Re: Peace, Love and Thunderstanding…
剛好有一篇文章聊到 KD 前兩年在場上的 +/- 值與今年的差異
KD 前兩年的 +/- 為全聯盟最低，今年是聯盟第二佳。
雖然今年的樣本數還小，不過也可以代表他在場上對於球隊的"正分"是有很大的進步。
http://ppt.cc/h3_u
Kevin Durant eats plus/minus for breakfast By Henry Abbott
This is such a funny story. In most of the NBA, it's kind of a geeky sideshow.
But for a certain bunch of people, mostly in Oklahoma City, it's war.
Here's the basic gist of it: For his first two years in the NBA, Kevin Durant
had some of the worst plus/minus numbers in the NBA -- even as his
traditional stats were off the charts.
It was a weird deal. Very weird.
I wrote about it, and it was taken as some kind of mean-spirited attack, even
though I said all kinds of nice things about the player. Perhaps they were a
little hung up on plus/minus expert Wayne Winston's statement that Durant's
numbers were so bad, he wouldn't take Durant on his team for free.
Durant responded to that post, basically by saying that real fans appreciated
the fact that he was playing as hard as he could, and whatever plus/minus was
we'd be better off letting Kevin be Kevin.
In a response, I talked about plus/minus. It can be ignored in small pieces.
But two years of telling the same story ... that's a lot of evidence.
Watching a metric ton of Durant video made clear that while he's amazing at
tons of things, he had a miserable time defending the pick-and-roll, and
closing out on shooters. Those two things alone could explain why his team
allowed so many more points per possession when he was on the floor. He also
tended to end up shooting against double and triple teams more than most
players.
It's a new season, though, and players Durant's age improve quickly.
And so far this season?
Kevin Durant may have the greatest plus/minus improvement in NBA history.
He was one of the very worst players in the league by that measure last
season, and now he's second-best. Only Dirk Nowitzki rates better in Wayne
Winston's adjusted plus/minus. As of today, Durant's Thunder are giving up
11.5 fewer points per hundred possessions when he's on the floor. And they're
scoring 13.75 more. That's unbelievable. (Interestingly, the next best player
in the NBA, according to this early-season measure, is Marc Gasol. Then
LeBron James and Luol Deng. If those numbers seem a little funny ... it's
early yet. Plus/minus means a lot more with bigger samples.)
Durant's agent, Aaron Goodwin, denies this has anything to do with a newfound
regard for plus/minus. "Kevin is a great player working hard to get better on
offense and defense each day," says Goodwin. " His team overall is playing
better, and they are competitive in games now. Kevin Durant wants to be one
of the best to have ever played the game, and he works hard toward that goal."
Meanwhile Winston is regretting his exact choice of words. "I should have
said 'If KD played in the future like he played in his first two years I
would not want him on my team.' Clearly he has made a fantastic improvement.
... I would certainly want him given how he plays now. He is first team NBA
and possibly MVP."
I have been asked if I regret what I wrote. Heck no! I wrote he had great
potential, but playing D like that, and taking some of those shots, he had
hurt his team in his first two years.
Problem solved.
Hats off to Durant for his hard work. It's a happy story. Take a bow, Kevin!
(And, if you have a free minute, could you tell your fans to stop sending all
that hate mail?)
http://waynewinston.com/wordpress/?p=286
這這裡有詳細的數據 :D
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