[外電] 小熊怎麼能變得這麼燙

看板MLB作者fountainNess (秋本平吉千人將)時間8年前 (2015/08/27 00:32)推噓43(44推 1噓 5→)

留言50則, 49人參與討論串1/1

How did the Chicago Cubs get so hot? On July 28, the Chicago Cubs lost 7-2 to the Rockies as starter Dallas Beeler got knocked out in the second inning. The Cubs were 52-47. All things considered, it had been a successful season up to that point, as the young Cubbies were just 2.5 games behind the Giants for the second wild card. 七月28日,先發投手Dallsa Beeler兩局就被落磯KO,小熊以2-7輸掉那場比賽.當時小熊的戰績是52勝47負.考慮到所有方面,這已經是一個成功的球季,而年輕的熊兒在外卡二也只落後巨人2.5場勝差. Since then the Cubs have gone 20-4, the best record in the majors, and they entered Monday leading the Giants by six games for the second wild card. The Cubs have even reached out to season-ticket holders about purchasing playoff tickets. 那時之後,小熊拿到聯盟最佳的20勝4敗的成績,星期一時以6.5場勝差在外卡二領先巨人.小熊球團更開始跟季票持有者兜售季後賽門票. Let's see what has sparked this hot streak (stats don't include Monday's walk-off win): 讓我們來看看是什麼催生了這段高潮(數據不包含禮拜一的再見勝利): 1. Offense 1. 進攻 Through July 28, the Cubs were hitting .237 AVG/.314 OBP/.371 SLG and averaging 3.84 runs per game, ranking 10th in the NL in runs per game. Since then, they've hit .267/.347/.494 rank first in the NL in runs per game at 5.61. Rookie Kyle Schwarber has received a lot of attention during this stretch, and with good reason. He's hit .238/.354/.563 with eight home runs, 23 runs and 21 RBIs in the 22 games he's played, but he hasn't been the best Cubs hitter during the team's hot streak: 到七月28號為止,小熊的打擊三圍是.237/.314/.371,平均一場得3.84分排在國聯第十.之後 ,他們的打擊三圍躍升到.267/.347/.494,平均一場5.61分排名國聯第一.菜鳥Kyle Schwarber在這段時間以好表現受到許多關注.他在二十二場比賽中有.238/.354/.563的三圍,恐怖的是八支全壘打,23分得分和21分打點.儘管如此,他不是這段期間中小熊最好的打者: Anthony Rizzo -- .341/.433/.732, 9 HRs, 25 RBIs Dexter Fowler -- .315/.436/.629, 5 HRs, 21 runs Kris Bryant -- .308/.409/.560, 5 HRs, 15 RBIs Besides those three, Addison Russell has hit .305 while slugging .500; Miguel Montero has hit .289/.400/.632 in 12 games since returning from the DL; Chris Coghlan has hit four home runs; and Jorge Soler has hit .280 with 14 RBIs . It's been a team effort. 除了這三隻小熊,Addison Russell有.305的打擊率跟.500的長打率;傷癒歸隊十二戰的 Miguel Montero有.289/.400/.632的打擊三圍;Chris Coghlan打了四發長球;Jorge Soler 有.280的打擊率以及14分打點.我們可以說這是團隊的努力. 2. Pitching 2. 投手 Through July 28, the Cubs had a 3.51 ERA and ranked sixth in the NL with 3.87 runs allowed per game. Since then: 3.64 ERA and 3.78 runs allowed per game. While that ranks third in the league in that span, this hot streak has been sparked by the offense, not the pitching. Jake Arrieta is worth noting, however ; he was good up to July 28 but has been nearly unhittable in five starts since , going 4-0 with a 1.08 ERA and .169 batting average allowed. The late-inning relief also has been stellar, as Hector Rondon, Pedro Strop, Justin Grimm and Tommy Hunter have combined to allow just nine runs in 42 1/3 innings. 七月28號之前,小熊的團隊ERA是3.51,以平均每場失3.87分排名國聯第六.接下來是3.64ERA 跟平均每場失3.78分,在這段期間排名國聯第三,儘管如此我們認為是進攻引發了這段高潮. Jake Arrieta值得一提,他在七月28之前很好,但從那之後五場先發幾乎是打不到,4勝0敗, 1.08ERA跟.169的被打擊率.後援也相當突出,Hector Rondon, Pedro Strop, Justin Grimm 跟Tommy Hunter合計42又三分之一局只丟九分. 3. Defense 3. 防守 The big risk from manager Joe Maddon came on Aug. 7, when Montero returned. Schwarber had been filling in at catcher but moved to left field, a position he hadn't played all season in the minors. Left fielder Coghlan shifted to second base; while he had played there in the minors, he'd played only 7 2/3 innings there in his major league career. Second baseman Russell was moved back to his natural position of shortstop, with Starlin Castro going to the bench. Maddon likely was downgrading defensively at two positions while entrusting shortstop to a rookie. The Cubs have gone 12-3 since the lineup maneuverings. Joe Maddon在八月七號Miguel Montero傷癒歸隊時冒了很大的風險.他讓Schwarber移防到一個整季小聯盟沒守過的左外野.原左外野手Coghlan移轉到小聯盟曾經守過,大聯盟生涯只守7又三分之二局的二壘.二壘手Russell回到他的原守位游擊,同時Starlin Castro坐板凳. Maddon把游擊大關委託給菜鳥並讓兩個位置防守能力下降(LF,2B),但從調整打線之後小熊戰績是12勝3敗. The benefit here, however, is that the early returns suggest Russell will be a big defensive upgrade over Castro. He is already rated at plus-2 defensive runs saved compared to Castro's minus-6, helping offset the drop from Russell to Coghlan/Castro at second base. Schwarber is obviously in the lineup for his bat , but Coghlan was only average at best in left field, so while it's a drop-off in range, it's not like the Cubs had a Gold Glover in left to begin with. 好處是Russell對比Castro是很大的升級.他已經繳出正2的DRS,Castro是負6,中間的差距足以抵消二壘的降級.Schwarber很明顯是因為棒子才留在打線上,但由於Coghlan在左外野的防守只是平均水準,所以雖然防守範圍下降,但小熊一開始在左外野就不曾擁有金手套級防守. The other interesting note about the Cubs' defense is that Maddon hasn't shifted nearly as much as he did with Tampa Bay. The Rays were second in the majors in shifts in 2014 under Maddon, but the Cubs rank 24th in the majors in shifts this season, on pace for about 450 fewer shifts than the Rays had in 2014. National League teams in general shift far less than AL teams, so it may be a reflection of that, but it also may be a sign that the Cubs' front office doesn't hold shifting in the same regard as Tampa Bay's front office. 另外有趣的是Maddon並沒有像他之前在坦帕灣時下那麼多的shift.光芒上一季的shift排名大聯盟第二,但小熊本季只排名24.這可能反應到國聯球隊本身就不如美聯愛shift,但也可能是小熊高層本來就不像光芒這麼重視shift. 4. Luck/timing 4. 運氣/時間點 No surprise, this stretch has come largely against some bad teams: Yes, there were six games against the Giants (who the Cubs swept) and Pirates, but seven against the Brewers (without Carlos Gomez), four against the Braves, two against the David Price/Yoenis Cespedes-less Tigers and three against the White Sox. Against the Pirates, the Cubs faced J.A. Happ and Jeff Locke instead of Gerrit Cole and Francisco Liriano. Chicago missed Madison Bumgarner in the Giants series. The loss against the White Sox did come against Chris Sale. 這段期間小熊遇到很多弱隊:的確有三場面對巨人(小熊掃了他們)和三場對海盜,但有七場遇到沒有Carlos Gomez的釀酒人(少Gomez好像沒差很多XD),四場面對勇士,兩場面對沒有 David Price/Yoenis Cespedes的老虎跟三場面對白襪.對上海盜時,對面先發不是Gerrit Cole跟Francisco Liriano而是J.A. Happ跟Jeff Locke.對上巨人時也躲掉Madison Bumgarner.對上白襪時倒是輸給Chris Sale. Anyway, after Monday's makeup against Cleveland, the schedule gets a little tougher, starting Tuesday with a big road trip to San Francisco and Los Angeles . The Cubs can almost put the San Fran away in the wild-card race with a sweep or even by taking two out of three. They still have two series left with the wild-card leading Pirates and two with the Cardinals, who lead the Central. 無論如何,禮拜一對上克里夫蘭之後,小熊的賽程會硬一點,從禮拜二開始到舊金山跟洛杉磯的客場長征.小熊如果能橫掃老人或拿下系列賽勝利的話就能把舊金山踢得離外卡二更遠. 他們也還要在跟外卡領先者海盜打兩個系列賽以及國中王者紅雀打兩個. Overall, the Cubs' playoff odds look strong -- 95 percent, according to FanGraphs. They may not get a playoff game at Wrigley since they could end up playing the wild-card game in Pittsburgh or St. Louis, but maybe Cubs season-ticket holders should go ahead and order those playoff tickets. The impending Cubs' dynasty apparently has arrived a year early. 整體來講,小熊很有機會進季後賽-根據FanGraphs是95%.他們可能沒辦法拿到外卡主場優勢 ,但小熊季票持有者應該要去預購季後賽門票.即將到來的小熊王朝顯然提早一年降臨了. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 讓大家了解一下小熊為何這麼旺,果然實力之外還是有運氣希望接下來潮水不會退,繼續穿著Cruz 2015小熊拿冠軍！(反正我支持的蛇蛇不太可能衝擊季後賽) 然後看看老大跟Arrieta(還有Maddon)能不能拿個個人獎~ -fountainness -- AJP 2015 Arizona Diamondbacks 亞利桑那響尾蛇 Inciarte Peralta RDLR Chafin Ahmed ◇ Owings C.Anderson Hudson Tomas/Lamb ◇ ◇ Goldschmidt Hellickson Ziegler ◇ Ray Delgado Castillo Corbin Reed -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 123.193.214.219 ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/MLB/M.1440606741.A.DBF.html

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Dimitre

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