[討論] 西區7~9已回收
由於目前西區後面三隊還未出線
整理一下之後各種狀況
小牛:48/32
賽程:
4/12-太陽@小牛
4/16-小牛@灰熊
狀況:贏一場就晉級,也就是49W
原因:若是只贏一場49W/33L,目前太陽灰熊都是47W/32L
也就是會使太陽or灰熊至少33L,而比較對戰狀況
小牛打灰熊3:0,而打太陽1:1,但4/12這場贏就變為2:1
所以小牛只要贏一場就夠了
太陽:47/32
賽程:
4/12-太陽@小牛
4/14-灰熊@太陽
4/16-太陽@國王
狀況:前兩場贏是一定晉級,但49W並不保證晉級
原因:
1.太陽的狀況比較劣勢,若是前面兩場拿下可達49W
造成小牛48W/33L 灰熊48W/33L(若灰熊4/13對湖人取勝)
而這兩隊最後一場互相對戰,所以勢必有一隊無法晉級
2.若太陽前兩場只取得一勝,而最後一場打國王取勝,也是49W未必能晉級
(1)太陽贏小牛輸灰熊,而小牛贏灰熊,此時小牛49W33L,灰熊49W/33L
這時候會有隊戰成績的問題,屆時太陽會被淘汰
(2)太陽贏灰熊輸小牛,而小牛輸灰熊,此時狀況還是一樣(只要灰熊拿下湖人)
所以這個狀況對太陽不利,畢竟4/16那天自己要打得贏國王
還得看小牛跟灰熊那場如何
灰熊:47W/32L
賽程
4/13-灰熊@湖人
4/14-灰熊@太陽
4/16-小牛@灰熊
狀況:目標49W
這三場拿下兩場就可晉級,若先拿下湖人,狀況就會跟小牛一樣
若沒拿下就是搶下兩勝
總結:49勝對小牛灰熊是一定過的門檻,但對太陽卻不是
如果有錯歡迎糾正~推算可能有誤
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※ 編輯: paul51134 (118.165.12.36), 04/12/2014 14:58:50
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個人認為太陽只要輸給小牛而就算贏灰熊
小牛最後一場是作客到灰熊,灰熊禁區又硬又背負晉級壓力
小牛很有可能就放掉,因為輸掉還是可以拿第七種子(對戰灰熊3:1)
※ 編輯: paul51134 (118.165.12.36), 04/12/2014 15:04:13
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