[新聞] 花旗交易員:我知道市場鐵定會崩 但只是不知道什麼時候..
花旗交易員:我知道市場鐵定會崩 但只是不知道什麼時候..
1.原文連結(必須檢附):
http://goo.gl/AXgmfL
2.原文內容:
《Zerohedge》報導,上週五 (12日) 花旗 (Citi) 一名債券及衍生性商品 CDS 交易員
Jack Weaner 在一封致投資人信件中承認,雖然目前人人皆知國際債市已處在極高檔的
風險區間,但是由於市場上能夠投資的標的實在是所剩無幾,故當前債券價格依舊在持續
上揚。
而市場資金瘋湧衝入債市的狀況,又以高收益債和新興市場債市最為顯著,據基金研究公
司 EPFR 截至 7 月 28 日當週之數據顯示,新興市場債券基金出現淨流入 33.8 億美元
,且連續四週出現大規模資金流入,顯示市場願意追逐風險的氣氛正在快速上升。
Jack Weaner 對此直言,在當前債市波動率下滑,價格快速走高的環境之下,人們最容易
在這個時候失去風險意識,隨著投資人在一段時間之內持續買進,只要市場出現了一絲崩
盤的訊號,那麼估計就將會引爆市場全面的恐慌性賣壓出籠。
Jack Weaner 在該份致投資人信中寫道:「我知道市場最後必然會這樣結束,但我只是不
知道什麼時候將會崩盤而已。」
而由於歐洲央行長期寬鬆的態度並未改變,歐洲國家債券殖利率也已在近期紛紛寫新了歷
史新低,西班牙十年期公債殖利率週一 (15日) 再度刷下了歷史新低的 0.926%,英國十
年期公債殖利率亦處在歷史最低水平的 0.522%,義大利十年期公債殖利率則來到
1.047% 亦刷新 17 個月以來的新低水平。
3.心得/評論(必需填寫滿20字):
推文會不會有壓力測試
有人推 這樣有說跟沒說一樣
或是說 我也知道會跌 我說台灣以後一定會地震這樣?
不過反正都在吸毒,這次的泡沫會是全球性的就是了。
難怪現在大家都在買資產。 義大利銀行上次壓側還沒過呢
其實市場現在應該像個人為不定時炸彈
--
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