[新聞] 滿街都有人喊房市落底 學者專家:言之過早消失
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內文:2017/04/16
滿街都有人喊房市落底 學者專家:言之過早
#房價 #讓利 #降價 #觀望 #莊孟翰 #顏炳立
好房網News記者羅力元/整理報導
今年第一季六都買賣移轉棟數年增41%,不少媒體、建商喊出房市落底,一時之間好像春
燕真的到了,學者認為,房市不可能這麼快就落底,就算真的落底,之後還有段相當長的
盤整期。
學者認為,房市不可能這麼快就落底。(圖/好房網News記者陳韋帆攝)
新北房市情境照。(好房網News記者 陳韋帆/攝影)
淡江大學產業經濟系副教授莊孟翰在最新一期《理財周刊》撰文指出,針對房市落底的說
法,其實言之過早,他認為,建商主軸還是去化餘屋,就算真的落底了,台灣整體房地產
市場也還有一段相當長的盤整期。
莊孟翰認為,由於現階段景氣尚未觸底,許多建案都願意「讓利」、降價求售,即使有心
購屋、換屋的人,其實也並不急於一時,造成市場供給明顯供過於求。加上稅制結構、薪
資所得、人口老化、升息預期等大環境因素,未來建商是否持續「讓利」,才是房價止跌
與景氣轉折重要關鍵。
針對房市前景,戴德梁行總經理顏炳立也認為離落底還早的很,他指出房地產成交量沒有
越過30萬棟,就是緩跌,許多建商說落底,但與過去量來比較,只是下跌裡的反彈,這是
「冬天的市場,偶見陽光,不要以為夏天到了。」
《好房網》總編輯楊欽亮認為,最好是理性看待近期房地產市場的變化,畢竟台灣房市走
了這麼多年的大多頭,跌個幾年甚至更久,「不僅合情合理還有益健康。」
連結:
https://news.housefun.com.tw/news/article/520831159367.html
其他:
相信專家! 相信學者!
尤其是57台,大家一定要一起堅持不看、不買,
拒絕黑心房仲話術,
Ptt 大師年收500也是看空20年,
堅持下去房子就是你的!
--
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※ 編輯: dragontwo (115.43.125.91), 04/16/2017 08:33:32
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