Re: [新聞] 五州初選:共和黨內川普全贏 希拉蕊已拿三州消失
川普的聲勢越來越旺
加州 40%>49%
紐澤西 38->52%
印第安納也是小幅領先
http://goo.gl/Lyl0GM 川普 950
剩餘州 初選日 Trump Kasich Cruz
California June 7 172 Winner Take All
Winner take all by state (10 delegates)
and individual district (53 districts x 3
delegates =159).
Source Date Sample Trump Cruz Kasich Other
Poll Averages* 44.3% 29.3% 17.8%
Fox News 4/22/2016 583 LV ±4% 49% 22% 20% 9%
YouGov / CBS 4/17/2016 1012 LV ±4.8% 49% 31% 16% 4%
Field Poll 4/07/2016 558 LV ±4% 39% 32% 18% 11%
SurveyUSA 4/04/2016 356 LV ±5.3% 40% 32% 17% 11%
39% 18% 32%
http://goo.gl/1PbtN8
------------------------------------------------------------------
Montana June 7 27 Winner Take All
Source Date Sample Cruz Other
Gravis Marketing
2/25/2015 N/A 4% 96%
---------------------------------------------------------------
New Jersey June 7 51 Winner Take All
http://goo.gl/LDePVQ
Source Date Sample Trump Kasich Cruz Other
Rutgers-Eagleton 4/18/2016 244 RV 52% 24% 18% 6%
Rutgers-Eagleton 2/24/2016 227 LV ±7% 38% 8% 10% 44%
Rutgers-Eagleton 12/10/2015 230 RV 30% 2% 10% 58%
-----------------------------------------------------------------
New Mexico June 7 24 Proportional 24% 4% 25%
http://goo.gl/FDehKa
------------------------------------------------------------
South Dakota June 7 29 Winner Take All
http://goo.gl/sTPnq9
------------------------------------------------------------
Washington May 24 44 Proportional
http://goo.gl/FpLbOu
Source Date Sample Cruz Other
Gravis Marketing 5/22/2015 523 LV ±4% 5% 95%
Public Policy 5/21/2015 372 LV ±5.1% 11% 89%
------------------------------------------------------
Oregon May 17 28 Proportional
http://goo.gl/XtbTwa
---------------------------------------------------
West Virginia May 10 34 Winner Take All (Split)
Direct election of delegates,
each of whom is tied to a candidate.
22 elected statewide, 3 in each district
(9).
Final 3 go to state popular vote winner.
http://goo.gl/s7vsUC
Source Date Sample Trump Cruz Kasich Other
Repass Research 2/22/2016 159 LV 40% 20% 6% 34%
-----------------------------------------------------------
Nebraska May 10 36 Winner Take All
http://goo.gl/ZgRXKE
-----------------------------------------------------------
Indiana May 3 57 Winner Take All
http://goo.gl/DEmtJZ
YouGov / CBS
4/24/2016 548 LV ±6.6% 40% 35% 20% 5%
WTHR/Howey Politics
4/22/2016 500 LV ±4.3% 37% 31% 22% 10%
Fox News
4/22/2016 602 LV ±4% 41% 33% 16% 10%
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※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Gossiping/M.1461748809.A.7BD.html
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04/27 17:24, , 1F
04/27 17:24, 1F
推
04/27 17:24, , 2F
04/27 17:24, 2F
最原始的 沒有加油添醋的初選日程跟民調 我不知道還要評論什麼....
結論就是川普的聲勢一直上升 他只會越打越好 50%不是問題
※ 編輯: kutkin (111.255.22.238), 04/27/2016 17:27:40
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04/27 17:42, , 3F
04/27 17:42, 3F
推
04/27 17:50, , 4F
04/27 17:50, 4F
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