[外絮] NBA 2019自由球員市場的重大主軸
NBA free agency 2019: Decisions for Kawhi Leonard and Kevin Durant, Lakers'
cap space, Warriors' roster, other top storylines
NBA 2019自由球員市場的重大主軸:Kawhi Leonard與Kevin Durant的選擇、洛杉
磯湖人隊的薪資空間、金州勇士隊的名單與其他重大主軸。
原文連結: https://tinyurl.com/y4xycv27
The season is done. The draft is over. Now begins the NBA's silliest season.
With free agency set to open at 6 p.m. ET on June 30, this week is going to
be filled with reports and rumors about who's headed where and what stars are
potentially teaming up.
冠軍頒完了，選秀也告一段落。NBA最狂的日子要來了。自由球員市場將於6/30
ET晚間六點(台灣時間為7/1早上6點)開啟，那周將會被 「誰要去哪」、「誰要組團」的
流言與報導淹沒。
Here are several of the biggest storylines in free agency to watch:
接下來要簡略地講一下今年自由市場的主軸故事。
1.Lakers' salary cap gymnastics
1.洛杉磯湖人的薪資上限。
Assuming the Pelicans do not agree to push back the Anthony Davis trade to
July 30, the Lakers, as of now, have between $23 million and $27 million in
cap space depending on whether Davis accepts his $4 million trade bonus.
That's short of the $32 million and change they need to offer the full max to
anyone with less than 10 years of NBA experience, but they can still
technically get to that spot by trading off the contracts of Mo Wagner, Isaac
Bonga and Jemerrio Jones.
就目前來看，假設鵜鶘不同意把Anthony Davis的交易案延至7/30，湖人就只會有
2300萬或2700萬的薪資空間，而且還要取決於AD是否會放棄他400萬的交易補償金。這比
最高能達到3200萬的薪資空間還要少得多，使他們不能給年資超過十年的球員頂薪，但他
們依然可以透過交易Mo Wagner、Isaac Bonga和Jemerrio Jones來技術性的達到。
We'll see if they can do that by July 1.
7/1等著見真章。
Otherwise, the Lakers will either have to convince a max free agent like
Kyrie Irving, Kemba Walker or Jimmy Butler to take less than the max
(unlikely), or build their team out with smart role-player acquisitions. If
it's the latter, they have to do a better job than they did last summer. They
need shooting. They need versatile defenders. With or without the max, they
have enough money to address at least some of those needs.
要不然，湖人只能說服Kyrie Irving, Kemba Walker, Jimmy Butler 接受低於頂
薪的價碼，或是簽一些價碼非頂薪的球員。如果是後者，那他們必須要表現的比去年休賽
季還要好。他們需要射手也要補萬用防守者。不管給不給得起頂薪，他們都至少能滿足部
分那樣子的需求。
2.Decisions, decisions, decisions
挑選，抉擇，選擇。
https://imgur.com/OdVZxrv
As expected, Kawhi Leonard has reportedly opted out of the final year of his
contract, which officially makes him a free agent. Most people around the
league believe Leonard's decision comes down to two teams: The Raptors and
the Clippers. Per Chris Haynes of Yahoo Sports, the Raptors are starting to
look like they have the inside track.
根據報導，如預期的一樣Kawhi Leonard選擇跳出最後一年的合約，成為了一名自
由球員。大部分的人都覺得KL只會在兩隊中做選擇－多倫多暴龍與洛杉磯快艇。Yahoo
Sports 的記者Chris Haynes說「暴龍看起來越來越有優勢於簽回KL」。 *註1
If Leonard returns to Toronto, you could argue the Raptors deserve to be the
favorite to win the title again next year. If he doesn't, would that signal
the start of a rebuild in Toronto? Kawhi stands to make or break a couple
franchises this summer with his decision.
如果方蓋回到多倫多，你可以說下一季的暴龍有能力再爭奪一次頭銜。如果方蓋
離去，暴龍隊或將面臨重建? KL今夏的決定會決定某些球隊未來的走向，是要重建、還是
要爭冠。
https://imgur.com/fm5IMNh
Everything changes because of the torn Achilles that will keep Kevin Durant
out all of next season. Before that happened, it really felt like his leaving
Golden State was a virtual certainty. It may still be. But the Warriors are
sitting there with a five-year, $221 million max deal that nobody else can
offer, and suddenly, for a guy with enough uncertainty to deal with right now
in terms of his health and rehab and how long it will be until he's back to
his old self (if ever), that security might look pretty good.
阿基里斯腱的斷裂讓Kevin Durant缺席下一整季也讓所有事都有了變化。在此傷
之前，KD離開金州勇士幾乎可以說是事實。或許現在也是。但是勇士端上一份其他隊無法
開出、總價5年 2億2100萬的超級合約，這對於一個因傷病不知何期歸來與是否能重返巔
峰的球員(如果還有巔峰)來說，這項保證還蠻不賴的。
This idea that the Warriors would consider signing Durant to the five-year
max with an agreement to then trade him is actually pretty interesting. It
would get Durant the five years and $221 million that nobody else can offer
him, and it would get the Warriors some assets for a player they were going
to lose anyway. It would even help the team that eventually trades for Durant
in that they would have him under contract for an extra year.
實際上，勇士的主意相當有趣。不但給KD一個其他球隊給不起的合約，也能透過
交易KD來獲得一些資產，反正KD本來就會走。這還會幫助最終得到KD的球隊能多擁有KD一
年。
Let's say you're the Knicks. If you sign Durant this summer, you're paying
him $38 million to not play next season, and you only have him for three
seasons after that. If the Warriors sign Durant, depending on when the trade
actually happens, they pay the bulk of next year's salary, and by time New
York gets him, he's ready to play in 2020-21 and under contract for a full
four years.
這樣說好了，如果你是紐約尼克。你在今夏簽下KD，你將要付3800萬給他在下整
季休養，且真正的使用期就只有三年。但若勇士簽下KD，不但勇士會幫忙付明年薪資(取
決於何時交易發生)，而且等到你交易來KD後，他已經準備好為你打4年完整的球。
It's something to think about.
這是值得去思考的事。
https://imgur.com/NbwNUF5
Most reports have Kyrie Irving leaving Boston, with the Nets being the
favorite to sign him. That said, there are reportedly some people in the
Nets' organization that would be uneasy about paying Kyrie a max contract if
a second star isn't coming with him. Because let's be honest: Kyrie has not
proven he is a guy who can lift a franchise on his own, either on the court
or in the locker room.
大部分的報導指出，隨著布魯克林籃網在簽下Kyrie Irving這事上越來越有優勢，
KI將會離開波士頓賽爾提克。但也有報導說，若沒有第二位球星跟KI一起來，那麼籃網對
於以頂薪簽下KI這件事感到「不安」。老實說，因為不論是在球場上還是在休息室，KI還
沒證明他是位能扛起球隊的領袖。
The Nets got themselves closer to having a 30-percent max spot and a
35-percent max spot available with their draft-day moves and the trading of
Allen Crabbe to the Hawks. They already have enough for two 30-percents guys
(less than 10 years experience). Brooklyn's pie in the sky is Irving and
Durant, which they are right on the cusp of having enough money to do. The
catch is they'd have to let all their own free agents walk, including
D'Angelo Russell. Lot of moving parts here.
籃網透過選秀日的操作與把Allen Crabbe送至亞特蘭大老鷹，讓他們「接近」能
夠開出漲幅30%和35%的頂薪合約。而開出2張30%的頂薪合約(年資低於10年)也絕對是夠的
。籃網最美的夢想是一起擁有KI與KD，他們恰好有這筆錢可以去實現。問題是這樣得要放
走他們所有的自由球員，包括D'Angelo Russell。仍有很多要考慮的。
https://imgur.com/atkp7fD
Walker made third-team All-NBA and is thus eligible for a five year, $221
million super-max extension from the Hornets. The most another team can give
him is four years, $160 million. That's a lot of money to give up to leave
Charlotte, but how badly does Kemba want to win?
Kemba Walker這季入選了NBA第三隊，所以能跟夏洛特黃蜂簽下一紙5年2億2100萬
的超級頂薪延長合約。其他球隊能給的最多就是4年1億6000萬的合約。離開夏洛特的代價
可是要放棄一大筆錢，但KW有多渴望勝利?
Walker is not a first-tier free agent, but he's not second-tier either. He's
between the Kawhi-Durant level and the Tobias Harris and Khris Middleton
level. Probably on par with Jimmy Butler. If you were to pair Kemba with
another star, that team would be really good. Kemba on his own -- unless the
situation were perfect with a ton of really good roles players -- doesn't
quite move the needle, if only because we've seen what that looks like in
Charlotte.
Kemba不是第一等的球員，但也不是第二等。他在Kawhi, KD之下，Tobias Harris
, Khris Middleton之上，或許與Jimmy Butler同等。如果你讓Kemba跟另一名明星做搭配
，那麼他們會表現的不錯。
除非有一群相配良好的腳色球員*註2，不然Kemba靠自己是相當不可能在下季做出大改變
的，就單單從我們在黃蜂隊所看到的。
3.Will the Knicks strike out?
尼克會出局嗎?
There was a time when people were all but penciling in two max free agents on
the Knicks, led by Durant. To say the feeling around that has changed would
be an understatement. At the end of the day, it's still New York, and the
Knicks still have two max slots. Don't rule out some big names signing there.
曾有段時期大家都在傳將會有兩位超級自由球員投靠尼克。要說這感覺已經變了，
似乎還太早。畢竟紐約－尼克依舊擁有兩個頂薪的合約空間。別排除任何大咖來紐約的可
能性。
If that doesn't happen, the Knicks have said they don't intend to commit big
money to second-tier free agents. and will instead look to build out their
roster with short-term deals that will allow them to be big players over the
next few summers as well. For a team and fanbase that had let itself dream on
Durant and one other max free agent plus Zion Williamson, so strike out on
all three would be a gut punch.
如果上述未發生，尼克也申明過他們絕對不會花大錢在第二等的自由球員上，
相反地，他們會簽下一些短期合約繼續等著大咖。*註3
這隻球隊與他們的粉絲曾夢想著能夠同時擁有KD、另一隻明星自由球員與Zion
Williamson，組三星的夢碎了就如同肚子被重重地捶了一下，令人嘔血。
4.Sixers to keep core intact?
費城76人的核心陣容會原封不動嗎?
The 76ers were one rim-rolling Kawhi Leonard game-winner away from taking the
eventual champion Raptors to overtime in Game 7. For all the talk about how
their talent doesn't seamlessly fit together, talent is still talent, and the
Sixers are a lot closer to championship contention that is often portrayed if
they run it back with the same core.
今年東區半決賽，76人曾距一「框」之遙就能將今年的冠軍暴龍拖至延長賽。給那
些說他們的天賦相搭不順的人: 天賦仍舊是天賦，76人若能保持原陣容，那麼他們依舊是
總冠軍的爭奪者。
But will they keep Jimmy Butler, Tobias Harris and JJ Redick? If they let
Butler go and keep Harris and Redick, they would have in the neighborhood of
$25 million in cap space. That's sizable room to bring in some new pieces,
preferably shooters to space the floor for Ben Simmons -- who, by the way, is
eligible for a max extension starting July 1. Is Philly ready to commit?
但他們會留下Butler、Tobias Harris和JJ Redick嗎? 如果讓JB走然後留下Harris
和JJ，他們大約還剩下2500萬的薪資空間。足夠為76人簽來一些新的拼圖，最好是能夠為
Ben Simmons拉開空間的射手；順帶一提，7/1後Ben Simmons有資格獲得頂級續約。
76人準備好下決定了嗎?
5.What will the Warriors look like?
勇士下季會變怎麼樣?
Obviously this starts with Durant and his decision. Klay Thompson is also a
free agent, but he is expected to sign a four-year, $190 million extension.
Either way, the Warriors will be without Durant all of next season and Klay
will miss much of the regular season, and this team doesn't have much room to
add players outside their own roster.
很明顯地一切得先從KD的選擇開始看。Klay Thompson也是位自由球員，但他預期
會簽下一張4年總價1億9000萬的合約。總之，勇士在下一季會缺少KD整季和KT幾乎整季，
而且也不會留有太多空間給他們簽下其他球員。
That makes DeMarcus Cousins very, very interesting. Did Cousins show enough
to get a sizable offer from another team? He was pretty good in the last few
months of the regular season. He tore his quad in the first round of the
playoffs and we never really got to see him at full strength on the big
stage. He came through pretty big for Golden State in a handful of Finals
games after rushing back into its depleted lineup.
這使DeMarcus Cousins的處境變得非常、非常地有趣。Cousins有沒有表現出他的
能耐，讓其他球隊給出可觀的合約? 他在最後一兩個月的常規賽表現還不賴，但卻在季
後賽第一輪遭受左股四頭肌的撕裂傷，我們未曾能夠見到他真正的滿血回歸。之後的總決
賽，他又匆匆地回到傷兵累累的勇士，他在不多的出場時間內為金州貢獻不少。
Can the Warriors make a good signing with their mid-level exception? If Shaun
Livingston doesn't retire, will they pick up his full $7.6 million for next
season contract, or will they pay him his guaranteed $2 million and let him
walk? The difference between picking up Livingston and not could be having
less than $6 million to offer a mid-level exception (MLE) player and $9
million, which changes the level of player you can go after.
勇士隊能不能利用中產階級條款簽下好的合約? 如果Shaun Livingston打算不退休
，那麼勇士要選擇付完他下賽季760萬的薪資、還是選擇付給他保證的200萬然後讓他
走人? 差異在於，留下Livingston與否決定了中產階級條款能夠給予少於600萬或是
900萬，也決定了你能選擇的球員水準。
The Warriors have to stretch every dollar they have available to put a team
around Stephen Curry, Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala that can remain in
the upper crust of the Western Conference until Klay gets back on the court.
勇士球團必須在刀口上花錢去讓這支擁有Stephen Curry, Draymond Green 與
Andre Iguodala的球隊能夠繼續保持在西區的競爭力直到KT歸來。
6.What happens with D'Angelo Russell?
D’Angelo Russell怎麼抉擇?
As mentioned above, Russell stands to be the odd man out if the Nets get a
line of two max free agents. But that might not happen, and Russell has made
it known he wants to be in Brooklyn.
如上面提到，Russell在籃網追求兩位頂薪自由球員的計畫上顯得格格不入，不過
也有可能不會發生，Russell已經讓外界知曉他想留在籃網的意圖。
If he leaves, a lot of teams will be interested -- including, perhaps, the
Lakers. Wouldn't that be something? The Jazz were thought to be a team that
would make a lot of sense for Russell, but they just traded for Mike Conley.
Phoenix and Orlando both need a point guard. Dallas is a sleeper with the
ability to create just under $29 million in cap room, per ESPN's Bobby Marks.
如果他離開，還是會有很多隊伍對他感興趣－包括湖人。事情即將變得很有趣。
-猶他爵士本對Russell充滿想法，但他們才剛交易來Mike Conley。
-鳳凰城太陽與奧蘭多魔術都需要一名控球後衛。
-很少人知道，達拉斯獨行者其實有能力清出2900萬的薪資空間，EPSN的Bobby Marks說道
。
7.Pelicans moving full speed ahead
鵜鶘加緊腳步，倍道兼行。
The Pelicans are suddenly one of the most intriguing teams in the league.
They're set up to be a solid team right now -- their potential starting
lineup is Lonzo Ball, Jrue Holiday, Brandon Ingram, Zion Williamson and
Jahlil Okafor, with this year's first-round picks Jaxson Hayes and Nickeil
Alexander-Walker, and they still have close to $20 million in cap space.
突然間，紐奧良鵜鶘隊成為了聯盟中引人矚目的隊伍之一。他們現在建立了一支很
猛的隊伍，潛在的先發名單如下:Lonzo Ball、Jrue Holiday、Brandon Ingram、Zion和
Jahil Okafor，加上今年選進的新秀Jaxson Hayes與Nickeil Alexander-Walker，也別忘
了他們仍有接近2000萬的薪資空間。
Imagine that team if they re-sign Julius Randle.
想像一下他們簽回了Julius Randle。
Given what they went through with the Anthony Davis mess and the haul they
brought back from the Lakers, the Pelicans are a team that has everyone's
attention, both for their options for moving forward and what they already
have in place.
有鑑於他們經過AD交易案的混亂與他們從湖人隊換回的，大家的目光都在鵜鶘上，
無論是盯著接下來的每一步還是他們手上擁有的。
註1: 延伸閱讀:【https://tinyurl.com/y5rywc66】
註2: 延伸閱讀:【https://tinyurl.com/y6g2l59e】
註3: 延伸閱讀:【https://tinyurl.com/y69eyo3w】
個人想法: 再不到一個禮拜自由市場的大門就要開了，等著看戲囉。
--
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※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBA/M.1561476801.A.E53.html
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6年前
, 42F
06/26 01:19, 42F
推
06/26 01:29,
6年前
, 43F
06/26 01:29, 43F
推
06/26 02:14,
6年前
, 44F
06/26 02:14, 44F
推
06/26 03:21,
6年前
, 45F
06/26 03:21, 45F
推
06/26 04:18,
6年前
, 46F
06/26 04:18, 46F
推
06/26 04:24,
6年前
, 47F
06/26 04:24, 47F
推
06/26 04:34,
6年前
, 48F
06/26 04:34, 48F
→
06/26 04:35,
6年前
, 49F
06/26 04:35, 49F
推
06/26 06:03,
6年前
, 50F
06/26 06:03, 50F
推
06/26 08:59,
6年前
, 51F
06/26 08:59, 51F
推
06/26 16:50,
6年前
, 52F
06/26 16:50, 52F
→
06/26 16:50,
6年前
, 53F
06/26 16:50, 53F
推
06/26 21:21,
6年前
, 54F
06/26 21:21, 54F
推
06/27 11:42,
6年前
, 55F
06/27 11:42, 55F