/30 06:39, , 28F
去年成績跟今年來看Werth換成Domo差超多
06/30 06:39, 28F

06/30 06:39, , 29F
何況Domo又把打線左打化了
06/30 06:39, 29F
文章代碼(AID): #1E2p5dVR (MLB)
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文章代碼(AID): #1E2p5dVR (MLB)