[心得] 9/17金融期一開盤做空勝率大?
今天金融期開盤後沖高,指數最高779.6,快漲停。
我立即判斷指數繼續上攻到漲停的機率很低,因美
國金融危機未除,前景不佳。此時如果做空,就算
倒楣遇到指數漲停損失也不大,因有7%漲停幅限制,
且漲停隨時可能解除。 相反地,指數下跌的機率
遠大於上漲,做空獲利勝率很大。
總言之,早上九點前金融期指數有三種走勢:
1.繼續上漲接近漲停,機率很低,且做空的話損失小。
2.維持高點橫向震盪,但機率也不高。
3.反轉向下,這是我看了兩個多月的盤獲得的直覺,做
空的話獲利勝率大。
以上是在下看盤的心得,煩請板上先進不吝賜教,分享看法或
指出盲點,感激。
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 140.117.200.35
推
09/18 00:03, , 1F
09/18 00:03, 1F
推
09/18 00:04, , 2F
09/18 00:04, 2F
推
09/18 00:05, , 3F
09/18 00:05, 3F
→
09/18 00:05, , 4F
09/18 00:05, 4F
→
09/18 00:06, , 5F
09/18 00:06, 5F
→
09/18 00:07, , 6F
09/18 00:07, 6F
→
09/18 00:09, , 7F
09/18 00:09, 7F
→
09/18 00:18, , 8F
09/18 00:18, 8F
→
09/18 00:19, , 9F
09/18 00:19, 9F
→
09/18 00:19, , 10F
09/18 00:19, 10F
推
09/18 01:10, , 11F
09/18 01:10, 11F
→
09/18 01:14, , 12F
09/18 01:14, 12F
推
09/18 01:23, , 13F
09/18 01:23, 13F
→
09/18 01:24, , 14F
09/18 01:24, 14F
推
09/18 01:55, , 15F
09/18 01:55, 15F
→
09/18 01:56, , 16F
09/18 01:56, 16F
推
09/18 02:25, , 17F
09/18 02:25, 17F
推
09/18 06:39, , 18F
09/18 06:39, 18F
→
09/18 11:59, , 19F
09/18 11:59, 19F
推
09/18 11:59, , 20F
09/18 11:59, 20F
→
09/18 16:30, , 21F
09/18 16:30, 21F
→
09/20 02:30, , 22F
09/20 02:30, 22F
討論串 (同標題文章)
完整討論串 (本文為第 1 之 2 篇):