Re: [討論] 現役球員 進名人堂的機率消失
※ 引述《checktime (華哥)》之銘言:
: http://www.basketball-reference.com/leaders/hof_prob.html
: 現役球員以目前的成就,進名人堂的機率。
: 是套用模組計算出來的,參考看看囉!
: Tony Parker 和 Manu Ginobili 為何差這麼大?
: 機率 現役球員進名人堂機率 大於10%者
: 100.0% 1 LeBron James
: 100.0% 2 Dwyane Wade
: 100.0% 3 Dirk Nowitzki
: 100.0% 4 Chris Paul
: 99.8% 5 Kevin Durant
: 99.7% 6 Paul Pierce
: 99.5% 7 Chris Bosh
: 99.1% 8 Dwight Howard 史上唯一DPOY 3連霸 的球員
: 98.2% 9 Carmelo Anthony 奧運3金
: 95.6% Tracy McGrady 對照組
: 95.5% 10 Russell Westbrook
: 94.9% 11 Stephen Curry
: 94.6% 12 Vince Carter
: ---由歷史資料來看 95%左右 是必定會進的門檻---
: 93.9% 13 Tony Parker
: 93.4% 14 Pau Gasol
: 92.3% 15 James Harden 這季打完 必進!
: ---由歷史資料來看 達到 90%+ 進的機會非常大---
: 50.6% 16 Joe Johnson
: 42.8% 17 Kevin Love
: 38.8% 18 Rajon Rondo
: 27.1% 19 Blake Griffin
: 20.1% 20 Manu Ginobili
: 12.3% 21 John Wall
: 11.8% 22 LaMarcus Aldridge
: 10.5% 23 Derrick Rose
有點訝異bosh這麼高…
雖然他明星賽次數很多,但魔獸、甜瓜也不少
然後bosh年度隊伍只有一次,也沒有籃板王、得分王之類
手上有兩冠,但畢竟不是作為一哥二哥拿到的
累積得分一萬七,跟T妹差不多
有人能幫解釋,為啥bosh進名人堂機率那麼高嗎?
--
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