[新聞] 台灣智庫:年輕人投票率74.5% 補刀終結國民黨消失
1.新聞網址:
http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/1579950
2.新聞來源︰
ltn
3.新聞內容︰
台灣智庫:年輕人投票率74.5% 補刀終結國民黨
[記者陳鈺馥/台北報導]2016總統、立委選舉落幕,台灣智庫在選後針對選民投票行為
進行民調,調查結果發現,投票率雖是10年來最低,但年輕人投票率高達74.5%,泛藍支
持者則有19.4%未去投票;其中年齡20歲至39歲選民,票投朱王配僅1成,有超過5成投給
英仁配,年輕人投票補刀,造成朱立倫大敗。
根據台灣智庫民調資料,20歲至29歲年輕人有74.5%有去投票,投給蔡英文和陳建仁占
54.2%,僅6.4%投給朱王配,宋瑩配則獲10.4%;30歲至39歲,票投蔡英文也達55.5%,投
給朱立倫僅有5.0%。
投票行為的交叉分析也顯示,20歲至29歲有42.4%投給民進黨區域立委,投國民黨區域立
委為13.5%;而總統票投朱立倫者,有11.1%區域立委是投給民進黨的候選人,產生分裂投
票現象。
台灣智庫副執行長賴怡忠分析區域立委、政黨票投票行為,發現政黨票投給時代力量的選
民中,有16.0%選民,在區域立委投給國民黨候選人,顯示時代力量也吸收了泛藍支持者
。
在政黨傾向方面, 有35.6%民眾認為自己理念與民進黨相近,19.4%選民支持時代力量,
超越國民黨11.7%、 親民黨6.1%、新黨1.6%、台聯1.5%,東吳大學政治系教授徐永明認為
,時代力量有機會取代國民黨,在未來成為台灣第二大黨。
該民調由台灣智庫國會政策中心委託趨勢民意調查公司進行,於2016年1月17至18日平日
18時30分至23時執行調查。調查對象為全國滿20歲民眾,以全國家戶電話資料庫為抽樣母
體,採分層比例隨機抽樣方式;有效樣本數為1089份,信心水準95%下,抽樣誤差為正負
3.0百分點。
4.附註︰
看來國民黨末日將至,若不改革,將來世代交替下去泛藍支持率只會越來越低,
時代力量政黨能吸到區域投藍的是個有趣的重點,立委投藍總統投蔡的也頗有趣,
接下來幾年就看時代力量能不能茁壯、不要泡沫吧。
--
The only purpose for which power can be rightfully exercised over any member
of a civilized community, against his will, is to prevent harm to others. His
own good, either physical or moral, is not a sufficient warrant.
~ On Liberty, John Stuart Mill
--
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話不能這麼說,你去看南部縣市的泛綠得票也是比之前低。
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你去看泛綠票倉的泛綠得票數,確實也較低,雖然800萬是太唬爛了沒錯。
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※ 編輯: jimmy5680 (118.168.0.6), 01/21/2016 13:22:23
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