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作者 scaredreal 在 PTT [ Economics ] 看板的留言(推文), 共24則

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Granger causality is not causality.

[ Economics ]5 留言, 推噓總分: +2

作者: washburn - 發表於 2008/02/27 22:54(16年前)

3^F推scaredreal:所以探討有無causality一點意義都沒阿203.67.167.109 02/27 23:43

[轉錄]Re: [八卦] 中共政策奪資產台商成「台流」

[ Economics ]6 留言, 推噓總分: +4

作者: ck901372 - 發表於 2007/05/18 23:14(17年前)

40^F→scaredreal:哈哈有人以為去大陸設廠只是利潤高....05/18 21:36

43^F→scaredreal:產業鏈上游過去你中下游能不配合上游過去嗎05/18 21:36

48^F→scaredreal:騙騙不懂得人國債上升跟長期稅收不足有關05/18 21:38

50^F→scaredreal:政府拼命減稅預算每年赤字國債能不上升?05/18 21:39

54^F→scaredreal:像我老師她們公司做代工的出貨對象都在大陸05/18 21:40

56^F→scaredreal:阿你是要在大陸做還是在台灣坐再運過去05/18 21:41

58^F→scaredreal:現在代工業利潤頂多4% 你多個運費就競爭不贏05/18 21:41

59^F→scaredreal:不去怎辦? 人家品牌廠就把利潤壓這麼低你能怎辦?05/18 21:42

61^F→scaredreal:台灣股票低迷跟台幣持續走貶的關係還比較大05/18 21:43

62^F→scaredreal:新台幣走貶可是政府主導的為了讓出口成本降低05/18 21:44

65^F→scaredreal:不然你以為留在台灣的代工業扣掉匯兌損失後還能賺多少05/18 21:44

69^F→scaredreal:整篇虎爛連成功率要多高才算高都不知道了05/18 21:45

75^F→scaredreal:不然說我爸朋友再台灣經商失敗了七八次最後成功一次好05/18 21:47

79^F→scaredreal:拉成功率只有1/7 噗可是只要賺一次就把以前全賺回ꠠ05/18 21:47

80^F→scaredreal:不然xki你以為在台灣賣水果不用經過大盤中盤? 笑話05/18 21:48

81^F→scaredreal:菜蟲有沒聽過隻前三星蔥是件你難道忘了?05/18 21:49

84^F→scaredreal:什麼叫證據請列舉台商在各地區投資成功率再來說嘴05/18 21:50

85^F→scaredreal:不然什麼叫高什麼叫低投資有100%成功的嗎?05/18 21:51

87^F→scaredreal:還有最後六點推論根本就是唬爛05/18 21:51

89^F推scaredreal:然後呢? 其他地區成功率多少? 如果都小於1/305/18 21:54

90^F→scaredreal:台商會往大陸擠不是很正常你的數據論點在哪?05/18 21:54

92^F→scaredreal:相對的東西給你弄成絕對不簡單05/18 21:55

95^F→scaredreal:只會寫一些似是而非的東西跟對岸洗腦人民的方式挺像的05/18 21:56

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