Re: [新聞] The great debate on CMW continues
※ 引述《alwaysblue (什麼樣的生日....)》之銘言：
: The great debate on CMW continues
又有人爆料了
http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/newsstand/discussion/lohud_abraham_the_great_debate_on_chien_ming_wang_continues/
: Here is an e-mail I just received. It was, of course, anonymous:
24. Reno Posted: December 13, 2007 at 10:51 AM (#2643706)
I'm the one who sent the "anonymous" e-mail (it was from my Gmail account, so
not sure why it was anonymous) to Abraham, and he conveniently edited out the
main reason for my e-mail. In his previous post, he argued that Wang compared
favorably to Beckett because their ERA and W-L were similar last year. The
first sentence in my e-mail, which he removed, was that he would be better
off using K/9, BB/9, HR/9, etc. when comparing two pitchers. The rest was
just to show why I didn't think they were comparable.
這應該比較算自爆吧
:
: Wang doesn’t strike anyone out and depends on the ridiculous number of
: groundballs he’s able to create being turned into outs. This is not a
: reliable strategy that will produce consistent results over a career.
: It is working in the short term, but as Bill James as pointed out in the
: past, no pitcher with a K/9 below the league average has gone on to have
: a meaningful career. He’s in no way in the same class as someone like
: Beckett and is most definitely not an ace. Unless he develops a legit
: strikeout pitch there will always be the risk that the groundballs get
: through and he’ll have bad starts. He can’t be counted on in the
: playoffs.
: So, the 417.1 innings Wang has pitched the last two seasons are a
: short-term mirage. His going 38-13 is a sign of not having a reliable
: strategy. But the 5.2 poor innings he had in the playoffs, those are a
: sign that he can’t be counted on.
: I think I got my first Bill James report in 1988 and I just received his
: 2008 Handbook in the mail. His approach is endlessly fascinating. But
: when the statheads like my anonymous friend leave no room for humanity is
: where they lose me.
: Wang has made only 80 starts in his career, most with two pitches. I’ve
: stood there and watched him work on other pitches in the bullpen. I’ve
: talked to him at length about it. He knows people sit on his sinker. Did
: you know that his slider was his best pitch in college but the Yankees had
: him dump it when he had shoulder issues? Now he’s healthy and he’s
: working on it again. He also is doing a lot of work on a changeup.
: This guy shows up every five days, he pitches deep into games and he has
: handled almost every big-game assignment with aplomb. Why people insist
: on running him down remains a mystery to me.
: ————
: A few of my Taiwanese friends have told me that the blog is getting some
: play in Taiwan tonight. So hello to you guys and thanks for reading.
: News source：http://0rz.tw/f13ox
: 翻譯：http://0rz.tw/833rs
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