Re: [漁塭] Lars Anderson

看板RedSox作者Belladonaa時間16年前 (2009/07/17 01:38)推噓10(10推 0噓 4→)

留言14則, 11人參與討論串2/6 (看更多)

: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=9154 : One scout called him, "the most overrated prospect in baseball," http://www.overthemonster.com/2009/7/14/948928/5-reasons-why-lars-anderson-is Why Lars Anderson is Still a Top Prospect 1. Lars was just promoted. Last year, Lars showed up to AA and dominated. It was a pleasant surprise that he seemed largely unaffected by the third hardest change in baseball level within the minor leagues, especially given that he was leaving one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the majors. Having been given an offseason to cool down off a great hot streak, it's not entirely surprising that Lars is now showing some signs of needing to adjust. It happens to almost all prospects. It looked like Lars might be immune last year, but the fact that he was not should not exactly hurt his stock. 2. Our expectations power-wise were too high. I've seen a number of comments on how Lars has "only" 8 home runs so far this season, and how this is a reason to worry. But looking back at his past years, it's hard to figure out why people think he should have more. 2007: 11 home runs in 493 at bats 2008: 18 home runs in 439 at bats (playing in Lancaster) 2009: 8 home runs in 298 at bats Certainly his ABs/HR has gone up by about 16%, but Lancaster has been known to wreck havoc on those numbers, so it's not all that hard to consider Lars just about on pace to match his typical home run numbers. If there's a problem, it's in a lack of doubles, which can be attributed to a variety of issues. For instance... 3. Anderson was injured. Early in the year, Anderson suffered a back injury, which can certainly lead to a decline in power, and lead some scouts to call him "stiff and unathletic" if seen in short samples. But Lars is 21, and is not about to be felled by a relatively minor injury. Given time, the injury will almost certainly disappear completely and leave Lars as good as new. 4. He's 21 He's a high-school kid who never once struggled with the transition to professional baseball. Lars has put himself in such a position that he's able to have a slump in the minors—an experience some consider necessary to success in the majors—without putting him behind on typical development timetables. If he puts himself in a position to get to Pawtucket in the second half of 2010, then his ETA has likely only been pushed back about half a year. And Pawtucket in 2010 isn't exactly an unlikely scenarion, for the simple fact that... 5. He's getting better. April: .293/.341/.453, 6 BB : 15 K May: .194/.318/.376, 16 BB : 28 K June: .298/.404/.405, 15 BB : 23 K July: .348/.434/.435, 7 BB : 11 K -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 118.160.65.74

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07/17 01:50, , 1^F

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