[討論]真實民調顯示柯always領先賴6個百分點
excel叫出趨勢線
發現畫出三條平行線
三條平行線永遠不會交叉
這代表三個人的選戰模式根本沒有改變過
而大家對每個候選人的既定印象早就在那邊了
我認為選民早已固化了
只是沒有人發現到這個重要的趨勢
綠很貪很色沒差死忠照挺
藍侯選人沒有侯侯做代誌出來選總統沒差深藍照挺
白的高很爛沒差年輕人跟期望換人做做看的照挺
沒有一個陣營改變它的主軸跟打法
綠一樣不受訪派側翼攻擊
藍一樣每天罵綠談整合
白一樣天天講目標跟著罵綠
沒有一個人的選戰方法有打出根本性的改變!
另外就是說郭出來
三個陣營的遊離票都被吸走一些了
這些人最大的共通點是認為
郭是商人能拼經濟
郭很有錢不會被財團綁架
但是郭自己都不能保證會參選到底了
接下來最重要的是萬一郭真的退選的那一周
民調會怎麼樣歸隊才是最可怕的
因為根本無法預測
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 122.116.228.113 (臺灣)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/HatePolitics/M.1694707775.A.08F.html
推
09/15 00:10,
8月前
, 1F
09/15 00:10, 1F
推
09/15 00:10,
8月前
, 2F
09/15 00:10, 2F
推
09/15 00:11,
8月前
, 3F
09/15 00:11, 3F
推
09/15 00:11,
8月前
, 4F
09/15 00:11, 4F
推
09/15 00:11,
8月前
, 5F
09/15 00:11, 5F
→
09/15 00:11,
8月前
, 6F
09/15 00:11, 6F
→
09/15 00:12,
8月前
, 7F
09/15 00:12, 7F
→
09/15 00:12,
8月前
, 8F
09/15 00:12, 8F
→
09/15 00:13,
8月前
, 9F
09/15 00:13, 9F
→
09/15 00:13,
8月前
, 10F
09/15 00:13, 10F
→
09/15 00:13,
8月前
, 11F
09/15 00:13, 11F
推
09/15 00:14,
8月前
, 12F
09/15 00:14, 12F
推
09/15 00:16,
8月前
, 13F
09/15 00:16, 13F
→
09/15 00:16,
8月前
, 14F
09/15 00:16, 14F
推
09/15 00:17,
8月前
, 15F
09/15 00:17, 15F
→
09/15 00:17,
8月前
, 16F
09/15 00:17, 16F
推
09/15 00:18,
8月前
, 17F
09/15 00:18, 17F
→
09/15 00:19,
8月前
, 18F
09/15 00:19, 18F
→
09/15 00:19,
8月前
, 19F
09/15 00:19, 19F
→
09/15 00:19,
8月前
, 20F
09/15 00:19, 20F
推
09/15 00:20,
8月前
, 21F
09/15 00:20, 21F
推
09/15 00:21,
8月前
, 22F
09/15 00:21, 22F
推
09/15 00:24,
8月前
, 23F
09/15 00:24, 23F
推
09/15 00:27,
8月前
, 24F
09/15 00:27, 24F
→
09/15 00:28,
8月前
, 25F
09/15 00:28, 25F
→
09/15 00:28,
8月前
, 26F
09/15 00:28, 26F
→
09/15 00:29,
8月前
, 27F
09/15 00:29, 27F
推
09/15 00:31,
8月前
, 28F
09/15 00:31, 28F
推
09/15 00:31,
8月前
, 29F
09/15 00:31, 29F
推
09/15 00:34,
8月前
, 30F
09/15 00:34, 30F
→
09/15 00:39,
8月前
, 31F
09/15 00:39, 31F
→
09/15 00:39,
8月前
, 32F
09/15 00:39, 32F
推
09/15 00:45,
8月前
, 33F
09/15 00:45, 33F
推
09/15 00:48,
8月前
, 34F
09/15 00:48, 34F
噓
09/15 00:51,
8月前
, 35F
09/15 00:51, 35F
→
09/15 00:53,
8月前
, 36F
09/15 00:53, 36F
→
09/15 01:06,
8月前
, 37F
09/15 01:06, 37F
→
09/15 01:06,
8月前
, 38F
09/15 01:06, 38F
→
09/15 01:06,
8月前
, 39F
09/15 01:06, 39F
推
09/15 01:20,
8月前
, 40F
09/15 01:20, 40F
→
09/15 01:52,
8月前
, 41F
09/15 01:52, 41F
→
09/15 01:54,
8月前
, 42F
09/15 01:54, 42F
噓
09/15 02:00,
8月前
, 43F
09/15 02:00, 43F
→
09/15 05:14,
8月前
, 44F
09/15 05:14, 44F
推
09/15 06:37,
8月前
, 45F
09/15 06:37, 45F
→
09/15 06:53,
8月前
, 46F
09/15 06:53, 46F
噓
09/15 08:14,
8月前
, 47F
09/15 08:14, 47F
推
09/15 09:00,
8月前
, 48F
09/15 09:00, 48F
→
09/15 10:53,
8月前
, 49F
09/15 10:53, 49F
噓
09/15 11:21,
8月前
, 50F
09/15 11:21, 50F
→
09/15 13:14,
8月前
, 51F
09/15 13:14, 51F