[紅襪] 07/03 今日消息 & 小聯盟戰報
1. 小聯盟戰報
(52-33)Paw Sox http://0rz.tw/2hcbQ 11-5 Scranton/WB (洋基)
(44-38)Sea Dogs http://0rz.tw/YYpi3 7-0 Trenton (洋基)
(40-43) Salem http://0rz.tw/S8EVM 14-6 Myrtle Beach (遊騎兵)
(29-54) Drive http://0rz.tw/QIkwQ 2-4 Lexington (皇家)
( 9-6 ) Lowell http://0rz.tw/Lx2p3 10-3 Connecticut (老虎)
( 5-3 ) GCL Suspended 3-3 GCL Orioles (金鶯) (六局)
(19-7 ) DSL http://0rz.tw/xtmy1 3-2 DSL Dodgers (道奇) (九局上)
Pawtucket AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG
Bradley Jr. CF 4 3 2 1 1 1 3 .305 2B (18) solo HR (7)
Hassan 1B 4 2 2 2 1 0 1 .340 2B (8)
Hamilton, M LF 4 2 1 0 1 1 3 .261
Middlebrooks DH 5 2 4 8 0 0 1 .319 2B (1) 3-run HR (5) Grand Slam (6)
Brentz RF 5 0 0 0 0 1 4 .265
Bogaerts 3B 4 0 1 0 1 0 1 .254
Henry, Ju 2B 5 0 0 0 0 1 6 .237
Rosario, A C 4 1 2 0 0 1 0 .268
Holt SS 4 1 1 0 0 0 1 .267 SB (7)
Totals 39 11 13 11 4 5 20 .261
Pawtucket IP H R ER BB SO HR BF PC-ST ERA GO-FO
Aceves (W, 4-2) 5.0 8 5 5 2 2 2 25 98-61 4.25 6-5 IBB
Carter 2.0 1 0 0 2 2 0 8 28-18 4.37 0-1
Martin, C 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 10-5 3.13 2-0
De La Torre, J 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 13-6 1.64 3-0
--
Scranton/WB AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG
Lillibridge SS 4 1 2 0 0 0 4 .297 2B (5) E (1)
--
Portland AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG
Hissey RF 5 2 2 0 0 0 1 .269 2B (12)
Vazquez C 4 0 1 1 0 0 3 .242 2B (11) GIDP
Cecchini 3B 4 1 3 3 0 0 1 .366 2B (4) 2-run HR (1)
Thomas, T 2B 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 .240
Almanzar DH 3 0 1 0 1 1 1 .291
Shaw, T 1B 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 .236
Wilkerson CF 4 2 2 0 0 0 2 .245 SB (17)
Vitek LF 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 .200
Meneses SS 3 1 1 1 1 0 1 .273
Totals 34 7 11 5 3 4 14 .254
Portland IP H R ER BB SO HR BF PC-ST ERA GO-FO
Britton, D (W, 7-6) 7.0 7 0 0 3 4 0 26 102-66 3.51 9-2 Pickoff
Celestino 2.0 0 0 0 1 2 0 7 32-20 6.35 2-2
Salem AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG
Ramos, H RF 4 1 2 4 1 0 0 .274 SF
Marrero SS 6 1 2 1 0 1 4 .269
De La Cruz, K DH 6 1 2 3 0 0 4 .297 2-run HR (5)
Jacobs LF 4 2 2 2 2 2 0 .236 2B (21)
Welch 3B-1B 3 1 0 0 2 1 4 .275 HBP
Roberson C 5 1 2 1 0 0 3 .292 2B (1) GIDP
Koback CF 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 .256 E (1) HBP
Gedman 1B 2 0 0 0 2 0 3 .244
1-Natoli PR-3B 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 .191
Johns 2B 4 2 2 0 0 1 3 .196 SAC
Totals 39 14 15 12 7 6 23 .256
Salem IP H R ER BB SO HR BF ERA GO-FO
Cuevas, W 6.0 9 5 5 2 6 1 25 5.42 4-2
Ogando (W, 2-1) 2.0 3 1 1 1 0 0 10 4.98 4-2
Price 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 0 4 3.31 1-0
Greenville AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG
Betts 2B 4 1 2 0 0 0 0 .293 SB (17) E (12)
Vinicio SS 3 0 1 0 0 2 1 .217 SAC
Turocy RF 4 1 1 1 0 2 2 .282
Chester 1B 3 0 0 0 1 1 2 .259
Tavarez, A DH 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 .252
Heller LF 4 0 1 1 0 0 0 .289
Guerrero, D 3B 4 0 0 0 0 1 2 .110
Weems C 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 .200
Sanchez, F CF 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 .200
Totals 32 2 5 2 1 9 10 .250
(這隊的打線真不是普通的沒看頭...)
Greenville IP H R ER BB SO HR BF ERA GO-FO
Kukuk 5.0 3 1 0 2 7 0 20 3.90 4-3
Olivares (L, 2-3) 3.0 4 3 3 3 1 1 15 5.18 5-1
Lowell AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG
Lin, T SS 4 1 1 1 1 1 2 .333 E (3, fielding)
Margot CF 4 3 2 1 1 1 2 .283 2B (2)
Mager DH 5 1 1 0 0 3 5 .271
King RF 4 1 3 1 1 1 3 .545
Perkins LF 5 1 2 4 0 1 3 .283 SB (3)
Asuaje 3B 3 0 1 0 2 0 2 .233
Moore 1B 5 0 0 0 0 2 7 .146
Rondon 2B 3 1 1 0 2 0 2 .250 SB (1)
Sopilka C 5 2 2 0 0 1 4 .240 2B (1) GIDP
Totals 38 10 13 7 7 10 30 .241
Lowell IP H R ER BB SO HR BF ERA
Callahan 4.2 5 3 3 1 3 1 20 6.17 WP
Pinales (W, 1-0) 4.1 4 0 0 0 1 0 18 0.00 IRS: 2-0
--
Connecticut AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG
Verlander 1B 3 1 1 0 1 0 3 .245 E (1)
--
DSL Red Sox AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG
Basabe, Luis Alex CF 3 0 0 0 1 1 0 .213
Acosta 3B 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 .241 E (7)
Guzman DH 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 .280 SB (5)
Pena 1B 4 1 1 1 0 0 1 .217
Nunez C 3 1 1 0 0 1 0 .233 SB (9) CS (2)
Lucena C 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 .222 2B (3)
Guerra SS 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 .147
Bartomolde RF 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 .129
Hernandez, J LF 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 .237
Andujar, R 2B 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 .189
Totals 29 3 4 2 4 7 8 .208
DSL Red Sox IP H R ER BB SO HR BF ERA GO-FO
Almonte 4.0 2 2 2 2 4 0 19 1.64 4-1 2 WP 2 Balk HB
Gonzalez, D 2.0 0 0 0 0 2 0 6 1.10 2-0
Rodriguez, Ja (W, 1-0) 2.0 0 0 0 1 3 0 8 3.00 2-0
2. Clayton Mortensen Clears Waivers，成功下放3A！
3. Xander Bogaerts職業生涯(當然WBC不算在裡面)首次守三壘！
--
不過今天只接了一個pop-up，無考驗可言 (在斗六那次也只接一個平飛球...)
4. 鷹俠拿下 Rookies of the Month
鷹俠會想拿AL Rookie of the Year嗎？「有想過，不過比賽時就不會想了─比賽開始
之後重點就是比賽，而我的目標是贏球，幫助球隊打進季後賽然後爭搶冠軍。」
--
鷹俠談國聯Rookies of the Month─古巴好友Yasiel Puig：
"What he's done, amazing," Iglesias said. "Great player. Special player.
I'm very happy for him."
--
- 你跟Puig誰比較強？
"Two different hitters," 鷹俠帶著笑容說。
--
https://twitter.com/MinorLeagueBall/status/352512000011677696 (John Sickels)
Yasiel Puig is so good, Chuck Norris won't pitch to him.
+++
上一個拿下Rookies of the Month的紅襪球員：Ellsbury (2007)
5. 為什麼鷹俠還是第九棒？
「我希望讓有速度的球員串聯起來，這三人在壘上的話就能跑戰術。我不認為把鷹俠
往前挪會有很大的效果。」
--
基本上前面卡了Ellsbury-Victorino-Pedroia，後面接中心棒次(鷹俠也不可能排近中
心棒次)，所以擺第九棒變成9-1-2連線是比較好的辦法。
6. Farrell倒是有把Napoli往後移的打算，Napoli六月份的長打率是糟糕的.434(四月份
.529)，，更糟的是本月只有兩支長打─1 2B 1 HR
--
Farrell表示他的揮棒路徑還是太長。
***
Farrell現在面臨的問題是強力右打跑光了，Napoli表現衰退，中川被下放(但是似乎
有修好的趨勢~)
7. http://0rz.tw/fKpM5 中川追平2B
http://0rz.tw/FBPc4 中川三分彈
http://0rz.tw/5aN8B 大碗吃到飽
http://0rz.tw/QO0fH 補刀
--
中川表示他現在會耐心選球，"selectively aggressive"，「我覺得我找回原來的我
了。」
***
AAA明星賽共兩位入選：Rubby De La Rosa和Anthony Carter
http://0rz.tw/aJKQ1 Carter
***
Matt Spring也成功進入AA明星賽，因此海狗隊一來包下五個席位：
Michael Almanzar (INF), Drake Britton (LHP), Anthony Ranaudo (RHP),
Christian Vazquez (C), Matt Spring (C) (靠 雙捕手入選是哪招)
+++
http://0rz.tw/UYua1 JBJ守打席2B
8. 八釦子感覺狀況不錯：「踏出了正確且重要的一步。」
--
在上丘之前會確定傳120呎沒問題。
**
球團希望他投兩場復建賽，所以明星賽回來的機率趨近於零。
9. Drew開始練跑步、撿滾地球，歸期不遠了
10. Garrell：「最近這三四天中Ross的症狀有比較好了，比較沒有在『開放空間中覺得
東西在移動或是很多噪音』的症狀。」
--
7/9回診(Dr. Collins)
11. http://ppt.cc/0bwq 就是不要讓你助跑啦
12. 共子本季三發代打全壘打，上一個達成的紅襪球員是Bernie Carbo(1977年)的三次
--
2004~2011年之中全隊的代打全壘打都不超過三次
--
共子本季在high leverage PA的情況下：.467/.545/1.200
**
生涯對戰貴格嬸的三打席：2 HR
--
https://twitter.com/MaureenaMullen/status/352631951972249601
"He Gomes'ed it and his team walked off with a win."
13. 本季第九次walk-off，追平2006年
14. 老爹在昨天表示：「我們有很多很會上壘的球員，我們也可以不靠全壘打得分，不過
我們永遠歡迎強打者的加入。我相信在大限前可以找個強打者加入紅襪─
Power is always helpful. People always need power hitters.」
--
老爹今年覺得少了一個像Manny--Youk--A-Gon的保護夥伴，而大家都還是因為沒勇氣
對決老爹而一直閃他。
15. http://t.co/TCy6MzWiMU
傳言指出紅襪還沒決定換Cliff Lee 或 Matt Garza值不值得
--
紅襪對Ricky Nolasco也興致缺缺，因為馬林魚喜歡喊高價
--
另外作者認為把Rubby De La Rosa拉進大聯盟牛棚也是可行的作法
16. http://t.co/RmCYjDeVRr
Red Sox have signed Dominican OF Yohan Aybar for $450,000 on his 16th
birthday.
17. http://0rz.tw/ZRdGH 這次沒有棄踢了
Jonny Gomes on his fake punt: "You've got to keep everyone on their toes,
right? I think I'm all out of tricks now, to tell you the truth."
18. 明日先發： Chris Hernandez (Paw), Charlie Haeger (Por),
Willian Ceavas (Sal), Jacob Dahlstrand (Gre), Ty Buttrey (Low),
Carlos Garcia (DSL), Dioscar Romero (GCL), 補賽 (GCL).
--
"HARD WORK BEATS TALENT
WHEN TALENT FAILS TO WORK HARD."
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 122.117.20.246
推
07/04 18:09, , 1F
07/04 18:09, 1F
推
07/04 18:16, , 2F
07/04 18:16, 2F
推
07/04 19:09, , 3F
07/04 19:09, 3F
推
07/04 19:49, , 4F
07/04 19:49, 4F
推
07/04 20:01, , 5F
07/04 20:01, 5F
推
07/04 20:14, , 6F
07/04 20:14, 6F
推
07/04 20:22, , 7F
07/04 20:22, 7F
推
07/04 20:23, , 8F
07/04 20:23, 8F
有幾個記者有這種想法 不過球團暫時沒有準備要把他移到一壘
推
07/04 21:28, , 9F
07/04 21:28, 9F
推
07/04 22:53, , 10F
07/04 22:53, 10F
推
07/04 23:00, , 11F
07/04 23:00, 11F
目前也只是老爹想招募人而已
推
07/04 23:10, , 12F
07/04 23:10, 12F
→
07/04 23:11, , 13F
07/04 23:11, 13F
→
07/04 23:11, , 14F
07/04 23:11, 14F
→
07/04 23:13, , 15F
07/04 23:13, 15F
推
07/04 23:17, , 16F
07/04 23:17, 16F
Baseball-Reference
Within a game, there are plays that are more pivotal than others. We attempt
to quantify these plays with a stat called leverage index (LI). LI looks at
the possible changes in win probability in a give situation and situations
where dramatic swings in win probability are possible (runner on second late
in a tie game) have higher LI's than situations where there can be no large
change in win probability (late innings of a 12-run blowout).
The stat is normalized so that on average the leverage is 1.00. In tense
situations, the leverage is higher than 1.00 (up to about 10) and in
low-tension situations the leverage is between 0 and 1.0.
Fangraphs
LI (leverage index): A measure of how important a particular situation is in
a baseball game depending on the inning, score, outs, and number of players
on base, created by Tom Tango.
high leverage就是較為關鍵、一下子就造成戰局改變的狀況
相應算法可以參考 http://www.insidethebook.com/li.shtml
BR中可以找到這種數據(以Salty和老爹本季表現為例)
Salty
High Lvrge .211/.286/.263/.549, 0 HR
Medium Lvrge .254/.351/.358/.709, 1 HR
Low Lvrge .278/.331/.556/.886, 7 HR
老爹
High Lvrge .362/.448/.690/1.137, 5 HR
Medium Lvrge .337/.409/.545/ .953, 3 HR
Low Lvrge .264/.379/.609/ .988, 8 HR
不難看出兩人在不同狀況下的表現有何差別
※ 編輯: tanaka0826 來自: 122.117.20.246 (07/04 23:48)
推
07/05 00:01, , 17F
07/05 00:01, 17F
推
07/05 00:06, , 18F
07/05 00:06, 18F
→
07/05 02:31, , 19F
07/05 02:31, 19F
推
07/05 07:23, , 20F
07/05 07:23, 20F
推
07/05 13:17, , 21F
07/05 13:17, 21F
→
07/05 18:40, , 22F
07/05 18:40, 22F
推
07/05 22:38, , 23F
07/05 22:38, 23F
討論串 (同標題文章)
完整討論串 (本文為第 1 之 3 篇)：