Re: [新聞] 朴炳鎬又被K了 開季連6戰吞三振消失
別的不談 就看看去年的姜正浩吧
前12場大聯盟出賽(有些先發 有些後段才上)累積的數據也才.182/.208/.227
印象中當時也蠻多人假貨假貨的叫 然後第13場出賽 也是4月最後一場出賽就4支3
打擊率瞬間從.182暴漲到.269
這告訴我們什麼? 小樣本的數據會有明顯的大起大落 同時也容易失真
姜的逐月OPS
4月 .656
5月 .843
6月 .596
7月 1.064
8月 .788
9/10 .810 這代表什麼?打者都會有起伏 一開始狀況不佳 不代表之後無法起飛
朴炳鎬過去幾年在韓職的被三振率本來就誇張地高
他去年622打席就被K掉161次 平均4打席就會吞1K 但他還是可以有.343打擊率跟53轟
他的打擊型態就是"集K換HR"類型 目前每場都有三振也不是什麼令人跌破眼鏡的事
甚至算符合大家對他"三振率"的"預期" 光這樣就可以冠以"假貨"稱號 很可能之後被打臉
姜是第一個正統KBO進MLB的打者 所以也沒太多前例可以跟朴做比較或分析
不過基本上身為雙城球迷 從來不覺得他會是個賠錢貨(可能有我自作多情的先入為主)
(誠然雙城去年季末該優先補的不是DH 而是RP 但這合約不算太貴 CP值可以小小期待)
想說的是 MLB是162場的馬拉松 雙城現在已賽7場都是很少很少的比例
即使一開始猛打賞 但之後不可能不遇到撞牆期 到時候才是關鍵時刻
再拿個去年上半季火燙 下半季急凍的例子吧...
4月OPS 1.057 4HR
5月OPS .860 9HR
6月OPS .874 7HR
7月OPS .488 1HR
8月OPS .644 2HR
9/10 .637 3HR
這位是Joc Pederson 曾經被一票專家看好是去年國聯新人王
拿少少幾場比賽的數據就斷言假貨 就要有心理準備被打臉喔
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※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Baseball/M.1460476402.A.2D3.html
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感謝稱讚XD 對了雙城板有賭盤喔歡迎去玩玩~
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除了常常揮空棒之外 跑壘守備都沒什麼大問題(?) 不過也很難再更爛了
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那一年的BABIP高得不尋常 運氣成分居多 但合理估計平均應該還是有.260-.270左右
然後今年春訓打得不差XD
他跟Nunez都是內外野都能站的工具人 是活棋
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※ 編輯: andy880036s (60.251.46.137), 04/13/2016 00:35:17
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