[花邊] 字母哥入股預測市場平台Kalshi

看板NBA作者 (口交惡徒 你今晚的惡夢)時間13小時前 (2026/02/09 01:37), 13小時前編輯推噓27(29推 2噓 17→)
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媒體： APNEWS 作者： JAY COHEN 標題： Giannis Antetokounmpo joins Kalshi as a shareholder, marking a new venture for the NBA star 內文： Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo has become a shareholder in Kalshi, a major prediction market with a wide array of sports trading opportunities. Antetokounmpo announced the partnership Friday. “The internet is full of opinions. I decided it was time to make some of my o wn,” Antetokounmpo posted on social media. “Today, I’m joining Kalshi as a shareholder.” Kalshi said Antetokounmpo is the first basketball star to join the company as a shareholder. The partnership includes help with live events and marketing. “Giannis is a legend,” Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said in a release. “He’s e xactly the type of long-term partner we want to align our growing brand with, and we couldn’t be happier he’s on board.” Antetokounmpo was the subject of widespread rumors ahead of Thursday’s NBA tr ade deadline. But the Bucks decided to keep the two-time MVP. In the days leading up to the deadline, Kalshi had several posts on X highligh ting its event contracts on Antetokounmpo’s trade market and the fluctuating odds connected to the teams believed to be in the mix for his services. According to Kalshi’s release, Antetokounmpo will be forbidden from trading o n markets related to the NBA. Messages were left Friday seeking further detail s from Kalshi and comment from the NBA. “I love the Kalshi markets and have been checking them often recently,” Ante tokounmpo said in the company’s release. “I like to win. It’s clear to me K alshi is going to be a winner and I’m excited to be getting involved.” Antetokounmpo, who hasn’t played since straining his right calf on Jan. 23, a lready had departed by the time the Bucks had their postgame locker room avail ability after their 105-99 victory over the Indiana Pacers on Friday. The 31-year-old Antetokounmpo also is part of the ownership group for baseball ’s Milwaukee Brewers and Major League Soccer’s Nashville SC. Prediction markets provide an opportunity to trade — or wager — on the resul t of future events. They rose to prominence in politics, but the array of typi cally yes-or-no questions includes everything from the weather to the Oscar fo r best picture. The markets are comprised of event contracts, with the prices connected to wha t traders are willing to pay, which theoretically indicates the perceived prob ability of an event occurring. The buy-in for each contract ranges from $0 to $1 each, reflecting a 0% to 100% chance of what traders think could happen. When the U.S. captured Venezuelan President Nicol嫳 Maduro last month, an anon ymous trader on Polymarket — another prediction market — made more than $400 ,000 after betting that Maduro would soon be out of office, raising suspicions of potential insider trading because of the timing of the wagers and the trad er’s narrow activity. Ai翻： 密爾瓦基公鹿隊超級巨星「字母哥」週五正式宣佈入股 Kalshi。Kalshi 是目前市場上主 流的預測市場平台，提供多元的運動賽事與事件交易機會。 「網路上充斥著各種意見，我覺得是時候發表我自己的觀點了。」字母哥在社群媒體上寫 道：「今天，我正式以股東身份加入 Kalshi。」 Kalshi 官方表示，字母哥是首位入股該公司的籃球巨星。雙方的合作關係將涵蓋實體活 動支援與品牌行銷推廣。Kalshi 執行長曼蘇爾（Tarek Mansour）在新聞稿中盛讚：「字 母哥是個傳奇，他正是我們在品牌擴張階段所尋求的長期戰略夥伴，我們非常榮幸他能加 入。」 從交易傳聞到合規限制 在週四 NBA 交易截止日前，有關字母哥的交易傳聞鬧得沸沸揚揚，但公鹿隊最終選擇留 住這位兩屆 MVP 得主。在截止日前的關鍵幾天，Kalshi 曾多次在 X 平台上推廣其關於 「字母哥交易案」的事件合約，並展示了各支潛在球隊獲取他的賠率波動情況。 根據 Kalshi 的聲明，為了確保合規，字母哥將被禁止在該平台上參與任何與 NBA 相關 的市場合約交易。目前美聯社已聯繫 Kalshi 與 NBA 官方，尋求更多合作細節與評論。 「我很喜歡 Kalshi 的市場運作模式，最近也經常關注。」字母哥在官方聲明中表示：「 我天生好勝，很顯然 Kalshi 將成為最終的贏家，我非常期待參與其中。」 場外投資版圖與市場動態 現年 31 歲的字母哥目前因右小腿拉傷缺陣（自 1 月 23 日受傷至今）。在週五公鹿隊 以 105 比 99 擊敗印第安那溜馬隊後，他在更衣室開放採訪前便已離開。除了本次投資 ，他目前也是 MLB 密爾瓦基釀酒人隊與 MLS 納許維爾 SC 的小股東。 **預測市場（Prediction Markets）**提供了一種針對未來事件結果進行交易（或投注） 的管道。這類平台最早在政治預測中嶄露頭角，但現在的交易範圍極廣，從天氣預測、奧 斯卡得主到各種「是非題」無所不包。 這類市場由「事件合約」組成，價格直接反映交易者的意願，理論上代表了該事件發生的 感知機率。每份合約的買入價格介於 0 美元到 1 美元之間，對應 0% 到 100% 的發生機 率。 然而，這類平台近期也面臨爭議。上個月美國緝捕委內瑞拉總統馬杜洛（Nicol嫳 Maduro ）後，另一家預測市場平台 Polymarket 上的一名匿名交易者因精準預測馬杜洛下台而獲 利超過 40 萬美元。由於該交易者的進場時機極其精準且交易模式單一，引發了市場對於 「內線交易」的強烈質疑。 連結： https://reurl.cc/EbxQvv 心得： 基本上就是polymarket的競爭對手 不知道球賽會不會越來越荒謬 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 106.64.153.183 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBA/M.1770572229.A.552.html ※ 編輯: efbnm753 (106.64.153.183 臺灣), 02/09/2026 01:39:01
推
02/09 01:39, 13小時前 , 1F
看敘述其實就是賭博公司？
02/09 01:39, 1F
看你怎麼定義 我如果直接說是賭博公司會戰的昏天暗地 ※ 編輯: efbnm753 (106.64.153.183 臺灣), 02/09/2026 01:40:03
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02/09 01:42, 13小時前 , 2F
類似運彩分析公司 和付費會員提供賽事明牌
02/09 01:42, 2F
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02/09 01:43, 13小時前 , 3F
就是賭博，大聲講出來
02/09 01:43, 3F
已經能猜到以後字母哥罰球不進 會被嘴有沒有下注 還是連他自己都不會賭自己能罰進球之類的梗了
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02/09 01:46, 13小時前 , 4F
02/09 01:46, 4F
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02/09 01:46, 13小時前 , 5F
字老師
02/09 01:46, 5F
推
02/09 01:47, 13小時前 , 6F
不是賭博 但是精算師 哈哈
02/09 01:47, 6F
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02/09 01:47, 13小時前 , 7F
類似未來事件交易所吧，只是用的是美金
02/09 01:47, 7F
※ 編輯: efbnm753 (106.64.153.183 臺灣), 02/09/2026 01:49:57
推
02/09 01:52, 13小時前 , 8F
預測自己會不會離開公鹿
02/09 01:52, 8F
噓
02/09 01:53, 13小時前 , 9F
字母哥越晚期越不討喜，爭議的言行不管場內外越來越
02/09 01:53, 9F
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02/09 01:53, 13小時前 , 10F
多，地位跟財富增加人也慢慢變質了
02/09 01:53, 10F
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02/09 01:58, 13小時前 , 11F
這間公司也要被禁止觸碰任何有關字母哥的事件吧
02/09 01:58, 11F
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02/09 01:58, 13小時前 , 12F
預測自己會不會走
02/09 01:58, 12F
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02/09 01:59, 13小時前 , 13F
不要到時被查出來
02/09 01:59, 13F
推
02/09 02:01, 13小時前 , 14F
他推特底下已經燒起來了
02/09 02:01, 14F
推
02/09 02:14, 13小時前 , 15F
操盤XD
02/09 02:14, 15F
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02/09 02:15, 13小時前 , 16F
有夠愚蠢的操作
02/09 02:15, 16F
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02/09 02:22, 13小時前 , 17F
會變成“首位” 不就是沒人會蠢到自己往墨水裡跳
02/09 02:22, 17F
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02/09 02:23, 13小時前 , 18F
只有他搶先跳髒水
02/09 02:23, 18F
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02/09 02:23, 13小時前 , 19F
幫大家抓wiki的簡介內容 各位自行參考
02/09 02:23, 19F
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02/09 02:23, 13小時前 , 20F
Kalshi Inc. is an American web-based prediction
02/09 02:23, 20F
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02/09 02:23, 13小時前 , 21F
market platform launched in July 2021, mostly
02/09 02:23, 21F
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02/09 02:24, 13小時前 , 22F
used for traditional sports betting, which
02/09 02:24, 22F
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02/09 02:24, 13小時前 , 23F
constitutes more than 90% of the activity on the
02/09 02:24, 23F
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02/09 02:24, 13小時前 , 24F
site
02/09 02:24, 24F
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02/09 02:25, 13小時前 , 25F
accounting for 89% of the site's revenue in 2025
02/09 02:25, 25F
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02/09 02:27, 13小時前 , 26F
用預測自己動向來做莊的意思嗎 這樣做沒問題嗎
02/09 02:27, 26F
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02/09 02:28, 13小時前 , 27F
運動員不要餐與這個比較好吧 = =
02/09 02:28, 27F
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02/09 02:44, 12小時前 , 28F
這麼明目張膽的嗎
02/09 02:44, 28F
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02/09 02:46, 12小時前 , 29F
字母怎麼越來越讓人反感了？
02/09 02:46, 29F
推
02/09 02:56, 12小時前 , 30F
展露本性而已
02/09 02:56, 30F
噓
02/09 03:17, 12小時前 , 31F
那麼多能投資的選這個是在..？
02/09 03:17, 31F
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02/09 04:15, 11小時前 , 32F
這咖不意外阿 哈哈
02/09 04:15, 32F
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02/09 04:27, 11小時前 , 33F
沒有下注，只是直接做莊兼操盤
02/09 04:27, 33F
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02/09 05:33, 9小時前 , 34F
就類似賭盤 上面也有運彩這樣
02/09 05:33, 34F
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02/09 05:37, 9小時前 , 35F
但這確實很奇怪哈哈
02/09 05:37, 35F
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02/09 05:40, 9小時前 , 36F
之前也真的有在賭字母會去哪裡的盤
02/09 05:40, 36F
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02/09 05:41, 9小時前 , 37F
如果他真的去下注那個 那不知道有沒有違反規定XD
02/09 05:41, 37F
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02/09 05:41, 9小時前 , 38F
畢竟他走不走好像也不會受到賭盤影響
02/09 05:41, 38F
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02/09 07:00, 8小時前 , 39F
早晚出事
02/09 07:00, 39F
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02/09 07:01, 8小時前 , 40F
字母黑化
02/09 07:01, 40F
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02/09 07:03, 8小時前 , 41F
Nba現役球員竟然沒有利益規避的問題
02/09 07:03, 41F
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02/09 07:25, 8小時前 , 42F
預測平台就想繞過去 什麼比賽都開 還說自己不是賭
02/09 07:25, 42F
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02/09 07:25, 8小時前 , 43F
當人家其他有牌的是傻子
02/09 07:25, 43F
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02/09 07:52, 7小時前 , 44F
我沒有說賭不好 但你不要騙自己在投資
02/09 07:52, 44F
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02/09 07:57, 7小時前 , 45F
推luna2000sea
02/09 07:57, 45F
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02/09 08:48, 6小時前 , 46F
參加這個不會有利益回避問題嗎 感覺後面真的會出事
02/09 08:48, 46F
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02/09 08:51, 6小時前 , 47F
對方條件開的夠好吧 八成一毛不出
02/09 08:51, 47F
推
02/09 08:51, 6小時前 , 48F
.....他的名氣需要去搞這種只會臭的投資嗎
02/09 08:51, 48F
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