[機統] 請教Dirichlet?
擲一硬幣 十次都是正面 問第十一次出現正面的機率
條件
1.every outcomes are independent
2.the coin is bias
小弟的高中數學直覺告訴我
硬幣出現正面的機率是多少,第十一次出現機率就是多少
但是某位高手學長卻說 不 答案是10/11
"這跟dirichlet principle有關"
想請教到底是為什麼呢?
或是有可能條件不足?
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 114.37.156.252
→
02/09 12:16, , 1F
02/09 12:16, 1F
推
02/09 12:18, , 2F
02/09 12:18, 2F
→
02/09 12:39, , 3F
02/09 12:39, 3F
→
02/09 12:40, , 4F
02/09 12:40, 4F
→
02/09 12:41, , 5F
02/09 12:41, 5F
→
02/09 12:42, , 6F
02/09 12:42, 6F
→
02/09 12:42, , 7F
02/09 12:42, 7F
→
02/09 12:43, , 8F
02/09 12:43, 8F
→
02/09 12:45, , 9F
02/09 12:45, 9F
→
02/09 12:48, , 10F
02/09 12:48, 10F
→
02/09 17:29, , 11F
02/09 17:29, 11F
→
02/09 17:44, , 12F
02/09 17:44, 12F
→
02/09 17:45, , 13F
02/09 17:45, 13F
→
02/09 17:53, , 14F
02/09 17:53, 14F
→
02/09 17:54, , 15F
02/09 17:54, 15F
→
02/09 17:54, , 16F
02/09 17:54, 16F
→
02/09 17:55, , 17F
02/09 17:55, 17F
→
02/09 17:57, , 18F
02/09 17:57, 18F
→
02/09 17:57, , 19F
02/09 17:57, 19F
→
02/09 18:23, , 20F
02/09 18:23, 20F
→
02/09 18:23, , 21F
02/09 18:23, 21F