[情報] 93W TCFA <熱帶氣旋警報>

看板TY_Research作者 (深奧幽玄)時間5年前 (2018/09/26 09:26), 編輯推噓13(13推 0噓 6→)
留言19則, 15人參與, 5年前最新討論串2/2 (看更多)
JTWC 93W TCFA http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9318.gif
▲ 今年的日本似乎快成了颱風必去的觀光景點。 原文如下：[ http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9318web.txt ] ============================================================================== WTPN21 PGTW 251430 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 24.6N 154.7E TO 30.6N 149.4E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 250912Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 154.2E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 157.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 154.2E, APPROXIMATELY 705 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 251044Z MHS METOP-B 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICT CURVED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT ASCAT PASS REVEALS 20-25 KNOT WINDS IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-31 CELSIUS) IN THE SURROUNDING AREA REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON A POLEWARD TRAJECTORY. GFS AND EUROPEAN MODELS INDICATE A SHORT LIVED SYSTEM, TRANSITIONING TO EXTRATROPICAL IN 48-60 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 261430Z.// NNNN ============================================================================== ◇ 網址： http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 120.101.192.248 ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/TY_Research/M.1537925183.A.E63.html
推
09/26 09:56, 5年前 , 1F
EC12z這報出現巴海共伴，顯示路徑不確定因素仍大
09/26 09:56, 1F
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09/26 10:03, 5年前 , 2F
看會不會跟潭美一起關西二連發
09/26 10:03, 2F
推
09/26 10:04, 5年前 , 3F
每個颱風都去日本？
09/26 10:04, 3F
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09/26 10:04, 5年前 , 4F
日本也滿慘的
09/26 10:04, 4F
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09/26 10:06, 5年前 , 5F
沒有每個吧
09/26 10:06, 5F
推
09/26 10:07, 5年前 , 6F
我知道沒有每個啊，只是怎麼新系統就說會去日本
09/26 10:07, 6F
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09/26 10:18, 5年前 , 7F
我10連假要去關西啊~~不要這樣~~
09/26 10:18, 7F
推
09/26 10:23, 5年前 , 8F
原來是93w 我看錯了，巴海是新系統
09/26 10:23, 8F
推
09/26 10:28, 5年前 , 9F
今年的颱風都好愛去日本跟中國
09/26 10:28, 9F
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09/26 10:36, 5年前 , 10F
94w編號
09/26 10:36, 10F
推
09/26 10:55, 5年前 , 11F
這顆是不是對陸地影響不大
09/26 10:55, 11F
推
09/26 11:59, 5年前 , 12F
希望這隻後面不要有颱風了，雙十要去日本啊
09/26 11:59, 12F
推
09/26 12:22, 5年前 , 13F
這個季節的颱風很容易就往日本去了
09/26 12:22, 13F
推
09/26 12:48, 5年前 , 14F
不期不待了..
09/26 12:48, 14F
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09/26 17:21, 5年前 , 15F
JTWC 29W了，但會向北至東北偏北走，對陸地沒影響
09/26 17:21, 15F
推
09/26 17:22, 5年前 , 16F
話說29W是不是Olivia的殘餘？
09/26 17:22, 16F
推
09/26 17:43, 5年前 , 17F
覺得是Olivia的殘餘 加1
09/26 17:43, 17F
推
09/26 18:58, 5年前 , 18F
今年日本 中國颱風真多
09/26 18:58, 18F
推
09/26 19:02, 5年前 , 19F
如果是Olivia的殘渣那也太長壽，陰魂不散XD
09/26 19:02, 19F
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文章代碼(AID): #1Rgk0_vZ (TY_Research)