[標的] 3481群創
1. 標的:3481群創
2. 分類:多
3. 分析/正文:
基本面:
今年整體EPS狀況不錯
以2013~2016季均EPS預估今年EPS大概落在3.15
以2014年EPS 2.31,當年12月平均股價15塊來算
明年初發布財報如果符合預期,股價上看20
觀望第傳統旺季四季是否有比例年更高的獲利
https://i.imgur.com/a/8en6g
觀察今年和2014年的EPS和營收狀況
發現其實今年營收沒有特別高,可是EPS卻高很多
再查毛利率與營業利率後發現從2016年第一季之後整題毛利是向上的
甚至超越2014年
https://i.imgur.com/a/hN5F0
不確定是否與產品組合往高獲利的方向移動?(車載面板,手機面板...etc)
但受大陸產能開出疑慮,股價一直沒有噴出的跡象(利多不漲?)
但大陸新廠的良率一直沒有很明確的答案!?
技術面:
股價雖在7/13摜破月線後一直積弱不振
今天也受大盤拖累影響,直接跌回月線懷抱
https://i.imgur.com/a/xQqtJ
但仔細看就會發現周線已經悄悄的在前天突破季線並站穩
月線也正準備進攻季線
籌碼面:
法人這2個月來雖然賣超居多
但偶有幾天大買超
https://i.imgur.com/a/hv7Ud
仔細觀察技術面的關鍵日期
8/22股價摜破月線並站穩
https://i.imgur.com/a/2SwpV
當天外資也是大量買超
https://i.imgur.com/a/k4Mc0
9/18當天股價摜破季線,並帶動之後的周線穿過季線
https://i.imgur.com/a/Plg8Q
雖不確定為什麼當天會有這麼大量的自營避險買盤
不過可以確定的是當天和前一個交易日外資也是大買的
https://i.imgur.com/a/YUdBs
是否有法人刻意拉抬技術線走勢?
4. 進退場機制:(非長期投資者,必須有停損機制)
進場: 月線展穩季線後進場,大概14.7 14.8左右
退場: 第三季EPS未達1塊或是技術面走勢又向下
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※ 編輯: sgps70612 (27.246.32.175), 09/23/2017 00:14:21
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不好意思我不是用手機上傳的
可能要請你點進去看了
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※ 編輯: sgps70612 (27.52.166.44), 09/23/2017 12:25:26
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