[情報] LBJ下家去哪裡的賭盤

看板NBA作者 (愛上速霸路)時間4周前 (2026/06/29 07:44), 4周前編輯推噓127(134推 7噓 130→)
留言271則, 137人參與, 3周前最新討論串1/1
https://tinyurl.com/44cchxpp Odds of LeBron returning to Cleveland more than double as free agency speculation swirls LBJ去騎士的機會大增，機率上漲2倍有餘 By Danny Gallagher Jun 28, 2026 Rumors that LeBron James could return to Cleveland have pushed traders to more than double the odds of a homecoming over the past week. The market for James' next team shows the price on Cleveland climbing from 10% on June 21 to as high as the high-20s by June 26, before settling at 22% as of June 28. Over the same stretch, the chance he stays in Los Angeles or retires fell from 70% to 50%. James going to Miami now carries a price of 16%, while Golden State sits at 14%. For informational purposes only. Not trading advice. Kalshi is not affiliated with Lebron James or the NBA. LeBron and LA The speculation has grown louder as talks between James and his current team have reportedly stalled. Yahoo Sports reported that Los Angeles is weighing its options now that the team has roughly $50 million in cap space to work with. ESPN’s Shams Charania said, “There was a check-in call made, to my understanding, early in free agency once teams were able to start negotiating with their own free agents after the end of the NBA Finals. Since then though there hasn’t been much communication, from my understanding, between [Los Angeles] and LeBron James’ side. And certainly not an offer yet.” LeBron returning to Cleveland So far, rumors seem to be driving the market’s prediction that LeBron’s free-agency status will take him back to Cleveland for his final chapter in pro-basketball. One of those rumors has attracted attention because of the person who shared it. Cleveland.com's Chris Pugh writes that local fitness trainer Joshua Teplitz posted on his X page, “Supposedly, LeBron IS coming back for a third and final stint.” It may sound innocuous and just a post from a local fan who hopes their most famous pro-basketball player returns to their hometown for one more run on the court. However, Teplitz accurately predicted that James would return to Cleveland in 2014. So the post is getting a lot of viral attention. Some sports media members aren’t so sure Cleveland will be able to make a deal to bring James back to his home state’s pro-basketball team. ESPN's Brian Windhorst said on The Pat McAfee Show that he thinks it's unlikely James will go back to Cleveland because of salary restrictions since they “can only offer LeBron $4 million bucks.” “One of the things I’ve learned about LeBron is you never count his money and never spend his money,” Windhorst added. “So, making assumptions that LeBron would take a lot less money, I see people making that assumption, and I just don’t think it’s smart.” Windhorst also noted if Cleveland wanted to make that happen, they would have to give up a star player to Los Angeles like Jarrett Allen. “I think if [Cleveland was] willing to do that, they could have LeBron,” Windhorst added. “Obviously, LeBron would have to want to with [Cleveland]. But your pathway to pay LeBron the money is to trade Jarrett Allen for him. The Lakers would kill for Jarrett Allen. Kill for him! They would do that deal in 17 tenths of a second.” Even with those hurdles in place, traders haven't backed off the reunion story. The takeaway: Kalshi markets now predict James staying with Los Angeles or retiring: 50% James going to Cleveland: 22% James going to Miami: 16% 上面的文章概要在講，因為湖人和LBJ的新合約談判沒結果，所以在賭盤反映，LBJ回 騎士的機率就越來越高, 6/21最低點是10%, 機率一度飆高到30% 溫胖也提到，如果騎士肯拿LBJ來簽換Jarrett Allen，湖人人求之不得。 但"大盤"走向，LBJ留在湖人或退休的機率，還是壓倒性最高的。 然後也有些許消息提到，熱火和勇士，對於LBJ也有興趣， 最後LBJ留在湖人/退休機率50%，去騎士22%，去熱火16% -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 36.14.181.252 (日本) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBA/M.1782690243.A.B71.html ※ 編輯: Subaru5566 (36.14.181.252 日本), 06/29/2026 07:44:58
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06/29 07:45, 4周前 , 1F
湖人如果拿lbj 換到好籤應該做夢也會笑
06/29 07:45, 1F
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06/29 07:47, 4周前 , 2F
老詹如果配合簽換 代表錢錢還是重要
06/29 07:47, 2F
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06/29 07:48, 4周前 , 3F
騎士湊的出薪資? 不是連中產都沒有
06/29 07:48, 3F
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06/29 07:49, 4周前 , 4F
留湖人，拿剩下的薪資空間。應該不會少到哪去。
06/29 07:49, 4F
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06/29 07:50, 4周前 , 5F
騎士一定是拿Allen換阿 騎士內部討論要賣Allen很久
06/29 07:50, 5F
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06/29 07:50, 4周前 , 6F
了 他的短板到季後賽就會很明顯
06/29 07:50, 6F
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06/29 07:51, 4周前 , 7F
報價渡輪 被跟就給老詹 但是這樣變備胎
06/29 07:51, 7F
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06/29 07:52, 4周前 , 8F
老詹幹嘛要簽換給湖人爽一個阿倫
06/29 07:52, 8F
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06/29 07:55, 4周前 , 9F
其他9隊的機率怎麼沒列出來？
06/29 07:55, 9F
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06/29 07:56, 4周前 , 10F
#1gFyOB3P (NBAEasyChat) 樂透開™ #定存
06/29 07:56, 10F
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06/29 07:56, 4周前 , 11F
Allen算蠻矮的 也沒投射能力
06/29 07:56, 11F
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06/29 07:56, 4周前 , 12F
還有12％去那，不要跟我說勇士
06/29 07:56, 12F
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06/29 07:57, 4周前 , 13F
老詹想拿頂薪就是要簽換才可能
06/29 07:57, 13F
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06/29 07:57, 4周前 , 14F
有 第四名就勇士
06/29 07:57, 14F
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06/29 07:58, 4周前 , 15F
回騎士跟兩個簽愛迪達的組隊？就是湖人，姆斯28年
06/29 07:58, 15F
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06/29 07:58, 4周前 , 16F
打完洛杉磯奧運後奪金後退休，他的完美劇本，請叫
06/29 07:58, 16F
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06/29 07:58, 4周前 , 17F
我姆斯觀察家
06/29 07:58, 17F
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06/29 07:59, 4周前 , 18F
還簽換勒 騎士又不傻
06/29 07:59, 18F
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06/29 07:59, 4周前 , 19F
騎士薪資爆了啊，如果簽換，一來舒緩騎士薪資壓力
06/29 07:59, 19F
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06/29 07:59, 4周前 , 20F
，一來幫湖人拿點什麼，三來老詹薪水條好看
06/29 07:59, 20F
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06/29 08:00, 4周前 , 21F
拜託去熱火
06/29 08:00, 21F
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06/29 08:00, 4周前 , 22F
消息說 勇士自認為領跑姆斯爭奪戰 沒想到第四
06/29 08:00, 22F
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06/29 08:00, 4周前 , 23F
頂薪+霸王 ?
06/29 08:00, 23F
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06/29 08:00, 4周前 , 24F
不可能去勇士和熱火吧，就湖騎退休三選一
06/29 08:00, 24F
※ Subaru5566:轉錄至看板 Lakers 06/29 08:01
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06/29 08:01, 4周前 , 25F
按計畫是1+1頂薪到2028奧運冠軍風光退休 湖迷吹捧
06/29 08:01, 25F
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06/29 08:02, 4周前 , 26F
老詹絕對不是笨蛋，怎麼可能答應先簽後換
06/29 08:02, 26F
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06/29 08:02, 4周前 , 27F
退休循迴 立雕像 計畫中啦
06/29 08:02, 27F
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06/29 08:04, 4周前 , 28F
老詹不在意薪水條的話，其實他也沒缺錢了
06/29 08:04, 28F
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06/29 08:05, 4周前 , 29F
沒有頂薪一定退休阿
06/29 08:05, 29F
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06/29 08:05, 4周前 , 30F
不簽換=沒頂薪或退休
06/29 08:05, 30F
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06/29 08:06, 4周前 , 31F
拿個一兩千萬，我老詹巨星能看嗎
06/29 08:06, 31F
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06/29 08:06, 4周前 , 32F
開個六給他 讓他贏莊家一百塊
06/29 08:06, 32F
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06/29 08:06, 4周前 , 33F
他就是在意薪水啊 只要底薪的話現在就是他挑球隊了
06/29 08:06, 33F
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06/29 08:07, 4周前 , 34F
我猜他會退休啦
06/29 08:07, 34F
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06/29 08:07, 4周前 , 35F
因為沒有一個球隊會給一個老人頂薪的
06/29 08:07, 35F
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06/29 08:07, 4周前 , 36F
母獅現在是面子裡子銀子都要到手 誰敢放肆
06/29 08:07, 36F
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06/29 08:07, 4周前 , 37F
拜託不要又出現一個傻隊幫湖人解決這問題好嗎
06/29 08:07, 37F
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06/29 08:08, 4周前 , 38F
騎士這樣換也沒比較強
06/29 08:08, 38F
還有 193 則推文
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06/29 13:49, 4周前 , 232F
小姆咪就是有這個毛病 被自己主子打完還嫌不夠 硬要
06/29 13:49, 232F
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06/29 13:49, 4周前 , 233F
請詹酸也打自己幾巴掌才爽
06/29 13:49, 233F
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06/29 13:51, 4周前 , 234F
Larry Bird92年也是場均20退休的 還真的有
06/29 13:51, 234F
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06/29 13:53, 4周前 , 235F
講那麼多終究是想留的
06/29 13:53, 235F
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06/29 14:02, 4周前 , 236F
先不論組隊否 LBJ 4冠也真的太少 1冠泡泡 逆轉那次
06/29 14:02, 236F
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06/29 14:02, 4周前 , 237F
我記得以前有人討論logo人也是最後一年20分進全明星
06/29 14:02, 237F
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06/29 14:02, 4周前 , 238F
其實真沒說不行 自己覺得不夠強了就退了的明星
06/29 14:02, 238F
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06/29 14:02, 4周前 , 239F
連當初隊友也兩個跳出來講 過程很黑了 可以粗爆犯規
06/29 14:02, 239F
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06/29 14:03, 4周前 , 240F
比較近年的就是之前2003還4黃蜂那隻 忘了名字了 也
06/29 14:03, 240F
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06/29 14:03, 4周前 , 241F
是能場均20分就因為傷病退了
06/29 14:03, 241F
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06/29 14:04, 4周前 , 242F
一個整天被喊蛋雕的單核二輪仔竟然還有賭盤，哪招？
06/29 14:04, 242F
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06/29 14:06, 4周前 , 243F
其實不覺得老詹留我湖還有機會衝冠
06/29 14:06, 243F
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06/29 14:10, 4周前 , 244F
退休機率最高
06/29 14:10, 244F
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06/29 14:12, 4周前 , 245F
騎士底薪收是姆斯最好的退路
06/29 14:12, 245F
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06/29 14:25, 4周前 , 246F
怎麼不開lbj拿不拿得到頂薪的局，較為簡單
06/29 14:25, 246F
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06/29 14:51, 4周前 , 247F
賠率變化了 現在勇士衝到第二 騎士第三 熱火第四
06/29 14:51, 247F
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06/29 14:58, 4周前 , 248F
姆斯一定是拿不到頂薪了,開這種盤會一面倒
06/29 14:58, 248F
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06/29 15:41, 4周前 , 249F
有種去快艇當反派
06/29 15:41, 249F
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06/29 16:20, 4周前 , 250F
去騎士 誰防守？
06/29 16:20, 250F
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06/29 16:32, 4周前 , 251F
歹戲拖棚 死不退休在那噁心
06/29 16:32, 251F
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06/29 16:40, 4周前 , 252F
mj晚年超爛吧 -.-
06/29 16:40, 252F
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06/29 16:40, 4周前 , 253F
給1200-1500中產很好了吧
06/29 16:40, 253F
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06/29 16:42, 4周前 , 254F
姆斯在湖人有啥貢獻？不是說泡泡冠吧？
06/29 16:42, 254F
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06/29 16:51, 4周前 , 255F
希望是勇士
06/29 16:51, 255F
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06/29 16:57, 4周前 , 256F
直接退了對所有球隊都好
06/29 16:57, 256F
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06/29 17:43, 4周前 , 257F
還在20分也不看看20分怎麼拿的 牢詹咪說人不看球
06/29 17:43, 257F
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06/29 17:49, 4周前 , 258F
回騎士很有可能 進可攻、退可守
06/29 17:49, 258F
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06/29 17:49, 4周前 , 259F
進：GOAT的最後一搏 真拿第二冠不得了了
06/29 17:49, 259F
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06/29 17:49, 4周前 , 260F
退：至少家鄉球隊退 有始有終 主場一定滿滿的活動
06/29 17:49, 260F
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06/29 17:55, 4周前 , 261F
回家吧，該退休了
06/29 17:55, 261F
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06/29 18:14, 4周前 , 262F
騎士現在不需要他
06/29 18:14, 262F
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06/29 18:15, 4周前 , 263F
勇士會比較有趣
06/29 18:15, 263F
噓
06/29 18:20, 4周前 , 264F
垢特幹麻要簽換讓湖人爽？因為他貪錢啊廢話
06/29 18:20, 264F
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06/29 18:46, 4周前 , 265F
20分就是20分上場去拿的 比一堆院長好多了 這也能
06/29 18:46, 265F
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06/29 18:46, 4周前 , 266F
打折喔 可笑
06/29 18:46, 266F
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06/29 19:29, 4周前 , 267F
可以看到兩個姆斯散步畫面
06/29 19:29, 267F
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06/29 19:35, 4周前 , 268F
想家了嗎？
06/29 19:35, 268F
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06/29 21:43, 4周前 , 269F
姆咪最近好忙
06/29 21:43, 269F
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06/30 00:47, 4周前 , 270F
留在湖人還是比較有商業價值吧
06/30 00:47, 270F
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06/30 09:39, 3周前 , 271F
續留湖人吧
06/30 09:39, 271F
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