[新聞] 陸若閃電攻台 美亞太兵力難應變消失
陸若閃電攻台 美亞太兵力難應變
旺報 2017年02月20日 04:10 記者蔡浩祥/專題報導
隨著區域情勢逐漸緊張,兩岸關係持續無解,大陸「武統」聲浪持續高漲。外界關注,屆時台海戰事再起,戰略上美國將如何對台馳援?軍事專家受訪指出,按目前解放軍戰力,美國在亞太地區所部署兵力恐無法應對,必須從珍珠港或美西調動部隊,國軍只能「兄弟爬山,各自努力」。
就美方對台海戰事的判斷,國家政策基金會高級助理研究員揭仲認為,美方第一步會先釐清戰爭責任,如解放軍是否違背武力犯台原則,或台灣自行宣布獨立等進行考量,才會決定如何投入戰事。
談及台海軍事失衡,揭仲坦言,目前美軍部署亞太兵力整體來說略嫌不足,無法第一時間壓制解放軍,必須調動部署在夏威夷及駐守美國西岸部隊前來支援,時間大約需3周左右,這段期間國軍必須展現防衛戰力,抵禦解放軍的攻勢。
國防部資深諮詢委員宋兆文則認為,台灣在第一島鏈位置上非常關鍵,更是戰略前緣,但美軍登陸台灣協助作戰機率不高,至多派出航母戰鬥群協助作戰;美方也會透過緊急戰力補充,如在花蓮佳山基地支援愛國者三型、電磁脈衝發射裝備、地獄火飛彈等武器,供國軍使用。
宋兆文指出,解放軍揚言72小時內拿下台灣有些言過其實,證實解放軍攻台戰術就是搶快,不讓美軍有時間因應;國軍並非毫無招架之力,特別是鋪路爪長程預警雷達可掌握解放軍動向,加上各式防空飛彈等武器。他研判,解放軍從開戰到登陸,至少也要一個月時間。
他認為,儘管兩岸軍力呈現傾斜,台灣一旦被拿下,日本東部及太平洋將門戶洞開,美日不會坐視這種情況發生。
http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20170220000566-260301
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