[外電] 今年冬天 該怎麼整合一堆好球員
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Breaking Down How the Texas Rangers Can Solve Their Talent Overload This Winter
By Zachary D. Rymer (MLB Lead Writer) on September 6, 2012
Darn those Texas Rangers. As if having the best record in the American League
and two straight American League pennants to show off wasn't already good
enough, they also have a problem that every team in baseball would love to
have.
The Rangers have too much talent.
條子有個讓人稱羨的困擾:
好球員太多了
Yeah, yeah. We can debate for hours whether or not the phrase "too much
talent" has any business being uttered inside or outside of baseball. Teams
need as much talent as they can get, and the Rangers don't have "too much"
talent so much as they have "more than most."
But let's face it. With guys like much-hyped shortstop prospect Jurickson
Profar and third-base prospect Mike Olt ready to contribute, the Rangers are
in a bit of a tough spot all of a sudden. Profar and Olt are no use to them
as backups going forward, and spots aren't going to open up for them to play
every day unless Rangers GM Jon Daniels makes a trade or two.
頂級新秀 Jurickson Profar 和 Mike Olt 都已經準備好了
可是大聯盟沒有他們的先發位置 也不可能讓他們打替補
If he were to make a couple trades to accommodate Profar and Olt, it's true
that he would be sacrificing the team's considerable depth. However, he has
the kind of tradeable assets that could bring back star players in return,
thus making the Rangers an even stronger team even despite their sudden lack
of depth.
To this end, it's time to have a talk about the Rangers' options this winter.
讓我們來討論一下
如果想透過交易的方式解決
有哪些可供參考的選項
Trade Elvis Andrus?
Jurickson Profar arrived in the big leagues as the No. 2 prospect in all of
baseball, according to Baseball America. He proceeded to live up to the hype
by homering and doubling in his debut.
There's basically no going back for Profar now. He has little left to prove
in the minor leagues, and Anthony Witrado of The Sporting News pointed out
that the Rangers wouldn't have called him up in the first place if they
didn't have it in mind to make Profar an everyday player in 2013.
In order for them to do that, somebody's going to have to go. And since Elvis
Andrus and Profar play the same position, Andrus is the obvious trade
candidate.
頂級新秀 Profar 基本上已經回不去小聯盟了
他在小聯盟已經幾乎沒有需要證明的能力
為了要讓他能夠天天先發 有人必須要離開
貓王 Elvis Andrus 顯然是個選項
Many have noted as much, including Ken Rosenthal of FoxSports.com. He floated
the idea of the Rangers trading Andrus and prospects to the Tampa Bay Rays
for David Price, who is getting to be too expensive for the Rays.
Price is not too expensive for the Rangers, and he's appealing for them
because he's one of the top aces in baseball. The Rangers have been a great
team for a few years now, but a true No. 1 starting pitcher is something
they've been lacking.
把貓王加幾個新秀拿去換 David Price 如何?
Price對光芒而言太貴
但對條子來講Price不算太貴 而且是朝思暮想的 true ACE
The Rays may not go for Andrus seeing as how he's a Scott Boras client who is
scheduled to hit free agency after the 2014 season. That doesn't make him
completely untradeable, though, as there are surely a lot of teams that
wouldn't mind coughing up pitching for a shortstop who leads all major league
shortstops in WAR, according to FanGraphs.
For example, the Arizona Diamondbacks could be willing to do an
Andrus-and-prospects swap for Justin Upton (pure speculation on my part).
光芒或許會因為 Andrus 是波拉斯的客戶而拒絕這筆交易
但還有其他交易的選項
比如說貓王加幾個新秀換 Justin Upton ?
The obvious hangup here is that Andrus is 24 and still getting better as a
player. The Rangers may be better off trying to lock him up, choosing instead
to trade someone else.
交易貓王最大的困擾是 他才24歲而且一年比一年好
條子也許會考慮用個長約把他綁住 而不是交易他
Trade Ian Kinsler?
The Rangers and Ian Kinsler just agreed to a five-year extension this past
April. The notion of turning around and trading him is pretty silly, right?
Not really, actually.
Inking Kinsler to an extension was the right idea at the time, as he was
fresh off a 2011 season in which he posted the sixth-highest WAR among all
major league players, according to FanGraphs. The Rangers figured they were
locking up a superstar.
Unfortunately for them, Kinsler has regressed to where he was in 2010. His
on-base percentage of .336 is not going to cut it seeing as how he's the
club's leadoff hitter. He needs to be a lot closer to .400, and that's a mark
he's avoided even in his best years.
今年四月條子才與 Kinsler 簽下五年延長合約
馬上把他交易走 是不是蠢翻了? 實際上並不是這樣
2011年小金交出聯盟第六高的 WAR
不幸的是今年球季退回他2010年的樣子
只有 .336的上壘率讓他看起來不像首棒打者
Trading Kinsler instead of Andrus was an idea that Evan Grant of The Dallas
Morning News proposed in a recent chat, saying it would make sense to at
least explore the possibility.
My guess is that Kinsler's value would be about equal to Andrus' out on the
trade market. He may be older and more expensive, but the fact that he's
locked up through 2017 with an option for the 2018 season could lead
second-base-needy teams to go after him. Star second basemen who are
controllable just don't show up on the trade market all that often.
作者認為 Kinsler 的交易價值與貓王差不多
他是個明星二壘手且可以控制到2018年
市場上這樣的選手不很常見
If I had to throw a fit for Kinsler out there, I'd have to go with the
Toronto Blue Jays. They have a very deep farm system, they don't have a
long-term answer at second base and Kinsler would fit well in the powerful
lineup Alex Anthopoulos has put together.
Come to think of it, Daniels should have all AL East teams on speed dial this
winter. Things are getting awfully real in that division.
把 Kinsler 交易給藍鳥是個選項
他們還在尋找長期2B的解答 而且有肥沃的農場
If the Rangers were to trade Andrus, they could put Profar in his place. If
they were to trade Kinsler instead, they could move either Andrus or Profar
to second base. Either trade would solve the Profar dilemma.
As for the Mike Olt dilemma...
交易貓王的話 Profar可以頂替他的位置
交易小金的話 可以選擇把貓王或Profar放在2B
兩種方法都可以解決現在的困境
接下來繼續想怎麼處理 Mike Olt 吧
Trade Mitch Moreland ?
Olt is a third baseman by trade, but he's played a little first base and a
little right field since he got the call to the majors.
Olt probably isn't going to be playing third base for the Rangers on an
everyday basis in the near future. That's Adrian Beltre's home, and he's
pretty darn good.
Right field is also a tough one, as that's Nelson Cruz's position and he's
also pretty good.
That leaves first base, a place where Mitch Moreland has established himself
as a solid offensive producer and a decent defensive presence.
Olt 是個三壘手 也有在大聯盟守1B或RF的一點點經驗
可是目前三壘的 Beltre 與右外野的 Cruz 都非常好
一壘的 Moreland 也證明自己是個合格的一壘手
The Rangers could go with a Moreland/Olt platoon at first base next season,
but that wouldn't be the most efficient way to play things. Moreland has
become too good to be a part-time player, and giving Olt part-time duty would
make it hard for him to make good on his star-level potential.
Instead of keeping both Moreland and Olt and holding both of them back by
stashing them in a platoon situation, why not bolster the team by trading
Moreland?
讓 Moreland/Olt 這兩個一左一右的打者分享一壘呢?
這看起來不會是最有效率的辦法
Moreland 打替補太浪費了
只給明星潛質的 Olt 一個兼職的工作也說不過去
這個位置容不下兩個人 那把 Moreland 交易掉呢?
This is another idea that Grant proposed in his chat, and I think it's a good
one because the market for Moreland's services could be more demanding than
you may think.
Moreland is just now coming into his own as a player, and the timing couldn't
be more perfect seeing as how he still has several years of arbitration
eligibility before he hits free agency. Plenty of teams out there could use a
first baseman like him.
Such as, for example, the Seattle Mariners, Boston Red Sox, Tampa Bay Rays
(yup, them again) and the Miami Marlins.
If the Rangers trade Moreland, they could stash Olt at first base and never
look back.
這是個好主意 因為 Moreland 的價值可能超過你的想像
許多隊都需要像他這樣 便宜又可以控制幾年的一壘左打者
比如說水手、紅襪、光芒、馬林魚
把 Moreland 交易走之後 就可以讓 Olt 一直待在一壘了
If they'd rather keep both Moreland and Olt around—and they just might
seeing as how both of them are talented and controllable—they could trade
someone else instead.
如果想同時留住這兩個選手
那只好想想有沒有別的位置可以容納 Olt
Trade Nelson Cruz?
Since 2009, the only right fielders with higher slugging percentages than
Nelson Cruz are Jose Bautista and Giancarlo Stanton, according to FanGraphs.
He can definitely hit the ball far, and for that, the Rangers are forever
grateful.
The problem with Cruz is that power is really all he brings to the table.
He's at best a decent right fielder, and he's neither going to hit for a high
average nor post a high on-base percentage.
自從2009年以後 SLG比Cruz高的RF只有 Bautista 和 Stanton
但他的打擊率與上壘率不太能讓人滿意
The Rangers could make Cruz their full-time DH in 2013 in order to pave the
way for Olt to play every day in right field, but that would leave Ron
Washington with virtually no means to squeeze Michael Young into the lineup
every day.
And, you know, that's kind of a problem for Washington, for good or ill
(mostly ill).
讓 Olt 把守RF 然後讓 Cruz 當個全職DH如何?
Ron Washington 幾乎不可能這樣做
因為這代表沒辦法把 Michael Young 放入每日輪值
So one option is for the Rangers to trade Cruz, who has a year to go before
he hits free agency. Teams that need power in right field (or at DH) would be
interested.
The only issue is that the Rangers wouldn't get as much in a trade for Cruz
as they'd get in a trade for Andrus and Kinsler due to Cruz's age, his
one-dimensional skill set and his dying contract.
If Daniels would prefer to get a huge return in a trade (and why wouldn't
he?), there's someone else besides Andrus and Cruz who he could consider
trading.
把 Cruz 交易走是一個辦法
但問題是他沒有像 Andrus 或 Kinsler 那樣的交易價值
他年紀已經大了 也只剩下一年合約
把他交易走換不到太多東西
Trade Adrian Beltre?
Adrian Beltre was worth every penny for the Rangers in his first season with
the team in 2011, and he's once again providing tremendous value in 2012.
In fact, I have him right up there behind Miguel Cabrera and Mike Trout in
the AL MVP race. This is in no small part thanks to his recent hot stretch,
but Beltre deserves due credit for being one of the Rangers' most consistent
players all season long.
另外一個可以得到豐厚回報的交易選項是 Adrian Beltre
他值得條子所付的每一分錢
他在2011與2012都提供了巨大的貢獻 是團隊中最穩定的選手
Since he has another three years and a vesting option for 2016 left on his
contract, it's safe to say Beltre isn't going anywhere, right?
Yeah, probably. I haven't seen or heard of any chatter that the Rangers may
be considering trading him, nor would I expect to hear any seeing as how
Beltre is having an MVP-caliber season for a World Series-caliber team.
So let's be clear: The notion that the Rangers might trade Beltre this
offseason to clear some space for their youngsters is pure speculation on my
part.
I don't think such speculation is too outlandish, though. Beltre's value on
the trade market is going to be sky-high this season, and trading him now
before he gets too old could very well work out for the Rangers in the end.
從來沒有聽過條子想交易 Adrian Beltre 的傳言
就當是瞎猜測吧
但這個猜測還是有點道理的 因為現在 Beltre 的交易價值像天一樣高
趁他還沒有變得太老 把他交易走 可能會是筆成功的買賣
And make no mistake, it won't be long before Beltre gets old. He's already 33
years old, and he has a lot of miles on his body seeing as how he's been in
the majors since he was 19 years old. A couple years from now, he could be an
albatross.
Other teams will be worried about this, too, but the Rangers would still be
able to find a taker for Beltre if they were to dangle him. And if they were
to trade him, they'd be able to go with a very young infield.
已經33歲的 Beltre 不用太久就會開始老化
兩年後他可能變成讓人煩惱的重擔
當然其他隊也會考量這點 但還是可以找到願意交易的球隊
Olt would be the most obvious fit at third base, but plugging him in there
wouldn't solve the Profar/Andrus conundrum. Instead, the Rangers would be
better off playing Andrus at third (he played there in the All-Star Game) and
stashing Profar at short. They'd then have Kinsler at second and a platoon of
Moreland and Olt at first.
If Moreland is also traded, the Rangers could move forward with an infield of
Andrus, Profar, Kinsler and Olt. The only one of the four over the age of 24
is Kinsler, and he still has a few years to go before he exits his prime.
假設將 Beltre 交易走 那 Olt顯然是個最適合接手的球員
但這樣並不能解決 Profar/Andrus 的難題
條子可能會選擇把 Andrus 送到三壘 讓Profar站游擊
Kinsler站二壘 而 Moreland/Olt 分享一壘
如果再把 Moreland 也交易掉
那 Andrus/Profar/Kinsler/Olt 的內野防線只有小金超過24歲
而且他會在條子待上很長很長一段時間
That's the hell of it. Even if the Rangers trade off talented players like
Beltre and Moreland, they'll still have an infield that the rest of the
league will envy.
真該死
即使把 Beltre 和 Moreland 這兩個好球員都交易走
條子內野陣容還是讓其他球隊羨慕
--
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◆ From: 118.169.45.55
※ 編輯: kaijun 來自: 118.169.45.55 (10/09 00:03)
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