[情報] 90W TCFA

看板TY_Research作者 (花花)時間9年前 (2014/10/02 13:48), 9年前編輯推噓23(25推 2噓 27→)
留言54則, 22人參與, 最新討論串8/11 (看更多)
圖: http://ppt.cc/ZlrV --- WTPN21 PGTW 020300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5.2N 165.2E TO 9.1N 159.4E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 020000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.0N 163.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.6N 165.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N 163.7E, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM EAST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING AND PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 012230Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE ADDITIONALLY SHOWS DEEP FORMATIVE BANDING BUILDING ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN FLANK. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY EXCELLENT OUTFLOW AND LOW TO MODERATE (5 TO 10 KNOTS) OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS A POINT SOURCE REMAINS PERSISTENT OVER THE LLCC. ADDITIONALLY, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. DUE TO INCREASED CONSOLIDATION AND AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 030300Z.// NNNN -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 140.112.67.242 ※ 文章網址: http://www.ptt.cc/bbs/TY_Research/M.1412228923.A.312.html ※ 編輯: jasonccr (140.112.67.242), 10/02/2014 13:54:57
推
10/02 14:07, , 1F
史上第一個low的TCFA？
10/02 14:07, 1F
推
10/02 14:58, , 2F
這隻有夠遠
10/02 14:58, 2F
推
10/02 16:05, , 3F
昨天注意到的時候覺得老J還沒發TCFA有點奇怪
10/02 16:05, 3F
→
10/02 16:06, , 4F
今天果然發了 但是不是EC和GSF預測巴逢後的那隻
10/02 16:06, 4F
→
10/02 16:07, , 5F
我覺得有待觀察 因為數值起始點緯度好像沒這麼低？
10/02 16:07, 5F
推
10/02 16:09, , 6F
而且90W之後是不是還有一隻...？
10/02 16:09, 6F
推
10/02 16:12, , 7F
希望後面兩隻能給南台灣一點水…
10/02 16:12, 7F
推
10/02 16:37, , 8F
一顆還比一顆遠
10/02 16:37, 8F
推
10/02 16:44, , 9F
轉轉轉 哩轉
10/02 16:44, 9F
推
10/02 18:53, , 10F
這隻未來的路徑可以觀察
10/02 18:53, 10F
推
10/02 19:02, , 11F
快變強颱來臺灣 讓大家放兩天小確辛的假好嗎^_^
10/02 19:02, 11F
推
10/02 19:34, , 12F
不要挑雙十連假來啊！和朋友出去玩都安排好了
10/02 19:34, 12F
推
10/02 21:17, , 13F
想放假麻煩自行請假或離職，強颱襲台不叫確幸。
10/02 21:17, 13F
推
10/02 21:43, , 14F
周周有颱風^.^ 個個不來台= =
10/02 21:43, 14F
→
10/02 23:18, , 15F
麻煩來個可以補水庫又沒有災情的颱風
10/02 23:18, 15F
推
10/02 23:40, , 16F
160E要來台灣的30年內手只投數的出來 這支不來概率
10/02 23:40, 16F
→
10/02 23:40, , 17F
較大
10/02 23:40, 17F
推
10/02 23:42, , 18F
遠洋颱風本來來台機率就不太高 這隻一樣先88 不送
10/02 23:42, 18F
→
10/02 23:43, , 19F
今年颱風季前說到今年有聖嬰年傾向 遠洋颱就不用
10/02 23:43, 19F
→
10/02 23:43, , 20F
太關注是否會來台 日本貨機率高很多 請參考2002
10/02 23:43, 20F
→
10/02 23:44, , 21F
2002年聖嬰現象比較明顯 當年遠洋走日本或者轉東北
10/02 23:44, 21F
→
10/02 23:44, , 22F
幾乎大多數 1997也類似 今年有兩個已經算不錯了
10/02 23:44, 22F
→
10/02 23:45, , 23F
現在需要關注的還是近洋的狀況 看是否有颱風生成
10/02 23:45, 23F
→
10/02 23:45, , 24F
菲東海面的颱風如果有形成比較需要注意
10/02 23:45, 24F
→
10/02 23:46, , 25F
另外這季節已經秋天了 颱風對東跟北部影響較大
10/02 23:46, 25F
→
10/02 23:47, , 26F
即使再有颱風來襲 也不能保證南部的雨會有多大進帳
10/02 23:47, 26F
→
10/02 23:47, , 27F
現在還是做好存水準備會比較實在 靠天不如靠自己
10/02 23:47, 27F
噓
10/03 02:35, , 28F
我討厭看大寫
10/03 02:35, 28F
推
10/03 02:39, , 29F
樓上無知就不要自曝其短了，大寫是配合航海用電報
10/03 02:39, 29F
→
10/03 02:40, , 30F
（JTWC是為了海軍而預警），討厭大寫你就自己發一篇
10/03 02:40, 30F
→
10/03 02:41, , 31F
TCFA然後全都轉成小寫
10/03 02:41, 31F
推
10/03 03:19, , 32F
還討厭大寫咧 他的ID不是全都大寫嗎XDDDDD
10/03 03:19, 32F
→
10/03 09:10, , 33F
討厭大寫和無知的關聯性...? 0_0
10/03 09:10, 33F
→
10/03 09:15, , 34F
只不過表達討厭大寫就被羞辱成無知,這個板怎麼了...
10/03 09:15, 34F
推
10/03 09:24, , 35F
因為他知道為什麼大寫,可能產生些許優越感吧
10/03 09:24, 35F
推
10/03 09:38, , 36F
airua我到底哪裡惹到你了，每次都要針對我的推文找
10/03 09:38, 36F
→
10/03 09:39, , 37F
碴，什麼時候講別人無知就是羞辱了
10/03 09:39, 37F
→
10/03 09:52, , 38F
10/03 09:52, 38F
→
10/03 10:31, , 39F
JTWC: nineteen http://ppt.cc/kljw
10/03 10:31, 39F
→
10/03 10:31, , 40F
模式決定性預報大多數北轉~ 平心淡定看這顆
10/03 10:31, 40F
推
10/03 10:39, , 41F
進擊的巨颱 二連發
10/03 10:39, 41F
推
10/03 12:23, , 42F
日本真是天災不斷.....
10/03 12:23, 42F
推
10/03 15:18, , 43F
去年菲律賓　今年日本　明年２０１５
10/03 15:18, 43F
推
10/03 17:01, , 44F
某air只會搞針對和扣帽子，想引戰去數字版反串釣魚
10/03 17:01, 44F
→
10/03 17:04, , 45F
吃飽太閒來學術板鬧板，上次麥德姆那一篇後還沒清醒
10/03 17:04, 45F
推
10/03 19:55, , 46F
猜 日本貨
10/03 19:55, 46F
→
10/03 23:20, , 47F
歧視和人身攻擊都有人要護航... = =
10/03 23:20, 47F
→
10/03 23:20, , 48F
我只能說DFIGHT大EQ好,不計較
10/03 23:20, 48F
噓
10/03 23:38, , 49F
EQ好跟發文或留言射後不理是兩回事 別搞錯了
10/03 23:38, 49F
推
10/03 23:49, , 50F
我那如果叫歧視跟人身攻擊，你那鍵盤反恐部隊大概會
10/03 23:49, 50F
→
10/03 23:51, , 51F
被訟棍告吧，如果你看我推文不爽大可用MoPTT把我設
10/03 23:51, 51F
→
10/03 23:52, , 52F
成黑名單，少在那邊找我文章推文找碴來扯版風裝清高
10/03 23:52, 52F
→
10/03 23:53, , 53F
我不記得我在麥德姆過後有哪裡惹到你了
10/03 23:53, 53F
推
10/04 01:31, , 54F
對於某a這種無聊想找吵架的別理他
10/04 01:31, 54F
‣ 更多 jasonccr 的文章
文章代碼(AID): #1KBESxCI (TY_Research)
討論串 (同標題文章)
完整討論串 (本文為第 8 之 11 篇)：
排序： 最舊先 | 最新先 | 留言數
情報
3
3
[情報] 90W TCFA 90W TCFA
Morbert
16年前, 08/04
情報
5
9
[情報] 90W TCFA 90W TCFA
tytony
13年前, 09/08
情報
4
19
[情報] 90W TCFA 90W TCFA
typhoonnat
13年前, 09/19
情報
2
4
[情報] 90W TCFA 90W TCFA
tytony
13年前, 10/12
情報
1
2
[情報] 90W TCFA 90W TCFA
markshian
12年前, 06/09
情報
32
58
[情報] 90W TCFA 90W TCFA
tytony
10年前, 07/03
情報
43
64
[情報] 90W TCFA 90W TCFA
tytony
9年前, 07/28
情報
23
54
[情報] 90W TCFA 90W TCFA
jasonccr
9年前, 10/02
情報
3
3
[情報] 90W TCFA 90W TCFA
jses1
6年前, 08/11
情報
18
21
[情報] 90W TCFA 90W TCFA
usaul56
5年前, 06/28
在新視窗開啟完整討論串 (共11篇)
‣ 更多 jasonccr 的文章
文章代碼(AID): #1KBESxCI (TY_Research)