[農場] Top 20 Hitting Prospects (上)

看板Rays作者knoxvillt (胖胖)時間12年前 (2011/10/16 13:19)推噓17(17推 0噓 15→)

留言32則, 11人參與討論串1/2 (看更多)

Top 20 Hitting Prospects - A Rough Draft http://tinyurl.com/3p5zace -- 來源前言就不翻了，這篇是8月30日的文章，板上有篇top 20 pitching卻無top 20 hitting 就順手補上，拆成上下篇翻譯(個人覺得蠻長的)。 1. Hak-Ju Lee - SS 2A He'll be the system's top hitting prospect but he's fading down the stretch, hitting .211/.287/.368 about three weeks into a promotion to double-A. But his OPS is up .100 points from last season, and made it to Montgomery as a 20-year- old while his body is still developing. His home runs and triples are up (20 combined vs. five last year) and he's maintained a solid plate approach. He's matched 2010's stolen base total of 32, but has been thrown out more than twice as much. I wonder if his spring training case of chicken pox has kept his body from getting in top shaping entering the season, which would potentially explain the caught stealing uptick and the late-season dropoff. Don't forget the plus, maybe plus-plus, glove. 1. 農場頂尖打者新秀，升上2A很明顯地還在適應層級(.211/.287/.368)，但OPS上升接近.100(PS: 2010 OPS .704；2011 OPS .781)。 2. 選球能力維持地不錯，2010年與2011年SB總數皆達到30次(10年32次、11年33次)，但是CS次數卻增加1倍多(10年7次、11年16次)。作者猜想是否與2011年春訓時得到水痘而影響到整季表現連帶CS次數上升。 3. 千萬不要忘記"優異"守備能力。 2. Drew Vettleson - OF 新人聯盟 After seeing many of the Rays' highly-touted draft picks scuffle early in their career, Vettleson's .289/.365/.474 line in his Princeton debut is like water in the desert. He's shown decent power, seven home runs, and speed, 20 stolen bases , as part of an all-around game. Maybe he doesn't have a superstar ceiling, but between the numbers and the scouting reports, he doesn't seem to have a real weakness either. 1. Vettleson 今年在 Princeton 表現可圈可點(.289/.365/.474)，這對缺乏打者新秀的光芒農場無疑是個好消息。 2. 擁有像樣的長打且兼具速度顯示其為全能選手，Vettleson 也許沒有超級球星的潛力但在球探報告表示其似乎沒有明顯的缺點。 3. Tim Beckham - SS 3A He's up to triple-A as a 21-year-old and has had extended showings of the ability that made him such a top pick. His power and stolen base ratio are both up from previous seasons, but his strikeout-walk rate is down and his defense, while improved, isn't in Lee's class. He's shown a willingness to take pitches, but that can work to his disadvantage as he winds up in a lot of two-strike situations. 1. 長打和盜壘能力相較於以往皆有提昇但K/BB比下降，守備已改善很多但是和Lee無法相提並論。 2. 表現出耐心選球/等球，但這樣會使自己常常處於該打席球數2好球的不利情形。 4. Josh Sale - OF 新人聯盟 The .203/.278/.329 line is obviously a letdown from what was supposed to be a polished high school bat, but it's not like he's striking out at an O'Connerian rate. He has a .235 BABIP, an issue that FreeZo took a deeper look at. Short story: It's not low just because of bad luck. It's not time to give up after one season (though I'm sure I'll take heat for ranking him this high), but I think it's fair to say Vettleson has passed him. 1. 以成熟的高中打者來說，這樣的三圍顯然地讓人失望，但被K次數比 Justin O'Conner 好太多(2011 Sale:41次 O'Conner:78次)。 2. BABIP 只有.235 顯示純粹運氣不佳，現在放棄還太早，不過在這階段Vettleson 顯然比他更好(PS:雖然肯定有些人會反對把SALE列這麼高)。 5. Mikie Mahtook - NONE The top bat chosen by the Rays in the 2011 draft, Mahtook will make his unofficial pro debut in the Arizona Fall League. While new bat standards stifled offense around college baseball, Mahtook hit .383/.496/.709. He'll make his real debut in Bowling Green next year. 2011年選下，將在秋季聯盟為職業生涯首次出賽(非正式)，Mahtook 在大學時期擁有令人窒息的進攻火力(.383/.496/.709)，來年會在1A奮鬥(正式出賽)。 6. Brandon Guyer - OF 3A-MLB No, he doesn't walk much and probably isn't going to, but he's hitting .315/.387/.525 in his first International League rodeo. He's sustained an average over .300 against both right- and left-handed pitching, and we'll surely see him for more than a one-game cameo in September. 選到BB的能力不佳(3A:35次)，但在3A繳出很棒的三圍成績(.315/.387/.525)。 Guyer面對左右投AVG皆能維持3成。 7. Derek Dietrich - SS 1A-2A He's likely the frontrunner for the organization's hitter of the year award, leading the organization in home runs with a current .281/.351/.508 line. His 36-116 walk-strikeout ratio is something that can possibly be exploited by upper-level pitching, but I can't penalize him too much as he hasn't gotten the chance to face any. He's going to move off SS pretty soon, and it'll be very interesting to see if he can handle 2B. 1. 在1A的好表現(球隊HR王及.281/.351/.508的三圍)讓他成為1A年度最佳打者領先者，但只有領到36BB且吞下116K使得他面對更高層級的投手會面臨挑戰。 2. 後半段作者表示不會這麼快就下定論，畢竟 Dietrich 還沒對戰到更高層級任何一位投手。Dietrich 很快就會離開SS，假如能守備2B將會相當令人感興趣。 8. Ryan Brett - 2B 新人聯盟 He's a contact specialist (25 walks, 22 strikeouts in in 59 games) but he's not just slapping singles. He's got 19 doubles, five triples, and three home runs and packs solid pop for his 5-9/180 frame. He steals bases efficiently -- 21 steals, 3 times caught -- and plays a decent second base. contact 能力不錯(59場比賽 25bb 22k)但不只會打single，有19 double、3 triple 和3hr的表現，搭配其5呎9吋/180磅的身材，sb相當有效率(21sb、3cs)，2B守的不錯。 9. Tyler Goeddel - NONE He got $1.5 million to buy him away from a UCLA commitment, and that's because he might have the highest upside of any hitter in the draft. He's still quite raw and needs to fill out his 6-4/170 frame, but he shows the makings of decent power and has above-average arm strength and wheels to boot. He'll follow the Sale/Vettleson route and debut in Princeton next year. 1. 因為 Goeddel 擁有很高的潛力所以在選秀會選下並花1.5M簽約，目前需要增加體重 (6呎4吋/170磅)。 2. 擁有不錯的長打實力、平均以上的臂力以及兼具速度，明年會跟隨Sale和Vettleson 的培養路線從Princeton(新人聯盟)出發。 10. Tyler Bortnick - 2B 高階1A He doesn't have eye-popping traditional tools but it's really hard to argue with the results he's shown for two and a half seasons in the organization. His power his down this season, though he's topped 30 doubles, and he's augmented that with 76 walks against 63 strikeouts, helping him to a .423 OBP. Once on base, he steals bases with a remarkable efficiency: 41 steals, just 4 times thrown out. 1. 雖然沒有令人印象深刻的傳統工具(指力量、打擊、速度...等)，但是來到農場這2個半季的表現很難讓人去批評他。 2. 本季長打略有下滑但還是擊出34支double，而且大幅增加選球能力(76bb、63k)幫助 obp達到.423。上壘後，Bortnick sb效率相當驚人：45次嘗試sb成功41次，只有4次 cs。有錯請指正，謝謝。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 61.231.54.34 ※ 編輯: knoxvillt 來自: 61.231.54.34 (10/16 13:26)

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