Re: [轉錄][情報] 紅襪出到142M/7年簽Crawford

看板RedSox作者Demarcho (Mind Review)時間13年前 (2010/12/10 10:30)推噓16(16推 0噓 9→)

留言25則, 13人參與討論串11/11 (看更多)

官網新聞 http://goo.gl/sWJ5B 節錄Epstein談到的重點 The ages of Gonzalez and Crawford were huge factors. "I don't think there's a bright line with age, per se, but getting players in their primes -- or in the early parts of their primes -- is really important," Epstein said. "If you're going to sign a long-term contract, you want to make sure it at least starts at the right age and ends at a reasonable age. Most elite position players sign through age 36. If you can get a player signed through 35 -- I know it sounds silly, but that might be a victory in and of itself, capturing more of a player's prime years from 29 to 35. "If it's the right player and you expect him to age well, it can be a more tolerable risk than signing a player who's already into his 30s and you go into the late 30s. If you look at the history of big long-term contracts, just narrowing it to position players, most of the ones that in hindsight can truly be deemed mistakes are ones that captured years in the late 30s or mid-to-late 30s. If you focus more on the prime years, you give yourself a much better chance to get the kind of return on investment that you're looking for." Because Crawford's speed is such a big part of his game, it's fair to wonder when he might lose a step or two. But that's another aspect the Red Sox did their fair amount of research on. "Historically, [Red Sox advisor and renowned stats guru] Bill James did a lot of work on that," Epstein said. "Players with young-player skills tend to age better than players with old-player skills. Speed is certainly a young-player skill. It's proven out over time, but each player is unique with his aging pattern." -- "飛鳥同學太可愛了，每次看到飛鳥同學，就忍不住想去保護你" by 都塚涼 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 115.80.116.202

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