[情報] 01W 形成

看板TY_Research作者Morbert時間17年前 (2009/05/02 18:20)推噓9(9推 0噓 8→)

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94W 搶先拿到門票了，離2009第一個颱風只差臨門一腳囉~~ 未來將轉向東北東移動，路徑圖：http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/warnings/wp0109.gif

http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/warnings/wp0109web.txt WTPN31 PGTW 020900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z --- NEAR 13.2N 124.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASISTATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 124.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 13.7N 124.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 14.4N 124.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 15.2N 124.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 15.9N 125.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 17.1N 127.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 18.1N 129.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 19.1N 132.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 020900Z POSITION NEAR 13.3N 124.3E. DVORAK ESTIMATES AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS IN THE AREA INDICATE 30KT WINDS NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT BETWEEN NORTHWESTERLIES TO THE NORTH AND A SURFACE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. TD01W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DRIFT TO THE NORTH BEFORE AN APPROACHING MIDLATITUDE TROUGH WILL SUPPRESS THE COMPETING STEERING INFLUENCE TO THE NORTH ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM LAND INLFUENCES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z, 022100Z, 030300Z AND 030900Z. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVMARFCSTCEN 020051Z MAY 09 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 020100). // NNNN -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.122.190.227

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SWW

05/02 18:34, , 1^F

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packie

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