[農場] New York Yankees Top-15 Prospects of …
看板NY-Yankees作者appshjkli (Red Spider Lily)時間15年前 (2009/01/17 08:18)推噓10(10推 0噓 5→)留言15則, 12人參與討論串1/10 (看更多)
http://www.baseball-intellect.com/new-york-yankees-top-prospects/
New York Yankees Top-15 Prospects of 2009, No’s 1 - 5
January 16, 2009
1. Jesus Montero | C/1b | B - R | Charleston (A) | Age - 19| Signed - Venezuela
, 2006
Contact - 40 Now | 55 Future
Power - 40 | 65
Discipline - 35 | 45
Speed - 35 | 30
Defense - 35 | 40/45
Arm - 60 | 60
Instincts - 40 | 55
Final Grade - B+
Body Type - big, tall, and strong
Scouting Report
Performed very well for a player his age at Single-A Charleston and what
makes him most intriguing is the fact he is being groomed as a catcher. Some
feel he will eventually have to move off the position as he doesn’t possess
the footwork to stay behind the plate. The only truly plus defensive asset he
possesses at the moment is his arm strength.
The Yankees will give Montero every chance they can to make the relationship
between Montero and catcher work. His value receives an enormous boost should
he remain at the position. Should he have to move, third base would be the
next best option, followed by first base, where his bat would play, but would
be much closer to average than at the other two positions. Even a move to
third base would be difficult because it’s unknown if he has the feet for
the position
Montero has tremendous strength and plus raw power, though that power hasn’t
translated into game situations yet. Montero has shown the ability to make
hard contact and combined with the relatively low K% for a player of his
kind, he could hit for a high average.
Montero still needs work on his plate discipline and patience, but this is a
skill that can be improved with experience so it’s not too big a concern at
this point.
Best Case Outcome - All-Star catcher…should he move off the position, his
bat could still make him a top-7 offensive player at third base, or slightly
above average at first base.
More Likely Outcome - Top-5 catcher, slightly above average third baseman, or
average first baseman
2. Dellin Betances | RHP | Single-A Charleston | Age - 21 | Drafted - Round 8
, 2006
Fastball - 60 Now | 65 Future
Curveball - 50 | 60
Change-Up - 40 | 45
Control - 35 | 40
Command - 35 | 45
Pitchability - 45 | 55
Final Grade - B/B+
Body Type - 6-foot-8, long, lanky, and athletic
Stuff
Fastball - usually sits in the mid-90’s with late life…velocity dropped due
to injury early in the year, but regained it later in the year
Curveball - a power 12-to-6 curve, flashing plus potential but very
inconsistent in terms of command
Change-Up - not an average pitch yet and still developing, but he’s shown a
feel for the pitch and was quick to learn the pitch when he entered the
Yankee organization
Scouting Report
Betances is one of the more fascinating prospects in baseball because of his
raw stuff, his size, and the gap between his upside and worst-case scenario.
As many are aware, taller pitches take longer to develop command. It’s much
harder for tall pitches to coordinate all their moving parts and consistently
repeat their mechanics. I don’t think it helps that many organizations
consistently try to overhaul a pitcher’s mechanics in order to make them
simpler–in their mind, more repeatable. I’ve always stressed a pitcher’s
mechanics need to feel natural. What works for one pitcher might not work for
another.
The Yankees changed his mechanics between the time he was drafted and the the
start of the 2007 season. On the left is Betances in high school, while the
right shows him during the 2007 season. The videos are just a quick-and-dirty
look at some of the changes and the clip on the left is missing frames, so
they are not synchronized to release.
The changes implemented by the Yankees are as follows:
1. He reaches a “balance point”, coming to a stop when his knee reaches its
uppermost point and then falling toward home. In high school, Betances would
drift through his balance point. Pitchers that use a balance point use less
body and more arm than pitchers that drift. For further explanation, see this
article.
2. More of a shoulder tilt, which helps pitchers maintain balance as they
lead with their hips…used by many taller pitchers.
3. Notice the glove arm pointing in the direction toward third base. He used
to extend his arm more out in front as most pitchers do. I’m sure this
change was made in an effort to keep his front shoulder from opening too soon.
Unfortunately, video of prospects playing in Charleston (or Tampa for that
matter) were difficult to find, so I’m not sure what worked for him in 2008.
But the changes made prior to 2007 didn’t work well at the time. Betances
again got off to a rocky start in 2008, but something clicked when he
returned from an elbow injury in July. Here are Betances’ numbers
month-by-month of last year (between 23 and 31 innings each month):
April - 32 K%, 16.4 BB%, .242 BABIP, GB% of 48, HR:FB% of 14.3
May - 20.4%, 16.8%, .237, 27%, 11.6%
July - 25.8%, 9.1%, .304, 50%, 3.3%
August -30.6%, 5.8%, .333, 47%, 0.0%
The three big changes were much improved control, keeping the ball in the
park, and becoming a bit more hittable. The more hittable thing isn’t
necessarily bad because it probably means he was at least around the plate.
The success of Betances during the second half of the season has to have many
Yankee fans extremely pleased.
Best Case Outcome - No. 2 starter…he does have No. 1 starter stuff, but I
don’t think he’ll ever develop the command to be a true No. 1
More Likely Outcome - No. 3/4 starter…control will likely always be an issue
for him.
3. Austin Jackson | CF | B - R | Double-A Trenton | Age - 21 | Drafted -
Round 8, 2005
Check back soon for a more in-depth report on Jackson…
4. Andrew Brackman | RHP | N/A | Age - 23 | Drafted - Round 1 (30), 2007
Fastball - 65 Now | 70 Future
Curveball - 55 | 60
Change-Up - 45 | 50
Control - 35 | 40
Command - 35 | 40/45
Pitchability - 40 | 45
Final Grade - B/B-
Body Type - very tall at 6-foot-10, but very athletic (played basketball at
NC State)
Stuff
Fastball - throws a sinking 2-seamer in the 92 - 94 range and a 4-seamer that
reaches the mid-90’s and touches 97…all this was before Tommy John surgery
sidelined him last season. It was reported that his velocity was back up in
the Hawaii Winter League.
Curveball - two versions, one being a knucklecurve thrown in the low-mid 80’
s and a slower show-me curve in the mid-70’s.
Change-Up - still needs to further develop the pitch and really hasn’t had
the in-game experience to do that.
Scouting Report
The raw stuff is there to be a potential front of the line starter. The
control nor the overall results have matched his stuff at any level. Control
of all his pitches has been wildly inconsistent, and that’s not something we
shouldn’t expect when it comes to tall pitchers as I mentioned earlier.
Brackman’s athleticism leads many people to believe he will eventually find
his control.
Mechanically, Brackman’s tempo is painfully slow. He’s another pitcher that
reaches his balance point and then falls toward home plate. No doubt his
mechanics were implemented because his coaches felt he needs something
simpler, slower to coordinate all his moving parts. The problem is slowing a
pitcher doesn’t always accomplish the desired goal–to throw more strikes.
Best Case Outcome - Borderline No. 1 starter, but a long shot to reach to his
upside
More Likely Outcome - No. 3/4 starter…he’s similar to Betances, but the
fact he has yet to pitch as a professional, has yet to put up good results at
the levels he has played at, has yet to show he can remain healthy over the
course of a full season, and is a little over two years older than Betances
makes me think more highly of Betances at the moment. I have too many
questions about Brackman at this point.
5. Mark Melancon | RHP | Triple-A Scranton | Age - 24 | Drafted - Round 9,
2006
Fastball - 50 Now | 55 Future
Curveball - 55 | 55
Change-Up - 50 | 50
Control - 55 | 55
Command - 50 | 55
Pitchability - 60 | 60
Final Grade - B-/B
Body Type - Round build with long arms, not projectable
Stuff
Fastball - thrown between 92 and 94 with plenty of sink
Curveball - more of a sharp break rather than a big break…can throw for
strikes
Change-Up - acts sort of like a splitter with a late break downward…he gets
a lot of swings and misses on the pitch, but I wonder if big league hitters
will be able to lay off it. You can see the pitch below:
Melancon can be difficult to center the ball against because his high
three-quarters arm slot has each pitch coming in on similar planes.
Scouting Report
Melancon missed the 2007 season because of Tommy John surgery. He returned to
A+ Tampa at the beginning of the year and was a bit more hittable with a
little less pop on his stuff as he was making his way back from the injury.
As he was promoted to Trenton and Scranton, Melancon saw a bit more oomph to
his stuff and retained what was his excellent control.
His actual command could still use some work as there is a tendency to get a
little too much of the plate, resulting in a high number of line drives and
occasional homeruns.
Mechanically, Melancon reaches a compact, athletic position at the pinnacle
of his leg lift–this helps in making the delivery more repeatable, and
centered around his core. The biggest negative I could find was his arm
action was somewhat longish.
Best Case Outcome - many feel Melancon should be the Yankees closer of the
future…it’s my opinion, knowing his ability to get batters out at both
sides of the plate, pitch multiple innings, and pitch well from both the
wind-up and out of the stretch, he shouldn’t be confined to pitching one
specific inning. He should be used whenever the Yankees need him, which would
make best use of his skills.
More Likely Outcome - good middle reliever…may not have quite the stuff to
reach top level status
--
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◆ From: 59.114.211.63
※ 編輯: appshjkli 來自: 59.114.211.63 (01/17 08:18)
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