Re: [討論] Cy Young Predictor

看板MLB作者 (好多事情要做>"<)時間12年前 (2011/08/10 23:34), 編輯推噓56(56推 0噓 15→)
留言71則, 63人參與, 最新討論串6/14 (看更多)
Cy Young Predictor 更新 8/10 2011 Cy Young Predictor - AL RK PLAYER TEAM CYP G GS IP ER K SV SHO W-L ERA VB 1 Justin Verlander DET 164.0 25 25 188.0 48 186 0 2 16-5 2.30 4 2 Jered Weaver LAA 157.4 24 24 176.2 35 150 0 2 14-5 1.78 6 3 CC Sabathia NYY 148.7 25 25 182.2 57 168 0 1 16-6 2.81 5 4 Dan Haren LAA 120.7 26 25 176.1 57 143 0 2 12-6 2.91 6 5 Jonathan Papelbon BOS 111.1 49 0 48.2 17 64 26 0 4-0 3.14 7 6 Josh Beckett BOS 109.9 22 22 145.0 35 127 0 1 9-4 2.17 7 7 James Shields TB 109.1 24 24 176.2 55 167 0 4 11-9 2.80 0 8 Jose Valverde DET 105.2 52 0 49.1 16 45 32 0 2-3 2.92 4 9 Jon Lester BOS 99.9 21 21 133.2 48 131 0 0 11-5 3.23 7 10 Jordan Walden LAA 98.4 48 0 46.0 14 49 26 0 3-3 2.74 6 2011 Cy Young Predictor - NL RK PLAYER TEAM CYP G GS IP ER K SV SHO W-L ERA VB 1 Roy Halladay PHI 156.2 24 24 175.2 49 163 0 0 15-4 2.51 12 2 Brian Wilson SF 136.3 53 0 52.0 16 49 34 0 6-3 2.77 4 3 Cole Hamels PHI 136.3 24 24 167.0 47 150 0 0 13-6 2.53 12 4 Craig Kimbrel ATL 131.5 59 0 57.2 12 89 36 0 3-2 1.87 0 5 Cliff Lee PHI 131.3 24 24 172.0 54 177 0 5 12-7 2.83 12 6 Clayton Kershaw LAD 127.7 24 24 167.2 52 184 0 2 13-5 2.79 1 7 Ian Kennedy ARI 127.5 24 24 163.1 58 137 0 1 14-3 3.20 4 8 Drew Storen WSH 125.4 54 0 56.2 17 47 30 0 6-2 2.70 0 9 John Axford MIL 118.2 55 0 54.1 15 64 33 0 2-2 2.48 7 10 Jair Jurrjens ATL 107.3 20 20 133.2 39 85 0 1 12-4 2.63 0 註: Cy Young Points (CYP) = ((5*IP/9)-ER) + (SO/12) + (SV*2.5) + Shutouts + ((W*6)-(L*2)) + VB (see below). VB: Victory Bonus is a 12-point bonus awarded for leading your team to the division championship (pro-rated based on the current standings) 其他參考數據: WAR(BR) AL WAR NL WAR 1 Jered Weaver LAA 6.4 1 Roy Halladay PHI 5.5 2 Justin Verlander DET 6.3 2 Cole Hamels PHI 4.9 3 Josh Beckett BOS 5.3 3 Cliff Lee PHI 4.5 4 CC Sabathia NYY 5.0 4 Clayton Kershaw LAD 4.2 5 Ricky Romero TOR 4.3 5 Jair Jurrjens ATL 3.8 6 Felix Hernandez SEA 3.8 6 Jhoulys Chacin COL 3.7 7 James Shields TB 3.8 7 Ian Kennedy ARI 3.5 8 Dan Haren LAA 3.7 8 Tim Lincecum SF 3.5 9 Matt Harrison TEX 3.5 9 Jonny Venters ATL 3.4 10 Justin Masterson CLE 3.5 10 Tim Stauffer SD 3.2 WAR(Fangraph) AL WAR NL WAR 1 CC Sabathia NYY 5.9 1 Roy Halladay PHI 6.1 2 Justin Verlander DET 5.6 2 Cliff Lee PHI 4.9 3 Jered Weaver LAA 5.5 3 Cole Hamels PHI 4.9 4 Dan Haren LAA 5.0 4 Clayton Kershaw LAD 4.5 5 Justin Masterson CLE 4.3 5 Madison Bumgarner SF 4.3 6 Felix Hernandez SEA 4.0 6 Matt Cain SF 4.1 7 C.J. Wilson TEX 4.0 7 Daniel Hudson ARI 4.0 8 James Shields TB 3.5 8 Tim Lincecum SF 4.0 9 Josh Beckett BOS 3.4 9 Jordan Zimmermann WAS 3.7 10 Doug Fister --- 3.2 10 Chris Carpenter STL 3.4 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.112.218.162
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08/10 23:36, , 1F
CC:紅襪誤我一生 XD
08/10 23:36, 1F
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08/10 23:36, , 2F
既生瓦 何生織
08/10 23:36, 2F
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08/10 23:37, , 3F
國聯費城人三巨頭內戰
08/10 23:37, 3F
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08/10 23:38, , 4F
PHI:歹勢
08/10 23:38, 4F
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08/10 23:39, , 5F
費城人應該要轉到美聯東區才公平
08/10 23:39, 5F
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08/10 23:40, , 6F
三巨頭 可怖啊...
08/10 23:40, 6F
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08/10 23:40, , 7F
國聯應該比較好選
08/10 23:40, 7F
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08/10 23:41, , 8F
CC有哪個數據贏V少嗎? WAR(Fangraph)居然贏...
08/10 23:41, 8F
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08/10 23:42, , 9F
費城那三支.................
08/10 23:42, 9F
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08/10 23:43, , 10F
一排J
08/10 23:43, 10F
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08/10 23:47, , 11F
DOC真是神等級
08/10 23:47, 11F
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08/10 23:48, , 12F
JJJJJJ CCCC
08/10 23:48, 12F
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08/10 23:48, , 13F
LAA BOS PHI 都入圍三人Orz
08/10 23:48, 13F
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08/10 23:49, , 14F
JJJJJJJJJ
08/10 23:49, 14F
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08/10 23:52, , 15F
EAR+和賽揚指數兩相參考之下就幾乎差不多了
08/10 23:52, 15F
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08/10 23:52, , 16F
DOC如果是神等級，那V和J.Weaver要算什麼？
08/10 23:52, 16F
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08/10 23:53, , 17F
國聯都給費城人就好了啊...
08/10 23:53, 17F
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08/10 23:53, , 18F
以去年投票的方式 CC可以說掰了 除非前面兩個自暴好幾場
08/10 23:53, 18F
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08/10 23:54, , 19F
我一直覺得以現在的情形來看 Hamels輪值排在Oswalt之後很可
08/10 23:54, 19F
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08/10 23:55, , 20F
惜 雖然左右輪流的用意是很棒沒錯
08/10 23:55, 20F
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08/10 23:56, , 21F
Fangraph的算法好像跟FIP BABIP這種隱形數據比較有關
08/10 23:56, 21F
推
08/10 23:56, , 22F
美聯前三名都好耐投....
08/10 23:56, 22F
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08/10 23:57, , 23F
而且進入季後賽有時投G3的人要投G7 Hamels現在會比Oswalt好
08/10 23:57, 23F
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08/10 23:58, , 24F
CC可惜了 被紅襪炸了幾場
08/10 23:58, 24F
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08/10 23:58, , 25F
進入季後賽後會在調整吧
08/10 23:58, 25F
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08/10 23:59, , 26F
也不是每個組合都要打到G7的..
08/10 23:59, 26F
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08/11 00:00, , 27F
PHI實在太超過
08/11 00:00, 27F
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08/11 00:00, , 28F
為啥Papelbon CY指數那麼高阿...?
08/11 00:00, 28F
推
08/11 00:01, , 29F
CC上次被紅襪炸完之後幾乎就無緣了 前面兩隻狀況太好
08/11 00:01, 29F
推
08/11 00:02, , 30F
CC：季賽全輸沒關系，季後再贏回來
08/11 00:02, 30F
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08/11 00:06, , 31F
JJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJJ
08/11 00:06, 31F
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08/11 00:10, , 32F
怎麼算NLCYP都在PHI XDDDDD
08/11 00:10, 32F
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08/11 00:11, , 33F
美聯前三好像很難說...
08/11 00:11, 33F
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08/11 00:11, , 34F
Doc 小李 黑魔使 自家人猜拳決定如何?
08/11 00:11, 34F
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08/11 00:12, , 35F
V少和織織太超過了~~~~~!!!!!!!!
08/11 00:12, 35F
推
08/11 00:13, , 36F
DOC當之無愧
08/11 00:13, 36F
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08/11 00:13, , 37F
V中年太威了吧==
08/11 00:13, 37F
推
08/11 00:14, , 38F
Kershaw!!!!
08/11 00:14, 38F
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08/11 00:17, , 39F
過去CY前三名都是同一隊的嗎...?
08/11 00:17, 39F
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08/11 00:17, , 40F
Worley第幾啊？
08/11 00:17, 40F
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08/11 00:19, , 41F
PHI 那三隻太威拉
08/11 00:19, 41F
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08/11 00:24, , 42F
以目前來看PHI進了話第一輪只要三隻...
08/11 00:24, 42F
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08/11 00:25, , 43F
兩聯盟全部一起比較,V中年和織織最為鬼神
08/11 00:25, 43F
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08/11 00:33, , 44F
V少年要衝了嗎?
08/11 00:33, 44F
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08/11 00:34, , 45F
前三名再同一隊??勇士王朝不知道有沒有!!
08/11 00:34, 45F
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08/11 00:46, , 46F
Wilson為什麼那麼前面啊
08/11 00:46, 46F
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08/11 00:47, , 47F
許V少一次賽揚吧!!!
08/11 00:47, 47F
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08/11 00:47, , 48F
他的計算公式SV多CYP就高
08/11 00:47, 48F
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08/11 00:49, , 49F
CYP不是被打臉好多次了嗎 看WAR還比較準
08/11 00:49, 49F
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08/11 00:50, , 50F
IPK還在JJJ前面喔.....哪招
08/11 00:50, 50F
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08/11 01:12, , 51F
這本來就只是個參考值阿 打臉又怎樣
08/11 01:12, 51F
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08/11 01:30, , 52F
用公式預測人的投票結果很難 這個能準就神了
08/11 01:30, 52F
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08/11 01:53, , 53F
國聯的第二名....是closer....
08/11 01:53, 53F
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08/11 02:16, , 54F
國聯應該八九不離十是假日了吧 除非後面爆掉(難..)
08/11 02:16, 54F
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08/11 02:35, , 55F
Wilson到底是為何會比Kimbrel前面...
08/11 02:35, 55F
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08/11 02:43, , 56F
看到霹靂啪啦碰的名字在榜單上 就覺得這公式爛得可以
08/11 02:43, 56F
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08/11 02:48, , 57F
因為照公式 BS後拿勝投會加分= ="
08/11 02:48, 57F
推
08/11 02:50, , 58F
Timmy最後幾場都爆氣吧！！！！！！！！！！！！！
08/11 02:50, 58F
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08/11 03:12, , 59F
三振數吧
08/11 03:12, 59F
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08/11 03:51, , 60F
Verlander和Weaver還真難選
08/11 03:51, 60F
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08/11 04:13, , 61F
不會很難選啊,就Verlander啊...
08/11 04:13, 61F
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08/11 07:55, , 62F
V少賽楊拿一半了
08/11 07:55, 62F
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08/11 08:27, , 63F
費城人洗板....
08/11 08:27, 63F
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08/11 09:14, , 64F
費城前三號真的穩到不行
08/11 09:14, 64F
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08/11 09:15, , 65F
V少和織織先跟Doc一樣連威這麼多年再來比
08/11 09:15, 65F
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08/11 09:15, , 66F
Weaver跟Verlender誰落榜都很可惜，可惜不能並列
08/11 09:15, 66F
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08/11 10:07, , 67F
V少和織織~ 唔...都好威啊~ Doc好棒!!! 受之無愧!!!
08/11 10:07, 67F
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08/11 10:08, , 68F
柯少好可惜...明年加油!!!
08/11 10:08, 68F
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08/11 10:23, , 69F
寶貝碰 ==?
08/11 10:23, 69F
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08/11 17:06, , 70F
Papelbon= =?
08/11 17:06, 70F
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08/14 22:12, , 71F
碰哥今年只 BS 一次而已...
08/14 22:12, 71F
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