Re: [討論]現役球員誰能進名人堂?已回收
看板NBA作者RollingWave (Lost in the Dark)時間10年前 (2013/12/14 19:06)推噓45(62推 17噓 61→)留言140則, 85人參與討論串3/6 (看更多)
上面那篇整理一下,以BR 的算法的話目前現役球員的機率(年資不夠的當然機率還不高)
1. Laoda = 100%
2. 石佛 = 99.99%
3. LBJ = 99.94%
4. Wade = 99.90%
5. KG = 99.89%
6. Dirk = 98.63%
7. 真理 = 98.16%
8. Allen = 96.41%
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ 以上是今天退休都會進的
9. Bosh = 94.32 (可能是第一個比較有爭議的)
10. CP3 = 89.4
11. Parker = 83.24
12. Melo = 82.27
13. 魔獸 = 80.73
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ 以上是沒太誇張的意外都會的
14. Carter = 75%
15. KD = 74%
16. Pau = 60%
17. Nash = 55%
18. 阿罵 = 51%
以上這幾個中 Nash 應該備這種計算法嚴重的低估了,光是兩個MVP 應該就99% 了
KD 這種年紀就74% 只要不要出現悲劇應該都沒問題的,阿罵這種倒退應該看來是沒機
會了。 VC / Pau 這兩個爭議比較大,不過以King 能進,T-Mac 看來也會進的情況下
我想他最後也會,Pau 戒指跟聖衣加持機率應該也不錯。
在這後面大概最有機會的老人應該無疑是Manu, 他國際加分爆表,光是打爆夢幻隊這點
就加分到爆炸了。 以NBA HOF的實際投票法來推測Manu幾乎是100%
--
"古今多少事, 盡付笑談中。"
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 36.231.161.91
推
12/14 19:10, , 1F
12/14 19:10, 1F
推
12/14 19:10, , 2F
12/14 19:10, 2F
推
12/14 19:10, , 3F
12/14 19:10, 3F
→
12/14 19:11, , 4F
12/14 19:11, 4F
推
12/14 19:12, , 5F
12/14 19:12, 5F
→
12/14 19:13, , 6F
12/14 19:13, 6F
→
12/14 19:13, , 7F
12/14 19:13, 7F
→
12/14 19:14, , 8F
12/14 19:14, 8F
推
12/14 19:15, , 9F
12/14 19:15, 9F
推
12/14 19:16, , 10F
12/14 19:16, 10F
推
12/14 19:16, , 11F
12/14 19:16, 11F
→
12/14 19:16, , 12F
12/14 19:16, 12F
→
12/14 19:17, , 13F
12/14 19:17, 13F
推
12/14 19:17, , 14F
12/14 19:17, 14F
→
12/14 19:17, , 15F
12/14 19:17, 15F
→
12/14 19:17, , 16F
12/14 19:17, 16F
推
12/14 19:19, , 17F
12/14 19:19, 17F
→
12/14 19:20, , 18F
12/14 19:20, 18F
推
12/14 19:26, , 19F
12/14 19:26, 19F
推
12/14 19:26, , 20F
12/14 19:26, 20F
→
12/14 19:26, , 21F
12/14 19:26, 21F
→
12/14 19:27, , 22F
12/14 19:27, 22F
→
12/14 19:27, , 23F
12/14 19:27, 23F
→
12/14 19:29, , 24F
12/14 19:29, 24F
推
12/14 19:29, , 25F
12/14 19:29, 25F
推
12/14 19:30, , 26F
12/14 19:30, 26F
→
12/14 19:31, , 27F
12/14 19:31, 27F
推
12/14 19:32, , 28F
12/14 19:32, 28F
推
12/14 19:33, , 29F
12/14 19:33, 29F
推
12/14 19:39, , 30F
12/14 19:39, 30F
→
12/14 19:41, , 31F
12/14 19:41, 31F
→
12/14 19:47, , 32F
12/14 19:47, 32F
推
12/14 19:48, , 33F
12/14 19:48, 33F
→
12/14 19:48, , 34F
12/14 19:48, 34F
→
12/14 19:49, , 35F
12/14 19:49, 35F
→
12/14 19:49, , 36F
12/14 19:49, 36F
→
12/14 19:51, , 37F
12/14 19:51, 37F
推
12/14 19:56, , 38F
12/14 19:56, 38F
→
12/14 19:57, , 39F
12/14 19:57, 39F
還有 61 則推文
→
12/14 21:13, , 101F
12/14 21:13, 101F
推
12/14 21:15, , 102F
12/14 21:15, 102F
推
12/14 21:17, , 103F
12/14 21:17, 103F
→
12/14 21:20, , 104F
12/14 21:20, 104F
→
12/14 21:20, , 105F
12/14 21:20, 105F
→
12/14 21:24, , 106F
12/14 21:24, 106F
→
12/14 21:27, , 107F
12/14 21:27, 107F
推
12/14 21:35, , 108F
12/14 21:35, 108F
推
12/14 21:35, , 109F
12/14 21:35, 109F
→
12/14 21:55, , 110F
12/14 21:55, 110F
噓
12/14 21:58, , 111F
12/14 21:58, 111F
推
12/14 22:03, , 112F
12/14 22:03, 112F
推
12/14 22:06, , 113F
12/14 22:06, 113F
→
12/14 22:17, , 114F
12/14 22:17, 114F
→
12/14 22:21, , 115F
12/14 22:21, 115F
噓
12/14 22:39, , 116F
12/14 22:39, 116F
→
12/14 22:48, , 117F
12/14 22:48, 117F
噓
12/14 23:08, , 118F
12/14 23:08, 118F
推
12/14 23:28, , 119F
12/14 23:28, 119F
推
12/14 23:34, , 120F
12/14 23:34, 120F
推
12/14 23:45, , 121F
12/14 23:45, 121F
噓
12/14 23:55, , 122F
12/14 23:55, 122F
→
12/14 23:56, , 123F
12/14 23:56, 123F
噓
12/14 23:56, , 124F
12/14 23:56, 124F
噓
12/15 00:26, , 125F
12/15 00:26, 125F
推
12/15 00:42, , 126F
12/15 00:42, 126F
噓
12/15 00:52, , 127F
12/15 00:52, 127F
→
12/15 01:01, , 128F
12/15 01:01, 128F
→
12/15 01:12, , 129F
12/15 01:12, 129F
噓
12/15 01:23, , 130F
12/15 01:23, 130F
推
12/15 01:24, , 131F
12/15 01:24, 131F
噓
12/15 01:45, , 132F
12/15 01:45, 132F
→
12/15 01:57, , 133F
12/15 01:57, 133F
噓
12/15 02:16, , 134F
12/15 02:16, 134F
推
12/15 03:33, , 135F
12/15 03:33, 135F
推
12/15 03:48, , 136F
12/15 03:48, 136F
推
12/15 04:49, , 137F
12/15 04:49, 137F
推
12/15 06:21, , 138F
12/15 06:21, 138F
噓
12/15 16:42, , 139F
12/15 16:42, 139F
推
12/15 21:08, , 140F
12/15 21:08, 140F
討論串 (同標題文章)