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作者 maxspeed150 在 PTT [ BB_Online ] 看板的留言(推文), 共31則

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Fw: [情報] 投手球種價值排行(看看這個才發現其實很多投手球種有誤)

[ BB_Online ]20 留言, 推噓總分: +8

作者: sergio0527 - 發表於 2013/07/30 11:57(12年前)

24^F推maxspeed150:不過這數據要小心看就是07/30 10:58

26^F推maxspeed150:為什麼不可能.................................07/30 11:07

27^F→maxspeed150:就說這數據要小心看了07/30 11:07

29^F推maxspeed150:其實連結裡面都有講這排名的概念07/30 11:09

30^F→maxspeed150:他是去sample所有事件比方說丟了一顆速球後這顆速球07/30 11:10

32^F→maxspeed150:被判好球或壞球所造成的得分期望值改變07/30 11:10

33^F→maxspeed150:所以會有一種情況是一個投手投出了很強大的速球搶下07/30 11:11

35^F→maxspeed150:前兩個好球然後下球配個對他來說普普的滑球讓打者07/30 11:11

36^F→maxspeed150:打出DP 這樣這顆滑球所造成的得分期望值變化比前兩顆07/30 11:11

37^F→maxspeed150:速球大不過總歸來說這投手真正的武器還是速球07/30 11:12

38^F→maxspeed150:然後這是wFB 不是wFB/C07/30 11:13

40^F推maxspeed150:所以連結裡的文章有強調這個顯示的是結果不是預測07/30 11:15

44^F推maxspeed150:所以我覺得很怪啊好像很多人看到數據跟自己心目中的07/30 11:23

45^F→maxspeed150:排名不合第一反應不是去找這數據怎麼來的卻是先否定07/30 11:24

53^F推maxspeed150:這是wCT 不是wCT/C。你的問題就是這答案上面也回答07/30 11:40

55^F→maxspeed150:所以總歸一句還是你不看這數據是什麼就自我想像07/30 11:40

56^F→maxspeed150:直接先否認07/30 11:40

58^F→maxspeed150:你還不是忽略了去了解這數據的意義- -07/30 11:41

63^F→maxspeed150:再者這數據本來就要小心看因為他只能告訴你被打出去07/30 11:42

64^F→maxspeed150:造成的結果而不能告訴你他的球種好不好07/30 11:43

68^F→maxspeed150:話又說回來如果真看FG的wCT/C 會看到很奇怪的榜07/30 11:44

70^F→maxspeed150:因為很多投手根本偶而投一球cutter 然後那球往往有效07/30 11:45

71^F→maxspeed150:這樣wCT/C就會超級高07/30 11:45

73^F→maxspeed150:我發覺有人英文和中文閱讀能力都不太好07/30 11:46

79^F推maxspeed150:所以人家開發這數據時就說了這是個"結果"07/30 11:49

80^F→maxspeed150:代表說今年這個投手投這個球可以達到很好的效果07/30 11:49

82^F→maxspeed150:這數據本來就不是拿來看投手這個球多強的07/30 11:50

87^F→maxspeed150:所以啊這不就是標準的什麼都不懂先罵再說07/30 11:51

90^F→maxspeed150:事實上他提的這些點連結裡面都有解釋為什麼07/30 11:52

[轉錄][情報] 2011 ALL STAR GAME ROSTER

[ BB_Online ]14 留言, 推噓總分: +5

作者: sergio0527 - 發表於 2011/07/11 16:31(14年前)

5^F推maxspeed150:那請問一鴿要推薦誰07/11 14:27

6^F→maxspeed150:Ethier除了HR小卡彈外他的成績可沒對不起明星賽07/11 14:28

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