Re: [外電] Prospect Report Redux: Brett Gardner

看板NY-Yankees作者joe1987 (joejoe)時間15年前 (2010/09/03 21:29)推噓28(28推 0噓 11→)

留言39則, 26人參與討論串2/2 (看更多)

大略翻一下有錯請指正 ※ 引述《jdtrue (練習微笑每一次)》之銘言： : http://www.minorleagueball.com/2010/9/1/1659461/ : prospect-report-redux-brett-gardner#storyjump or http://tinyurl.com/23bqng5 : by John Sickels on Sep 1, 2010 12:00 PM EDT : Prospect Retro Redux: Brett Gardner : Yankees outfielder Brett Gardner is hitting .286/.387/.383 this year in 464 : plate appearances, with 61 walks, 80 strikeouts, and 37 steals in 44 : attempts. He's shown improved patience compared to last year (last year he : had 26 walks in 284 plate appearances), and his overall production of 113 : OPS+ is much better than last season's 93 mark or the 53 he put up in 2008. : His defense in left field is excellent. WAR rates him highly at 4.1 this : year, up from 2.2 in 2009. 腿弟今年在464個PA中打出了.286/.387/.383(這長打率....)、61個BB、80個SO以及 37次SB(7次CS)，他展現了比去年更進步的耐心而且113的OPS+也勝過去年的93以及08 年登上大聯盟時的53，更別說他傑出的左外野防守能力。就算是在進階數據的WAR上，也是令人稱羨的4.1(去年2.2)。 : What was he like as a prospect? : I did a Rookie Profile of Gardner about two years ago, in September of 2008. : http://www.minorleagueball.com/2008/9/24/620941/analysis-of-yankees-prospe : ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Brett Gardner was drafted by the Yankees in the third round in 2005, from the : College of Charleston. Speed was his calling card, speed and the ability to : draw walks, but his power was questionable. He hit .284/.377/.376 with 19 : steals for Staten Island in the New York-Penn League after signing. I gave : him a Grade C+ in the 2006 book, noting that I thought he was a slight : overdraft, but that I thought he could be a useful player if he showed enough : pop to survive at higher levels. 那麼，讓我們來看看腿弟在小聯盟時的評價吧，林背我兩年前有寫了一份報告。腿弟是洋基2005第三輪選進的，當時的主要武器是速度和選球能力，但是Power就慘不忍睹了，在簽約後所待的第一個聯盟，繳出.284/.377/.376以及19次SB的成績，而我在06年給他的評等是C+(譯註:通常這個等級要站穩大聯盟較難)，請注意我認為他有點overdraft(意指被選進的輪數太前面)，但我認為如果他能在更高階段展現出一些長打能力的話，將會是一位很有用的打者。 : Gardner hit .323/.433/.418 with 30 steals in 63 games for Class A Tampa in : 2006, then .272/.352/.318 with 28 steals in 55 games for Double-A Trenton. I : kept him as a Grade C+ in the 2007 book, noting his speed, willingness to : take walks, and defensive ability, but remaining doubtful that he would show : enough pop to start. I wrote that he had "an outside chance to become Juan : Pierre, but I think Jason Tyner-with-more-walks is more likely." 接著腿弟在1A的63場出賽繳出.323/.433/.418、30次SB，在AA的55場比賽繳出.272/ .352/.318、28次SB，我在07年還是給了他C+的評等，速度、選球、守備依然突出，但是長打能力也仍舊沒有起色，我這樣寫著:有機會變成Juan Pierre，但更會撿BB的 Jason Tyner會比較有可能。 : Returning to Trenton to begin 2007, Gardner hit .300/.392/.419 in 54 games : with 18 steals, then hit .260/.343/.331 in 45 games for Triple-A Scranton : with 21 steals. My analysis didn't change: I kept him at Grade C+ in the 2008 : book, again noting his ability to get on base and swipe bags, but again : noting the lack of power and projecting him as a fourth outfielder. 07年在AA的表現依舊不錯，然後升到了AAA在45場比賽中繳出.260/.343/.331和21次SB ，我在08年的分析不變:C+評等，優勢與缺點依舊，使得他被認為是第四號外野手的料。 : Gardner hit .296/.414/.422 this year for Scranton, with 37 steals in 94 : games. In his major league action, he's hit .202/.263/.279 in 104 at-bats. : Obviously that kind of performance is unacceptable. He's stolen 11 bases in : 12 attempts, which is excellent, but otherwise he's been quite weak : offensively. His plate discipline, which was terrific in the minors, has not : translated well to the majors, with just eight walks and 26 strikeouts in 104 : at-bats. And the lack of power is obvious for all to see. 08年球季後半他升上MLB，104個AB裡繳出.202/.263/.279慘不忍睹的成績，這當然是無法接受的，雖然12次嘗試盜壘就成功11次很棒，但也幾乎只有這項優點了，他在小聯盟時優異的選球能力，無法有效的轉換到MLB，104個AB中只撿了7個BB而且被三振了 26次，而長打能力的貧乏更是顯而易見。 : What does the future hold? Despite the early problems, I still think he's got : a future as a fourth outfielder. Gardner's track record is to thrive at one : level, then struggle a bit in his first shot at the next level before : adjusting and doing better in the second try. The lack of power is always : going to be an issue, but he should get at least some of the plate discipline : back. Not all of it: he doesn't have enough pop to scare pitchers into giving : him excessive walks, but I expect much of the patience will return in time. 那腿弟的未來如何呢?雖然有上述的問題存在，我仍然認為他可以成為第四號的外野手，根據過往的紀錄，腿弟在升上新的層級時會先掙扎一陣子，調整之後便能適應的不錯，Power的缺乏的確會是個問題，不過他的選球能力應該至少會恢復一些，雖然投手會因為他長打力不足而不太保送他(應該是指不會投的太閃)，但我期待大部分的耐心會隨著時間回來。 : His MLEs show him as a .250-.280 hitter with a .340-.370 OBP. The bottom : range of that is unacceptable for a regular, but the upper range would be OK : given his speed and glovework. 預測他會是有著.25~.28打擊率和.34~.37上壘率的打者，當然對一個固定先發而言下界是很不OK的，但上界伴隨著他的速度和防守會是很OK的。 : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : I think the original assessment of Gardner as Jason Tyner with more walks is : still a good one. Whether that's enough to be a regular depends on the style : of team I suppose. Gardner's glovework in center field is well-regarded; his : arm is weak but he has excellent range. If you're getting enough power at : other positions, Gardner in center field is plausable, but personally I still : think he's best off as a fourth outfielder. HIs offense will be marginal for : a regular, although if he hits at the top end you can make a case. : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 我認為之前所預測的成為更會凹保送的Jason Tyner還是很不錯，在某些隊伍裡足以擔任先發了(不過當然不是洋基)，腿弟中外野的防守也很不錯，雖然臂力不好但是廣泛的守備範圍彌補了這點，如果你在其他位置的火力夠了，腿弟的中外野會讓你很蘇服，但我還是覺得他比較適合擔任第四號外野，畢竟在這個CASE上他的打擊能力要能夠達到上界。 : This year at least, Gardner has performed at the upper range of my : projections for his career, with a batting average pressing .290 now. He got : the patience back, as I expected, but overall he's developing towards the : maximal range of his potential outcomes. 至少在今年，腿弟表現出上界的水準，接近.29的打擊率，選球的耐心也回來了，不過我認為這也差不多是他潛力的天花板了。 : Is he "Jason Tyner with more walks?" Tyner hit .275/.314/.323 in his career. : Gardner is at .271/.357/.368 so far. He's shown a bit more pop than Tyner, : and yeah, a lot more walks, plus he's a better defender than Tyner was. : Overall, Gardner has turned out a bit better than I anticipated two years : ago, at least this year. : Yankees fans: would you be satisfied with Gardner as your regular left : fielder for the next few years? 那腿弟會是Jason Tyner嗎?就目前的數據來看腿弟甚至還超越了一些，而且，超會凹 BB的呢，總結來說，腿弟超出了我兩年前的預估。對洋基迷來說，你們願意讓腿弟繼續當未來幾年的先發LF嗎? -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 123.192.70.248

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