[問題] 冠軍戰雙圭大戰機率預測
雙拉圭冠軍戰的發生必須滿足以下所有條件:
1.烏拉圭勝荷蘭
2.巴拉圭勝西班牙及德國
首先烏拉圭勝荷蘭的機率預估為:30.42%
巴拉圭勝西班牙的機率預估為23.61%
巴拉圭勝德國的機率預估為20.50%
所以雙拉圭冠軍戰發生的機率為:
30.42% x 23.61% x 20.50% = 1.47%
大約有1.47%的機率可以看到雙拉圭冠軍戰
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