Re: [閒聊] Carlos Gonzalez
※ 引述《Wolfken (戰天)》之銘言:
: 今年的拒絕往來戶
: Carlos Gonzalez(2輪尾3輪中我ok,但通常不會到那)
: Shin-Soo Choo(打死不用祖國人,萬年exclude list)
: Joe Mauer(從不前十輪選C)
: Brian McCan(同上)
: Victor Martinez(同上)
: Jose Bautista(我寧願多看一年,讓其他人去冒險)
: Billy Butler(沒砲的1B,從來都不懂為什麼值第五輪)
: Ubaldo Jimenez(我想可能會像他2009,是不錯,但第五輪只能投這樣就算了)
: Andre Ethier(23 HR 82RBI 0.292的OF第六輪,不太懂為什麼)
: Dan Uggla(他從來都沒變,一直都是6~8輪身價,只是今年第四輪,那就謝謝再聯絡了)
: David Price(ERA 3.5~3.7差不多,在美東也算不錯了,但第五輪還是算了)
: Martin Prado(十出頭HR 0.300沒腿的2B 8輪,我寧願去後面找KJ Hill Beckham Raburn)
: Aubrey Huff(他近幾年都威雙數年的,單數年都打得跟FA差不多)
: Corey Hart(去年的CT% K%都是生涯最差,很難想像他能複製,還是給別人冒險吧)
: Delmon Young(去年八月後就開始爛了,那時就有傳聞說他又復胖之類的)
: Pablo Sandoval(他如果15輪以後我會一賭,但他都11 12輪就算了)
: Paul Konerko(拿完合約後應該會跟前幾年差不多吧,在這之前我年年選)
: Clay Buchholz(不太會K,去年ERA跟FIP xFIP差距之大排名聯盟前幾,11輪還是算了)
: Rickie Weeks(power應該不假,但很難想像他打超過0.260,加上高受傷風險,年年
: 退步的盜壘,第五輪...還是算了,8輪以後可以賭賭看)
球季剩不到兩星期
該是來看看季初拒絕往來戶名單有多少命中的時候了
命中:
Carlos Gonzalez(0.295 26/20不算差,但大概是2輪尾的貢獻,卻要價一輪中)
(季初本就預期約25/20,2輪尾左右產出,最後差不多)
Shih-Shoo Choo(這完全是運氣,我沒有任何數據上的理由拒絕他)
Joe Mauer(FA撿的C都比他好,完全命中)
Victor Martinez(AVG RBI都還維持,但是HR大幅減少,完全不值季初輪數)
Billy Butler(儘管明星賽後一段高潮讓他HR到了接近20,但19HR 0.292在1B甚至連
聯盟平均都不到,更別說第五輪了)
Ubaldo Jimenez(去年上半年跟惡魔借到高利貸,除了還本金外,利息也高得嚇人)
Andre Ethier(也就一年超過30HR,而且去年才23支,就不懂為何還可以第五輪
果然今年就挫賽了)
Dan Uggla(儘管下半季HR打很兇,整體也還是達到他過去幾年的HR數,但就像季初
說的,就是6~8輪的產出而已,今年avg還特別的低,大概只有8~9輪產出
,季初3~4輪完全不值)
Martin Prado(10出頭HR 沒腿的2B 完全命中,而且連avg都沒了)
Aubrey Huff(單數年果然就是FA)
Delmon Young(完全回歸前幾年水準)
Clay Buchholz(跟U-Ball一樣跟惡魔借到高利貸)
Rickie Weeks(果然受傷了,雖然不差但完全不值第五輪)
以上希望大家都沒選到
沒中:
Brian McCann(明年還是不會前十輪選C)
Jose Bautista(如果他明年第一輪我還是不會選,2~3輪會考慮,別忘了他年紀並不小)
David Price(價碼合理明年就會選了)
Corey Hart(明年可能還是pass,他的CT%太差,一不小心會完全急速下滑)
Pablo Sandoval(明年價碼合理就選)
Paul Konerko(年紀有點大了,看價碼合不合理)
以上有人選到的就恭喜了
總計命中率13/19,0.684,勉強算個七成吧
還算不錯,希望明年拒絕往來戶名單也有七成命中率就好了
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
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