[情報] 11W形成

看板TY_Research作者 (markshian)時間13年前 (2011/07/25 22:12), 編輯推噓7(7010)
留言17則, 7人參與, 最新討論串1/3 (看更多)
WTPN32 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (ELEVEN) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z --- NEAR 5.6N 147.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 5.6N 147.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 6.3N 146.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 7.2N 145.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z --- 8.3N 143.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 9.7N 141.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 11.4N 139.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 14.0N 136.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 17.3N 135.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 251500Z POSITION NEAR 5.8N 147.0E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (ELEVEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 505 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVMARFCSTCEN 242251Z JUL 11 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 242300). NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z AND 261500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN 路徑圖:http://tinyurl.com/3wgo3kn 到底會是10W還是11W搶下納坦XD -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 111.251.226.101

07/25 22:22, , 1F
台灣好像又開了防護罩了XD
07/25 22:22, 1F

07/25 22:49, , 2F
10W&11W:誰要出坦?
07/25 22:49, 2F

07/25 22:50, , 3F
順便解釋昨天這張圖http://i.imgur.com/05KnE.jpg
07/25 22:50, 3F

07/25 22:51, , 4F
為什麼會有這張 這張就是台灣開防護罩後的走法XD
07/25 22:51, 4F

07/25 22:51, , 5F
如果我想得沒錯 10W和11W都會像這樣閃過台灣之類的XD
07/25 22:51, 5F

07/25 22:52, , 6F
另外就是 這張圖完全沒有科學根據 除了第一個中心
07/25 22:52, 6F

07/25 22:53, , 7F
老J這報峰值給到90阿... 相當看好的樣子
07/25 22:53, 7F

07/25 22:55, , 8F
JMA的最新天氣並沒有標示TD
07/25 22:55, 8F

07/25 23:25, , 9F
11W增強的滿快的...
07/25 23:25, 9F

07/26 00:43, , 10F
目前11W增強速度增快,未來會北上!但一切取決於高壓再
07/26 00:43, 10F

07/26 00:44, , 11F
度增強是否會將11W梅花颱風向台灣壓過來,須持續觀察!
07/26 00:44, 11F

07/26 03:49, , 12F
樓上,11W還不一定會是梅花颱風
07/26 03:49, 12F

07/26 06:03, , 13F
我到絕得這種遠洋颱風來的機率都不怎麼高...
07/26 06:03, 13F

07/26 06:04, , 14F
今年高壓其實也不怎麼配合 還是認為即使未來偏西
07/26 06:04, 14F

07/26 06:04, , 15F
偏向大陸機率可能還比台灣高些
07/26 06:04, 15F

07/26 06:07, , 16F
而如果未來這颱風強度偏強 越偏北機率就越高 高壓哀
07/26 06:07, 16F

08/13 22:19, , 17F
為什麼會有這張 這張就 https://muxiv.com
08/13 22:19, 17F
文章代碼(AID): #1EBNdOlR (TY_Research)
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文章代碼(AID): #1EBNdOlR (TY_Research)