[外電] Why Jeremy Lin Will Be the Key to Houston Rockets' Posts

看板Rockets作者KenRock (BasketBall Thug)時間11年前 (2013/04/14 21:49)推噓21(21推 0噓 44→)

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Why Jeremy Lin Will Be the Key to Houston Rockets' Postseason Success By Kenny DeJohn on [b/r] http://0rz.tw/cIEXf ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Point guard Jeremy Lin is the key to the success of the Houston Rockets in the 2012-13 playoffs—period. 火箭隊先發控衛「林書豪」將會是本季季後賽的「關鍵之鑰」。 Anyone who tries to tell you that James Harden, Chandler Parsons or Omer Asik is that player is unfortunately incorrect. Harden will continue to score— it's the biggest part of his game. Parsons is a stat sheet filler, and there's no reason why we should think he won't continue. Asik is a monster in the paint (both on offense and when grabbing rebounds), and his physical play will translate right over to the postseason. All these guys are important, but Lin's performance is crucial. Whether it be because of coaching decisions or sheer inconsistency, sometimes we don't know what we're going to get from Lin on a nightly basis. That's why Lin stepping up is key. 如果有任何人試圖說服你說:HARDEN或是CP或是ASIK，將會是季後賽的「關鍵之鑰」。對不起，那肯定是錯的! 是的，HARDEN將會繼續得分，那正是他所擅長的。是的，CP這位血汗勞工將會繼續填滿BOX上的格子。 (AK表示:..有人接班了。) 是的，ASIK這位禁區的奶油獸將會繼續在防守端和籃板上統治禁區。上述幾位當然是火箭隊非常重要的球員，但LIN的表現更是關鍵。本季因為MCHALE的神奇調度，又或者LIN本身表現的不穩定，而使的我們不知道該對該場比賽能有甚麼期待或是獲的驚喜? (健達出奇蛋?! 冏) 但，正也剛好證明當LIN挺身而出的重要性。 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Kevin McHale has handled Lin interestingly this season. First off, he prefers Harden to handle the ball most of the time. Harden's USG (usage rate) this season is 28.73 percent. Lin's is a paltry 20.36, barely above the league average of 18.79. This suggests that Harden is not only the focal point of the scoring offense, but also the main distributor. If Lin is the point guard, then he needs to be given the ball more. He doesn't need to score more, but he most certainly needs to take control of his offense. Lin has shown that he can orchestrate the offense when given the opportunities. McHale has also given Lin inconsistent minutes. Fourth quarters often go by with Lin on the bench for a good portion of the period. Patrick Beverley plays the point instead, which is baffling. Beverley, a good defender and solid bench guy in his own right, should not be on the court in tight situations late in the fourth quarter. KEVIN MCHALE的神奇調度 1) 在KM的戰術底下，他讓SG的HARDEN大量持球 = USG% 28.73 (使用率) 反觀打PG的LIN = USG% 20.36 (僅高於聯盟評均18.79一點點) ＊註：USG%使用率的參考數據來自(FG+FT+TO)，或許沒有球權正關的概念。但也可以被考慮到的是參與進攻回合的比例。(加上我們都有在FOLLOW比賽 X) 2) 在KM的戰術底下，他讓HARDEN不只專注於得分，甚至也參與到傳導者的角色。反觀不用得太多分但應該有更多球權組織的LIN，躲在底角玩沙。不用懷疑，LIN就應該是那個"THE-PG"，而不是 "A-PG"。 3) 在KM的調度底下，LIN沒有穩定的上場時間或時機點。(上上下下左左右右大絕招?!) 4) 在KM的調度底下，第四節時，LIN時常會被遺忘在板凳上。(疑?!LIN怎麼黑黑的=PB) 當然PB是一位很好的替補，也是一名很好的防守球員，但也不該決勝關頭時把PB放在上面，而不是LIN。＊註：其實PB其實也是小人物的奮鬥史，也有非常多優缺點，有興趣的話我在隊版有相關文章。 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Lin is the far superior player and has shown instances of being a clutch performer in the past. McHale needs to give Lin more minutes in the final period. That will more than likely occur now that playoff rotations should be tightening up, but we'll have to wait until Game 1 of the first round to find that out. 早在去年LIN就已經證明自己是「第四節先生」+「大心臟」。而KM必須要把LIN留在倒數的決勝期上，用跪的也要跪他去。當然以最近的比賽來看，的確有這樣的趨勢。筆者跟版友們也還在等待CP回歸，以及季後賽時KM的調度來驗證。 (原文內回顧影片:http://0rz.tw/FhyL8 ) Even without the ball in his hands as often as it should be, Lin's energy and hustle are what make him so important. He's an above-average off-ball player (though he's not in the same league as Richard Hamilton), and his hustle results in many Rockets baskets. 當球權變少變成常態時，LIN仍努力向上拼勁十足，這也成就他為何如此重要的原因之一。他也是聯盟中「無球打法」的佼佼者，(當然沒有公牛隊的RIP那麼厲害啦。) 但他的HUSTLE PLAY常常讓火箭隊賺進不少分數。 When the ball is in his hands, he's a very good orchestrator. He's averaging 6.1 assists per game, as well as a 38.9 AST%. There's one caveat with his AST%, though. The league average is 61.2 percent. This advanced statistic measures what percentage of his team's baskets a player assists on when he's on the court. Because Lin plays a majority of his minutes alongside Harden (who commands the ball and has an AST% of 29.9), his AST% is deceiving. He's much better than it indicates. 而當有球在手時，他是非常好的組織者與助攻者。他有著場均6.1 ASTS/PEG GAME的成績，和38.9%的AST%助攻率。 (＊註:AST%助功率:當該位球員在場上時，隊友受到他助攻而得分/總得分比。) 但這個AST%並不能反映LIN的真正實力。因為... LIN上時，大部分都會跟HARDEN一起上。(HARDEN的AST%:29.9) 所以因為戰術需求，導致HARDEN會有長期持球的機會 = 降低LIN的球權與AST%。筆者相信如果讓LIN主導戰局，數據會更漂亮。 Lin also has the valuable ability of putting his head down and driving into the lane. He has the uncanny ability of going up strong and controlling his body while in the air, resulting in trips to the free-throw line and easy baskets for his team. He's shooting 78.8 percent from the charity stripe this season. LIN有著眾所皆知的「第一步」過人切入。再者，切入後還有不可思議的制空對抗性與平衡感，常常造成「2AND1」。而他的罰球率FT% 78.8%也是有水準的表現。 (*註:該開季到中段時期，感覺傷還沒全好OR心理因素，不太敢切，FINISH也不如去年。但最近的一兩個月已經慢慢找回手感，而且越來越燙了!) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- The Rockets need Lin to be huge in the playoffs. Houston faces a tough first-round opponent whether or not it passes the Golden State Warriors in the standings for the No. 6 seed in the Western Conference. As the No. 7 seed (if the season ended today), the San Antonio Spurs would be its opponent. As the No. 6 seed, it would be the Denver Nuggets. Both teams have high-energy point guards in Tony Parker and Ty Lawson, respectively, and Lin will need to match their level of play if the Rockets wish to compete. Expecting 20-plus points per game from the third-year guard is unfair, but 15-plus points and eight-plus assists are numbers that are easily attainable. With those numbers, Houston stands a much better chance of defeating its opponent, whoever it may be. 火箭隊非常需要林書豪在季後賽挺身而出! 不管季後會上哪一隊，也許LIN對位的是TP或者TL，(又或者是其他控衛。) LIN都必須要能夠挺身而出，打敗強敵，幫助火箭隊獲勝。然而對一名第三年的菜鳥(第一次全先發賽季)來說，20 PTS/PER GAME來說是太過嚴苛。但是15 PTS/PG + 8 ASTS 並不是不可能的任務。如果LIN能持續保持水準並進步，不管面對誰，對火箭的季後賽肯定是一大利多。 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Lin has played very well over his last five games, so those numbers may even be the low point of expectations if he keeps this up. He's scoring 18.4 points, dishing out 8.6 assists and even grabbing 2.2 rebounds per game in the past five contests. With him hot entering the playoffs, the Rockets become that much scarier of a team. Their offense is tops in the NBA at 106.18 points per game. Throw in a productive Lin (while keeping everyone else's numbers the same), and the Rockets can reasonably score around 110 points per game. Even with their suspect defense, that's difficult to beat. Without Lin performing at the highest level possible, there's not much of a chance Houston advances to the second round. 最近的五場比賽LIN表現的十分出色: 場均18.4 PTS + 8.6 ASTS + 2.2 REBS。有了他，火箭隊會在季後賽更兇猛，可怕的是他還正在迅速成長呢。火箭隊有著全聯盟頂級的火力: 場均106.18 PTS。如果加上LIN的貢獻，可以上到場均110 PTS左右，沒問題的。 (＊註：不知道是不是筆者數學老師時常請假，怎麼才多3.82 PTS 冏，或者筆者的意思是說，每個人的得分都扣掉了，林的助攻或是其他貢獻能拉分。) 所以即使，火箭隊的破防守會有點麻煩，但仍是很有競爭力的。筆者大膽預言，假使沒有LIN，火箭隊一輪遊的機會會比「沙鍋」還大 XD。 (＊註：數據來源 http://hoopdata.com/advancedstats.aspx ) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Who's your key performer for the Rockets? I'm happy to debate, so leave it down below in the comments section! 最後筆者開放賭盤，「誰是你心目中的季後賽之鑰?」請在推文中投票吧! XD 我選: 「KEVIN MCHALE」... BJ4 -- J.LIN#7 @ RedNation Go Go ROCKETS!! -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 111.242.110.251 ※ KenRock:轉錄至看板 Jeremy_Lin 04/14 21:49

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