[討論] 各日封王率
昨天有人問封王機率,
如果假設勝敗和的機各1/3
(加賽情況勝敗各1/2)
則情況如下:(自己用excel算的)
6日 0.000%
7日55.556%
8日35.803%
9日 6.722%
10日 1.280%
11日 0.412%
加賽 0.038%
故,
義大封王率99.900%
另外,
桃猿封王率 0.046%
兄弟封王率 0.053%
不加賽 0.015%
加 賽 0.038%
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要加權算有點麻煩,
(雖然明明一場比賽勝敗不會是1/2)
既然大家覺得不需要包含和局,
(和局出現率低到可忽略)
就以勝敗各1/2來表示。
6日 0.00%
7日50.00%
8日31.25%
9日10.94%
10日 3.91%
12日 1.95%
13日 0.78%
故,
義大封王率98.828%
另外,
桃猿封王率 0.781%
兄弟封王率 0.391%
將不會有加賽情況。
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如果…還需要各日的情況分析…我晚上再弄…
謝謝大家!!!
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※ 編輯: shihchun (223.137.135.129), 10/06/2016 13:08:37
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10/06 13:09, , 1F
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10/06 13:09, , 2F
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10/06 13:12, , 8F
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10/06 13:12, , 9F
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10/06 13:16, , 10F
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10/06 13:17, , 11F
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10/06 13:19, , 12F
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※ 編輯: shihchun (223.137.135.129), 10/06/2016 13:46:33
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10/06 14:25, , 44F
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10/06 15:04, , 65F
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10/06 15:15, , 67F
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10/06 15:32, , 71F
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10/06 15:37, , 72F
10/06 15:37, 72F
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10/06 17:02, , 73F
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10/06 18:03, , 78F
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10/06 18:13, , 80F
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10/06 18:13, , 81F
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10/06 18:14, , 82F
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10/06 21:01, , 83F
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10/07 01:13, , 84F
10/07 01:13, 84F
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