[閒聊] 石丘發現弗丁的機率其實超高? 數學vs爐石
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Excel: https://goo.gl/aJkfZJ
大家安安~
其實用石丘拿弗丁的狀況有點常見,所以乾脆就來算一下到底機率是多少
雖然不小心導出了發現機制的通用計算式XD
一開始粗略估計的機率
http://i.imgur.com/2kUmC5F.jpg
接下來使用樹狀圖來計算詳細機率
http://i.imgur.com/ANBnRGe.jpg
知道有幾張職業牌後,再來骰是哪張牌
http://i.imgur.com/7RFPVG9.jpg
這樣就得到了拿到弗丁的機率 (21.25%) 石丘拿石丘的機率 (5.66%)
進階版樹狀圖來分析所有張數的發現狀況
(n張職業牌+m張中立牌)
http://i.imgur.com/5Pq3yyU.jpg
所以就有了公式解...就直接用Excel吧 XD
http://i.imgur.com/Zte5EZs.jpg
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※ 編輯: sowhan (36.231.194.73), 07/09/2017 18:27:10
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剛剛算了一下元素發現 光炎魔 的機率是53.04% XDD 很接近
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※ 編輯: sowhan (36.231.194.73), 07/09/2017 19:14:28
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所有發現內建的機制
※ 編輯: sowhan (36.231.194.73), 07/09/2017 19:16:40
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