Re: [情報] Giants, Posey Reach Agreement On Exten
http://ppt.cc/Xcz7
在Andrus簽完約之後Rob Neyer寫了這篇文章
" If there’s one thing we know, it’s that baseball financial trends don’t
trend forever. My gut says that we’re currently in a transition period, with
an edge going to smart teams with some flexibility. My gut also says it’s
almost impossible to predict what things will look like five or 10 years from
now. I mean, the Yankees and the Dodgers and the Red Sox have to spend their
money somewhere, right? If they can’t spend their money on free agents or
amateurs, where will they spend it?"
他也認為我們正在目睹一種趨勢的轉變，如果大家開始不在FA上砸錢了，那本來他們
該花的錢還是得花，會花去哪裡呢？
我想到的上個月Trout的經紀人出來開砲天使只多給一咪咪錢的事情
我覺得很可惜好像多數人只覺得「啊這就是規矩，不然你想怎樣？」
在這樣講之前不妨先想想，為什麼被壓榨三到六年就是規矩，就不能改變？
Mark Prior、Kerry Wood、Sizemore從來沒有拿到符合他們表現的薪水
Trout如果只威個兩年就走上Sizemore的老路他大概也永遠拿不到
MLB現在的薪水系統其實根本是壓榨年輕球員拿去餵給老兵
FA普遍會被overpaid，年輕球員普遍被underpaid，這個制度真的公平嗎？
如果球團開始認識到花大錢簽FA的投報率很低，事實上FA最有效率的方式
是簽角色球員或者樂透老兵，然後把錢都花在綁新秀上面，可能的發展會是什麼呢？
從球員之間貢獻／報酬的角度講可能變得更公平了
新秀有好表現也可以提前拿到接近原本FA的價碼
上到FA的球員越來越少人願意競標，也越來越少人會被overpaid
如果新秀25~33這段黃金時期都被綁住，等到他的合約結束大概也拿不到什麼大約了
我覺得一個嚴重的結果可能是會影響選秀
光芒無論如何是無力綁Price的，Price如果長在天使長在條子現在可能已經有
千萬身價了，會不會造成新秀比較不願意去小市場球隊呢？
這其實是一個很有趣的球團跟球團間、球員跟經紀人間的賽局
可以來討論一下
--
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