Re: [情報] 2013 draft 綠帽版
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2013/6/10/4415286/2013-mlb-draft-american-league
-west-summary-and-review-sickels
Sickels的短評:
1-24) Billy McKinney, OF, Plano West HS, Plano, TX
2-63) Dillon Overton, LHP, Oklahoma
2S-71) Chad Pinder, SS, Virginia Tech
3-100) Ryon Healy, 1B, Oregon
3S-106) Chris Kohler, LHP, Los Osos HS, Rancho Cucamonga, CA
4-131) Dylan Covey, RHP, San Diego
5-161) Bobby Wahl, RHP, Mississippi
Others of interest: 6) Kyle Finnegan, RHP, Texas State; 7) Dustin Driver, RHP,
Washington HS; 8) Tyler Marincov, OF, North Florida; 12) Dakota Freese, RHP,
Des Moines Area CC: 19) A.J. Vanegas, RHP, Stanford
COMMENT: This looks very good to me, featuring a diverse mix of upside and
value though they'll have to get creative with the money if they want to sign
Driver away from UCLA. McKinney is one of the most polished high school hitters
in recent memory. Overton, Pinder, Healy, and Marincov were all success stories
in college who could be solid role players. Covey, who has already signed, is
a former first round pick who struggled for San Diego but might thrive in pro
ball. Wahl fell unexpectedly but the talent that made him a projected first
round pick in February is still there; he's awesome in the fifth round if they
can make the money work. Lottery ticket Freese can hit 95 and has a big-bending
curveball, but command problems and makeup concerns dropped him down. He'll be
interesting to follow at least. Overall, I like what Oakland did even if they
can't sign Driver. (NOTE: According to Twitter, Driver signed a few minutes
before I posted this article. No word on $$$).
簡單的說就是覺得選得不錯.都有顧到
※ 引述《ThomasHSNU (mimura *^^*)》之銘言:
: ※ 引述《ThomasHSNU (mimura *^^*)》之銘言:
: : 今年被新CBA影響,順位會消失,三明治輪大減,綠帽今年第二輪尾簽和去年第二輪頭選差不
: : 多.這次第一輪底附近的depth主要在P和一些OF,高中投手量不錯 尤其是左投,可以試著拿
: : 看看.在第一輪底不好猜,20-40附近什麼都有可能.不過看看Beane去年高中生三連發 現在
: : 中獎率最低的高中P大概也敢用第一輪抽.今年前十輪共12隻簽,總BONUS POOLS是
: : $6,036,800 (http://goo.gl/bmhGj http://goo.gl/TTWRC)
: : 時間
: : June 6 7:00 p.m. (ET) 1-2 and Competitive Balance Round B
: : June 7 1:00 p.m. (ET) 3-10 rounds
: : June 8 1:00 p.m. (ET) 11-40 rounds
: : 一樣mlb.com會提早一小時有特報,現場BA的Jim Callis會在那邊
: : 第一輪間隔4.5min,三明治2min,第二輪&Supp.2nd 1min.
: : 綠帽會派去現場的是Jim Mecir
: : 順位
: : 1st(33) Supp.1st(6) 2nd(29) Supp.2nd(5) 3rd(32) Supp.3rd(1) after 4th
: : #24 #63 #71 #100 #106 #130
: : #71 Competitive Balance Lottery去年抽到的是運氣偏差的倒數第三支籤#71,對照起前
: : 年的74-88.
: : #106 去年只有綠帽沒簽下第三輪高中生Kyle Twomey,不過第三輪初#106現在第三輪尾補
: : 起來還是#106~ 現在補償簽也多保護一年,不用硬要抽leverage小的大學生
: : 以下一樣以#24為主,BA2/6=BA2/6月排名 KL3/5=KeithLaw PG4/5=Perfect Game
: : 16.Eric Jagielo L/R 3B College:Notre Dame
: : .388/.500/.633 9HR 35/33 BB/SO 3SB-6ATT
: : BA2/6=30/16 KL3/5=48/26 PG4/5=37/24
: : Originally a 50th rounder,a first rounder this year with better plate
: : discipline,contact and defense.Now scouts think he can hit for both average and
: : power,though the idea of the ability at third is still mix.如果夠多人認為他end
: : up with 1B的話就有機會掉下來.
: : 19.Alex Gonzalez RHP College:Oral Roberts
: : 9-5 1.83ERA 113.1IP 83H 27BB/126SO
: : BA2/6=NR/19 KL3/5=44/16 PG4/5=100/26
: : Stock rise significantly...90-94 mph fastball with cutting life,a 87mph true
: : slider,improving changeup,good delivery,solid build.本來一直排超過Top30,現在只
: : 有能不能available的問題.
: : 20.Phil Bickford RHP HS:Oaks Christian HS, Westlake Village, Calif.
: : 6-1 0.79ERA 53IP 24H 8BB/85SO (4/25)
: : BA2/6=NR/20 KL3/5=NR/56 PG4/5=44/17
: : Calif. local boy.Projectable,power arm,90-93 up to 95-96mph plus-plus fastball
: : with lots of life,clean arm action.underdeveloped offspeed stuff,need to work
: : for both slider and changeup.我不太確定以他擁有的綠帽是否敢抽.Commitment:Cal
: : State Fullerton.
: : 21.Rob Kaminsky LHP HS:St. Joseph Regional HS, Montvale, N.J.
: : 8-0 0.14ERA 51IP 21H 4BB/107SO
: : BA2/6=25/21 KL3/5=45/39 PG4/5=30/18
: : 綠帽常見的rumors之一.short(5'11,190LBS).fastball sits comfortably in 89-92 mph
: : range,a very consistent plus-plus nasty 78-82 mph curveball.soild command,
: : maturity and highest quality makeup.New Jersey不是綠帽的重點region,不過Beane去
: : 看過Mike Trout也認真考慮過Rick Porcello所以不是沒有機會抽這邊的新秀.committed
: : to North Carolina.
: : 23.Phillip Ervin R/R OF College:Samford
: : .337/.459/.597 11HR 39/25 BB/SO 21SB-23ATT
: : BA2/6=15/23 KL3/5=NR/50 PG4/5=19/30
: : Not overly physical guy(5'10,205 LBS).good bat speed,quick hands,compact and
: : consistent swing,flash raw power to all fields. plus speed.plus arm.A sprained
: : left ankle in early spring confused scouts if he can stay in CF.如果要一個OF的
: : safe pick那就會是在這裡.
: : 28.Marco Gonzales LHP College: Gonzaga
: : 7-3 2.80ERA 106IP 102H 25BB/96SO
: : BA2/6=22/28 KL3/5=22/23 PG4/5=27/25
: : 典型的後半safe pick.Father:Frank gonzalez(pitching coach).Consistent left-
: : hander with high floor but lacks upside.Polished delivery,88-91 mph fastball
: : with above-average command.two advanced secondary pitches:76-78 mph plus-plus
: : changeup,75-77 mph average 1-7 curveball.如果綠帽覺得它是Tommy MiloneII的話就會
: : 是選擇.
: : 29.Austin Wilson R/R OF College:Stanford
: : .288/.387/.475 5HR 13/18 BB/SO 5SB-7ATT
: : BA2/6=11/29 KL3/5=5/15 PG4/5=10/16
: : 年初預測的Top10 pick,now still potential more than performance for a college
: : guy.Huge upside,very toolsy:6'5 245lbs,great instinct.outstanding arm.good bat
: : speed and easy plus power,good speed and above-average defender.年初elbow的
: : stress reaction讓他能做出的表現離天份更遠了一點.本來覺得不會滑這麼遠,可是看看
: : 那群投手後覺得在20-30看到他是很有可能.大概會在wish list裡當emergency backup.
: : 30.Aaron Judge R/R OF College:Fresno State
: : .369/.461/.655 12HR 35/53 BB/SO 12SB-14ATT
: : BA2/6=21/30 KL3/5=32/17 PG4/5=31/19
: : Basketball player build(6'7 255 lbs).Good hit tool,huge raw power,decent speed
: : and above average defender,strong throwing arm.High K% in college worries
: : scouts.High risk/reward guy.obviously A's model like him('10 31st rounder).覺得
: : 會是另一個backup.
: : 33.Hunter Harvey RHP HS:Bandys HS, Catawba, N.C.
: : 8-0 0.38ERA 54.2IP 23H 17BB/116SO
: : BA2/6=NR/33 KL3/5=42/24 PG4/5=12/21
: : 綠帽常見的rumors之二.bloodline(Bryan Harvey,2-time all-star closer,177 saves.
: : Kris Harvey,2nd rounder),very projectable,good arm speed,fastball sits 89-92
: : mph,occasionally at 97, inconsistent high-70s, low-80s good curve.No interest
: : in attending college and uncommited(no signability concern).
: : 41.Aaron Blair RHP College:Marshall
: : 5-5 2.85RA 82IP 59H 36BB/84SO
: : BA2/6=NR/41 KL3/5=39/31 PG4/5=41/37
: : Big league frame,fastball that ranges from 88-95 mph with heavy life.Plus
: : changeup at 83-85 mph with late fading action.Inconsistent 11-to-5 76-79 mph
: : curveball.常在mock draft看到的人選.
: : 42.Matt Krook LHP HS:St. Ignatius HS, San Francisco
: : 7-2 2.75RA 40.2IP 18H 33BB/42SO
: : BA2/6=NR/42 KL3/5=17/35 PG4/5=28/38
: : Lots of rumors here.Fastball sits 90-92 mph,touches 95,with plus life at times.
: : 12-to-6 low-80s hard curveball,fresh arm.High ceiling,rather raw and delivery
: : need refinement.commitment:Oregon
: : Other notable guys:
: : 11 Hunter Renfroe OF Best package of tools among college bats.出不了top20
: : 14 Dominic Smith 1B Calif. guy.Projects to hit for both power and average,
: : strong defense. 覺得不太可能去選
: : 15 J.P. Crawford SS Calif. guy.Sure thing at shortstop.Questions about his
: : hitting.
: : 17 Ian Clarkin LHP Three quality offerings.local guy卻沒rumor,大概選不到
: : 18 Sean Manaea LHP 原來的Top5,ankle and hip injuries,walked off the mound
: : with a hip injury while warming up for his final start.拿
: : 的機會微乎其微,留給喜歡risk的人去賭.還有他的經紀人是Boras.
: : 26 Tim Anderson SS Raw, junior college product,average arm,plus-plus speed.
: : 有強rumor,但是總覺得不會選到....
: : 45 ChrisAnderson RHP 年初排名不錯,Stock down.Not dominate now maybe because of
: : heavy workload?
: : Mock
: : BA 0509/BA0524/BA0531 :Phillip Ervin/Aaron Judge/Aaron Judge
: : Keith Law 0516/0530 :Hunter Harvey/Hunter Harvey
: : PG 0418/PG0524 :PHILLIP ERVIN/AARON BLAIR
: : JS 0323/JS0516 :Drew Ward/Aaron Blair
: : Matt Garrioch 0106/0525 :Ryan Eades/Matt Krook
: : scout.com 0507/0527 :Phil Bickford/Austin Wilson
: : mlb.com 0516/0530 :Phillip Ervin/Phillip Ervin
: Bickford KeithLaw說在最近連續三振秀中排名往前衝了,不過BA說他有price tag 3M
: 沒什麼綠帽的乳摸
: 其他top15左右看起來是老樣子,15-24有更多人拿Aaron Blair/Devin Williams/Travis
: Demeritte/Josh Hart/Christian Arroyo 的話我們就會更有機會.
: Mock
: BA 0509/BA0524/BA0531/BA0606 :Phillip Ervin/Aaron Judge/Aaron Judge/Judge
: Keith Law 0516/0530/0603 :Hunter Harvey/Hunter Harvey/Hunter Harvey
: PG 0418/PG0524 :PHILLIP ERVIN/AARON BLAIR
: JS 0323/JS0516 :Drew Ward/Aaron Blair
: Matt Garrioch 0106/0525 :Ryan Eades/Matt Krook
: scout.com 0507/0527/0603 :Phil Bickford/Austin Wilson/Phil Ervin
: mlb.com 0516/0530 :Phillip Ervin/Phillip Ervin
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