[分享] 林哲瑄 The Taiwanese God Of Walks已回收
2010年美國人幫他寫的一篇專文
文中除了提到他的選球之外
防守.打擊.揮棒 都有分析
面相很廣的一篇文章
有興趣的可以翻一下
(目前林哲瑄33次BB中職第一 IsoD 0.112也是第一 ,CPBL打席夠多的僅有他超過0.1)
-------------
http://www.overthemonster.com/2010/10/1/1637427/the-taiwanese-god-of-walks
The Taiwanese God Of Walks
By radiohix @Radiohix on Oct 1, 2010, 5:20p 22
Lately the name of Che-Hsuan Lin has been been discussed a lot in the comments
boards with different opinions and I thought, as the self proclaimed President
of Lin's Fan Club, I need to write a lengthy post (again) about him, I'll try
to be neutral during that analysis, mixing in numbers and scouting reports.
First of all, let's try to get a picture of what the skills set is, starting
with the approach at the plate:
Year Age League League Average Age BB% K%
2007 18 GCL-NYPL - 8.7% 20.8%
2008 19 SAL (Low A) 21.6 10.4% 14.9%
2009 20 CL (High A) 22.8 11.7% 13.4%
2010 21 EL (AA) 24.3 13.3% 11.6%
Maintaining your strengths against a better competition is good, improving
those strengths make you special! Let's crunch some numbers
Eastern League OBP Leaderboard (Minimum 400 PA)
1. Tagg Bozied .402
2. Darin Mastroianni .390
3. Che-Hsuan Lin .386
4. Ray Chang .384
5. Nate Spears .380
I don't know about you but this is pretty impressive to me especially when
you consider that Tagg Bozied is 30 years old, that Mastroianni is 24,
Chang's 26 and Spears is 25. He's the youngest player in the Top 20 (The 2nd
youngest is New Britain's OF Ben Revere who's 22). With 72 BBs, he ranks
also 3th in the EL, trailing Mastroianni and teammate Nate Spears (25 years
old). He's also the only hitters of all those I mentioned to have a 1+ BB/K,
how he does it?
"Lin knows the strike zone well and rarely chases bad pitches. Very good at
working himself into hitter's counts. Doesn't get himself out and has no
problem taking a close pitch. His batting eye is right up there with Kalish.
Lin has the bat control to spoil pitches and makes pitchers consistently
throw him strikes to get him out."
Chris Mellen at SoxProspects.com
I also need to mention that 57.1% of Lin's strikeouts are from the K looking
category. So there you have it: His skill set at the batter box is centered
around patience and high contact rate...and he kept improving those skills!!
Let's talk about the defense and the arm and who's better than close freind
and former teamate Ryan Kalish to give us a scouting report?
"He is unbelievable," said Sea Dogs outfielder Ryan Kalish, who has played
with Lin the past two years in Class A. "If it's a nice, easy, routine ball,
he makes it look so smooth.
"If someone is running on him, that's when it's fun. Then you get to see his
arm, which is unlike anything you've ever seen."
Lin has been voted:
The best defensive OF in the Sox system this off season by Baseball America.
The best defensive OF in the Eastern League in Baseball America tools survey,
The Minor Leagues defensive player of the year award (his 2nd in the last 3
years)*
*The fact that the Sox FO gave the award to Che-Hsuan this year is pretty
important IMO and here's why: Our OF prospects start playing with the same
defensive OF alignement as the big club when they reach AA, rewarding CHL
with a second award as the best densive player in the Farm system is a hint
that they are confident that he can play the position at the ML level,
or maybe this is just me trying to read too hard between the lines!
Those awards are given using inputs from scouts and managers (For the first 2)
and minor league instructors (for the 3rd) but even advanced stats loves his
work with the leather too as TotalZone (the only advanced MiL defensive
metric at our disposal) rated his defense as a +12 runs for last year.
On a personnal level, I listen to Portland radio cast at least 4 times a week
and I can tell you that the words "smooth", "He makes it look so easy" were
mentioned regulary by Mike Antonellis when a ball was hit his way
“Centerfielder Che-Hsuan Lin was recognized as the "Best Defensive Outfielde
r"in the poll. Lin, 21, has a strong arm and a knack for getting great jumps
on balls out to the outfield. The native of Hwa-Lian, Taiwan has made just
three errors in 107 games this season for a .990 fielding percentage.”
Inside The Clubhouse with Mike Antonellis
“Defensively, he showed his range on a couple of balls hit his way that were
more difficult plays than he made look.”
Chris Mellen scouting report
“The instincts and the jumps in the outfield go beyond his raw speed,"
said Hazen. "I mean, he's off and running when that ball's hit. I think
when you watch these games, he'll probably have a chance to make a coupe
of circus-style catches and show you what we're talking about."
Sox Farm Director Mike Hazen
Basically, he plays defense like Drew...at a more demanding OF position.
Let's talk about that arm a little bit so here's Ryan Kalish again:
”Various minor-league scouting reports, including Baseball America,
consistently have judged the arm of Ryan Kalish to be average. Kalish has one
idea why that might be.
"To be honest, I’ve been with Che-Hsuan Lin for a while," said Kalish,
referencing the Double-A outfielder widely believed to have the best throwing
arm in the organization. "Having him out there downplays everything else.
He’s so spectacular. … It gets really overshadowed by an arm like that
because he’s so special."“
Last year he led Carolina League outfielders with 18 assists and an
infielder-like 7 double plays and this year, it's business as usual as he led
all CFers in the Eastern League with 14 OF assists and 3 DPs and came 2nd in
OF assists among OFers with 15 assists :'(
Now let's talk about the hitting part of Lin's game:
Year IsoP LD%
2007 .091 12.7%
2008 .111 14%
2009 .101 22.1%
2010 .068 18.5%
So... um...yeah Power is not part of his game...yet:
-He has the patience and the pitch recognition (Elite BB rate)
-He has the bat speed and the contact skills
(Very low K rate and even lower swinging K rate)
-He's a spectaculary gifted athlete:
“Che-Hsuan Lin would have played linebacker in high school if he grew up in
Walpole instead of Hualien, Taiwan. He’s an impressive looking athlete. They
had the players pulling sleds with weights on them today and he was
effortlessly sprinting.”
Peter Abraham after seeing Lin in the Annual Development Rookies Camp
-He has a terrific make up:
“Lin, like any minor-league hitters, has had his ups and downs. But when Lin
has had his ups and downs, even an 0-for-4 game or two, he’s had a tendency
to go straight to the cage and the film room to try to fix the flaw that cost
him the hits he expected.”
This my freinds is what I call a solid foundation: When he came to the system,
CHL was a raw athlete with a lot of moving parts in his swinging mechanics,
those flaws were mostly exposed by opposing pitchers off speed stuff. He
worked on them and his swing now is very different from where he used to be:
“Everything looks pretty good mechanically and he is a lot more quiet in the
box than he was when he entered the system. Lin looks like he still needs to
be more consistent with keeping his hands back as he commits and using his
quick wrists to do the rest. There isn't much lower body in his swing right
now as he is mostly upper body. That, to me, is the area of improvement as
to how his power is going develop, mostly consistently driving line drives
into gaps to produce extra base hits.”
Chris Mellen
I, for one, prefer reading a scouting report about a prospect in which it's
written; "He needs to use his lower body when swinging" or "needs to be more
agressive in hitter counts" than reading one saying "has tremendous power
potential but needs to work on his pitch recognition" or "needs to be more
selective at the plate": It's easier to fix the first flaws then the 2nd ones,
don't you think? And you know what? This is what happening with Che-Hsuan as
he's been tweaking with his stance.
On July 22nd Mellen has this observation:
“Lin has opened up his stance slightly and has his back elbow a little bit
higher. Looks like he has made some adjustments at the plate.”
And the results are showing up: Since July 1st, Lin has 245 PA, his line is
.303/.416/.395
BB%: 13.9%
K%: 10.2%
LD%: 21.6%
I'll leave with that quote of Mike Hazen:
“It’s probably a little more of a line drive stroke right now. He’s got
plenty of power to hit home runs right now. It’s just hasn’t translated
yet," said Hazen. "We do think in time [it will come]. And obviously with
impact defense and the chance to get on base, that’s an extremely
interesting package."
He fields like Drew, Walks like Youk, Throws like Beltre and I can't wait
till he starts hitting like Pedroia!
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 42.72.163.179
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Baseball/M.1468328313.A.7D3.html
※ 編輯: chemikelvin (42.72.163.179), 07/12/2016 20:58:58
推
07/12 20:59, , 1F
07/12 20:59, 1F
推
07/12 20:59, , 2F
07/12 20:59, 2F
推
07/12 20:59, , 3F
07/12 20:59, 3F
推
07/12 21:00, , 4F
07/12 21:00, 4F
※ 編輯: chemikelvin (42.72.163.179), 07/12/2016 21:01:16
推
07/12 21:01, , 5F
07/12 21:01, 5F
推
07/12 21:01, , 6F
07/12 21:01, 6F
推
07/12 21:01, , 7F
07/12 21:01, 7F
噓
07/12 21:01, , 8F
07/12 21:01, 8F
推
07/12 21:01, , 9F
07/12 21:01, 9F
推
07/12 21:01, , 10F
07/12 21:01, 10F
推
07/12 21:02, , 11F
07/12 21:02, 11F
→
07/12 21:03, , 12F
07/12 21:03, 12F
推
07/12 21:03, , 13F
07/12 21:03, 13F
推
07/12 21:03, , 14F
07/12 21:03, 14F
→
07/12 21:03, , 15F
07/12 21:03, 15F
推
07/12 21:04, , 16F
07/12 21:04, 16F
噓
07/12 21:05, , 17F
07/12 21:05, 17F
推
07/12 21:05, , 18F
07/12 21:05, 18F
→
07/12 21:05, , 19F
07/12 21:05, 19F
推
07/12 21:05, , 20F
07/12 21:05, 20F
推
07/12 21:06, , 21F
07/12 21:06, 21F
推
07/12 21:06, , 22F
07/12 21:06, 22F
→
07/12 21:07, , 23F
07/12 21:07, 23F
推
07/12 21:07, , 24F
07/12 21:07, 24F
推
07/12 21:07, , 25F
07/12 21:07, 25F
推
07/12 21:07, , 26F
07/12 21:07, 26F
推
07/12 21:11, , 27F
07/12 21:11, 27F
推
07/12 21:11, , 28F
07/12 21:11, 28F
→
07/12 21:13, , 29F
07/12 21:13, 29F
推
07/12 21:14, , 30F
07/12 21:14, 30F
推
07/12 21:15, , 31F
07/12 21:15, 31F
→
07/12 21:16, , 32F
07/12 21:16, 32F
推
07/12 21:17, , 33F
07/12 21:17, 33F
推
07/12 21:22, , 34F
07/12 21:22, 34F
推
07/12 21:24, , 35F
07/12 21:24, 35F
推
07/12 21:25, , 36F
07/12 21:25, 36F
推
07/12 21:30, , 37F
07/12 21:30, 37F
推
07/12 21:30, , 38F
07/12 21:30, 38F
推
07/12 21:38, , 39F
07/12 21:38, 39F
噓
07/12 21:44, , 40F
07/12 21:44, 40F
推
07/12 21:49, , 41F
07/12 21:49, 41F
噓
07/12 21:52, , 42F
07/12 21:52, 42F
噓
07/12 22:00, , 43F
07/12 22:00, 43F
推
07/12 22:05, , 44F
07/12 22:05, 44F
→
07/12 22:06, , 45F
07/12 22:06, 45F
推
07/12 22:07, , 46F
07/12 22:07, 46F
推
07/12 22:10, , 47F
07/12 22:10, 47F
推
07/12 22:23, , 48F
07/12 22:23, 48F
推
07/12 22:33, , 49F
07/12 22:33, 49F
推
07/12 22:58, , 50F
07/12 22:58, 50F
推
07/12 23:03, , 51F
07/12 23:03, 51F
噓
07/13 00:02, , 52F
07/13 00:02, 52F
推
07/13 04:28, , 53F
07/13 04:28, 53F
推
07/13 15:39, , 54F
07/13 15:39, 54F
推
07/13 20:31, , 55F
07/13 20:31, 55F
討論串 (同標題文章)
以下文章回應了本文：
完整討論串 (本文為第 1 之 3 篇)：