[外電] 交易大限先發投手篇

看板MLB作者iwillloveyou (darren79525)時間12年前 (2012/07/12 20:32)推噓24(24推 0噓 13→)

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全文請見 : http://tinyurl.com/c3l4to4 Potentially Available Starting Pitchers Starting pitching is in demand every summer. And as fans of Doug Fister and the 2011 Tigers know, it’s not always the biggest names that have the biggest second-half impact. Teams are now navigating the trade deadline under a new collective bargaining agreement, and for the first time in decades clubs cannot obtain compensatory draft picks if players acquired midseason depart as free agents. There’s been some speculation that this rule change will mean lowered asking prices for top players. After all, why would a team surrender top prospects for a player who could disappear without a trace a few months later? It’s a fair question, but there’s still reason to believe top players will cost top prospects. Imagine for a minute that you’re a general manager calling up Doug Melvin of the Brewers about Zack Greinke. You say ‘Hi Doug, we’d like to acquire your ace right-hander, but the CBA changed so we’re going to scale our proposal back and offer a couple B and C prospects. That OK?’ Melvin could then say ‘Thanks, but no thanks. I’ll wait it out and get draft picks next year. Good luck having replacement level pitchers in your rotation for the next two months.’ Within a few weeks we’ll know how the trade deadline will affect the value of top pitchers. Until then, here’s a look at which pitchers will -- or might -- be available between now and the upcoming trade deadline: 每年夏天 , 各隊都有補強先發投手的需要。但未必交易來市場上大夥注目焦點的明星先發(像 Ubaldo Jimenez), 就能夠在交易後的下半季對球隊造成重大的影響 , 這其中又以 Doug Fister 和大貓的球迷感觸特別深了。 ( ---------------------> 感謝 leddy大更正 ) 球隊們正在經歷一個全新的 CBA 施行下的交易大限 , 這是幾十年球團第一次不能夠藉由球季中交易來的球員成為自由球員而得到選秀權。有一些傳言說這樣的規則將會導致許多頂級球員的要價大幅下滑。畢竟 , 為什麼一個球團要為了一個可能會在幾個後 (進入自由市場) 消失的球員付出一些頂級的潛力新秀呢? 這是一個很公平的問題 , 但還是有理由充分相信若是要得到頂級的球員 , 必須付出頂級的潛力新秀。想像這個畫面一分鐘 , 你是一個正在聯絡酒鬼的 GM Doug Melvin 討論有關Z魔神的交易案的總經理。你這麼說 " 嗨 , Doug , 我們很想要得到你的王牌右投手 ,但由於 CBA 的改變 , 我們將會把之前說好的新秀拿回來 , 並改拿出一些比較差的新秀來當包裹 , 這樣可以嗎 ? " Melvin 接下來會這麼說 " 喔 , 很感謝但是你去吃屎吧 ! 我會等到球季結束後再拿幾個選秀權回來。祝你好運( ￣ c￣)y▂ξ 接下來的兩個月得用那些 replacement level 的投手填補你的先發輪值。 " 接下來的星期內 , 我們就會知道交易大限將會如何影響頂級投手的價值。在那之前 , 先來看一下那些現在到交易截止日之間可能 / 一定能交易的先發投手吧 : 名單 : Cole Hamels, Phillies - Hamels is one of the best pitchers in the game. Though he's just 28, he has a seven-year history of success in a major market, including a World Series MVP award. Hamels has the potential to improve some team’s rotation dramatically and demand will reflect that upside if the Phillies make him available. 黑魔使 , 費城人黑魔使是球賽裡最棒的投手之一。雖然他才剛滿 28 歲 , 但是他已經擁有七年輝煌的成功經歷了 , 包括一座世界冠軍賽的 MVP 。如果費城人讓他變成可交易的 , 黑魔使有那個能力讓一些球隊的先發輪值大幅進步 , 輪值的提升會立刻反映出球隊對他的需要。 Zack Greinke, Brewers - If you go by the numbers, Greinke's just as desirable as Greinke. However, some teams question Greinke's ability to thrive in the spotlight. Still, the right-hander has the potential to make a team’s front office look really smart. Z魔神 , 酒鬼如果你去看他的數據 , Z魔神表現的就像一如往常般的理想 , 一些球隊質疑他在鎂光燈的焦點下是否能夠繼續維持如此好的表現。即便如此 , 這位右投手有能力讓球隊高層 ( 把他得到手的行為 ) 看起來像個天才。 Matt Garza, Cubs - Garza's 4.32 ERA is pretty ordinary, but he’s still a tremendously valuable trade chip for the Cubs. Unlike Greinke and Hamels, Garza's controllable through 2013. He has succeeded in the AL East and his peripheral stats remain strong. Matt Garza , 百年他的成績 4.32 ERA 使他看起來相當普通 , 但對於百年來說他依舊是一個非常具有交易價值的籌碼。不像黑魔使或 Z魔神 , 球隊可以持有他到2013年。他已經證明過他可以在美東競爭 , 而且他的周邊數據仍是相當不錯的。 Wandy Rodriguez, Astros - Rodriguez has a 3.38 ERA through 18 starts, but his salary could be an obstacle for some clubs. The left-hander will earn $10MM in 2012, $13MM in 2013 and, potentially, $13MM in 2014 (the team’s ’14 option becomes a player option following a trade). However, the Astros showed that they’re willing to absorb salary if it means a chance at obtaining better prospects when they dealt Carlos Lee to the Marlins. 霸主 , 太色人霸主在 18 場先發中繳出 3.38 ERA 的表現 , 但他的薪水對一些球隊來說 , 會是阻礙。這位左投手在 2012 年的薪水是 1000萬美 , 2013 則是 1300萬 , 並有可能在 2014 年依舊是 1300萬 ( 2014 年的球隊選擇權在交易過後會變成球員選擇權 ) 。但 , 若是意味著能夠的得到較好的新秀 , 太色人願意吸收一部份的薪資 , 就像前不久將黑肥交易到馬林魚的交易案一樣。 Ryan Dempster, Cubs - Dempster, who has an NL-best 1.99 ERA, should draw lots of interest as a mid-season trade candidate. The Cubs seem willing to absorb some of his $14MM salary to facilitate a deal. Ryan Dempster , 百年 Dempster , 擁有在國家聯盟最優秀的 1.99 ERA , 身為一個賽季中期的交易候選人 , 他會吸引到一狗票的興趣。百年願意吃下他的部分薪資來促成他的交易。 Shaun Marcum, Brewers - Marcum, now on the disabled list, is on track to hit free agency this offseason. He has a 3.39 ERA with 8.4 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 through 82 1/3 innings in Milwaukee. Shaen Marcum , 酒鬼正在傷兵名單中的 Marcum , 將在今年休賽季衝擊自由市場。他在酒鬼的 82 1/3 局中 , 繳出了 3.39 ERA 和 8.4 K/9 . 2.8 BB/9 的成績。 Paul Maholm, Cubs - Maholm could appeal to teams looking to add back-of-the-rotation depth. His contract includes a $6.5MM option for 2013. 馬宏 , 百年他會吸引想要增加一點後段先發投手輪值深度的球隊。他的合約還包括 2013 年的 650 萬美選項。 ( 球隊選擇權 ) Randy Wolf, Brewers - Wolf's trade value would be limited by his 5.80 ERA and $9.5MM salary. 沃夫 , 酒鬼沃夫的交易價值會因為悽慘的成績 5.80 ERA 和昂貴薪資 950萬美給限制住。 Jeremy Guthrie, Rockies - Guthrie’s trade value may be at an all-time low following three disappointing months in Denver. Jeremy Guthrie 由於這三個月在丹佛的淒慘表現 , Guthrie 的交易價值都會停在低點。 Edinson Volquez and Clayton Richard could be available, but there’s no reason for the Padres to trade such controllable, young arms without obtaining a remarkable package in return. Edinsin Volquez . Clayton Richard , 教士除非的到一個非常棒的包裹 , 沒道理教士要把這兩個年輕、在球團掌控下可以廉價使用好幾年的投手交易掉。 Jason Vargas, Mariners - Vargas is similar pitcher to Wandy Rodriguez, but he's younger and less expensive, as I explained last month. Jason Vargas , 水手 Vargas 就像霸主的年輕 + 廉價版。 Kevin Millwood, Mariners - Millwood, 37, has a 3.69 ERA with 6.9 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 90 1/3 innings with Seattle. He earns $1MM and will hit free agency after the season. Kevin Millwood , 水手 37 歲的他 , 在水手的 90 1/3 局中投出 3.69 ERA 和 6.9 K/9 . 3.5 BB/9 的成績。他薪資是 100萬美 , 並將在球季後進入自由市場成為自由球員。 Despite the annual speculation surrounding Felix Hernandez, there’s no indication he’s truly available. 別再想得到國王了 , 沒有跡象顯示他是真的能被交易到的。 Bartolo Colon, Athletics - Colon, 39, is the player the Athletics are most likely to trade, according to Ken Rosenthal. The righty has a 3.80 ERA with 5.4 K/9 and 1.5 BB/9 through 104 1/3 innings. Bartolo Colon , 綠帽根據 Ken Rosenthal 說的 , 39歲的 Colon , 是綠帽最想要交易掉的球員。這位右投手在 104 1/3 局中繳出 3.80 ERA 和 5.4 K/9 . 1.5 BB/9 的成績。 Brandon McCarthy, Athletics - The A's would reportedly consider offers for McCarthy, a prospective free agent who has a 2.54 ERA with 6.0 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9. He's now on the 15-day disabled list. Brandon McCarthy , 綠帽綠帽被報導說在考慮給他一個新合約 , McCarthy 未來的自由球員有著 2.54 ERA 和 6.0 K/9 . 2.2 BB/9 的表現。他現在被放進 15天傷兵名單中。 Brian Matusz, Orioles - Matusz appears to be a trade chip for the Orioles. He's now in the minor leagues after posting a 5.42 ERA through 16 starts in Baltimore. Brian Matsuz , 金鳥 Matusz 似乎是金鳥的交易籌碼。在十六場先發繳出 5.42 ERA 的成績後 , 他就被踢回小聯盟了。 Francisco Liriano, Twins - Liriano, a free agent after the season, has pitched well since returning to the rotation. Still, clubs are wary of trading for the left-hander, whose walk rate remains high. Francisco Liriano , 雙城即將在今年球季結束成為自由球員的他 . 再回到先發輪值後投得很不錯。但球隊仍舊非常想把這位保送率高的左投手他送走。 -- Andy Eugene Pettitte LHP NYY / HOU Ht : 6-5 Wt : 225lb 3 x All Star 1 x ALCSMVP 5 x World Series Champions NYY (14 yrs) 206W 115L .642 W-L% ERA 3.97 2594.1IP 1882K 835BB ERA+ 115 HOU ( 3 yrs) 37W 26L .587 W-L% ERA 3.38 519.2IP 428K 142BB ERA+ 129 TOTAL(17yrs) 243W 141L .633 W-L% ERA 3.87 2594.1IP 2310K 977BB ERA+ 117 Postseason 19W 10L 42GS ERA 3.83 263IP 173K 72BB to be continued -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 114.27.96.225

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