[閒聊] Albert Pujols

看板MLB作者 (暗坑大豆)時間12年前 (2012/04/25 10:52), 編輯推噓31(34推 3噓 24→)
留言61則, 50人參與, 最新討論串1/3 (看更多)
http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/wainwright-and-pujols-rough-starts/ Albert has not been living up to his expectation so far this season. Looking over his stats, two values stick out as potential areas of concern, his walk rate and power. Currently Albert has a career low 7.1% BB%. It is less than half of what it was just 2 years ago. It might seem that this value is not much of a concern because he is not being intentionally walked as much. Albert has been intentionally walked 3.3% of the time over his career. By subtracting out the intentional walks and the non-intentional intentional walks (IBBump), here are his walk rates and corrected walk rates over the past 5 years: Year: BB%, corrected BB% 2008: 16%, 8% 2009: 16%, 7% 2010: 15%, 7% 2011: 9%, 6% 2012: 7%, 3% (2 of his 5 BB have been IBB) His corrected BB% was similar from 2008 to 2011. This season it has been cut in half. He is definitely not being walked as much. A reason he may be seeing more strikes is that pitchers don’t fear him as much as they did in the past because of a lack of power (0 HRs in 2012). Here are his ISOs from 2009 to 2012: Year: ISO 2009: 0.331 2010: 0.284 2011: 0.242 2012: 0.108 It would be nice to have Hit FX data to see exactly if he has been hitting the ball weaker or in the air more. GameDay data, while not perfect, does give us some clues that he is just not getting as much distance behind his hits. Here are his 2011 and 2012 batted ball locations from texasleaguers.com: 兩張圖 So far in 2012, Albert has not even put a ball near the warning track. To further illustrate the point, here are the average distances of his fly balls and home runs from 2010 to 2012 as taken from baseballheatmaps.com: Year: Distance 2010: 313 ft 2011: 303 ft 2012: 275 ft One possible explanation for the drop in power this season is that he is not yet familiar with the pitchers in the AL. MGL over at The Book Blog looked at how hitters and pitchers did once they became more familiar with each other. Here is his conclusion: .. there is a large advantage to the batter when he has faced a pitcher a lot in the last year. Albert should expect to hit better as he becomes more familiar with the pitchers in the AL. Albert is displaying a lack of power that has been trending down the last few years. On top of the power decline, he is not walking as much even when IBB are taken into account. I would not recommend selling on him just yet. He should see an increase in production as he becomes more familiar with AL pitching. It might be a time to see if his owners are getting impatient with him and try to buy low. -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 111.248.74.212
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04/25 10:53, , 1F
竟然沒翻 等等zkow來說教啦
04/25 10:53, 1F
推
04/25 10:54, , 2F
退化了T________T
04/25 10:54, 2F
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04/25 10:54, , 3F
你是不是排擠英文不好的板友
04/25 10:54, 3F
推
04/25 10:54, , 4F
你沒翻 完了 等等ZKOW又要說話了
04/25 10:54, 4F
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04/25 10:55, , 5F
你沒翻 zkow有看到
04/25 10:55, 5F
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04/25 10:55, , 6F
等等就有人說你排斥英文不佳的板友(攤手)
04/25 10:55, 6F
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04/25 10:55, , 7F
結論：美聯比較__
04/25 10:55, 7F
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04/25 10:56, , 8F
慘了慘了 這樣會不會因為ZKOW 導致你被桶呢
04/25 10:56, 8F
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04/25 10:56, , 9F
國聯比較_______
04/25 10:56, 9F
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04/25 10:56, , 10F
你沒翻 zkow有看到
04/25 10:56, 10F
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04/25 10:57, , 11F
你沒翻 zkow有看到
04/25 10:57, 11F
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04/25 10:58, , 12F
這作者是投過AS的那位嗎？XD
04/25 10:58, 12F
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04/25 10:58, , 13F
蠻無聊的，這是版風問題，請不要拿我來造成原PO壓力
04/25 10:58, 13F
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04/25 10:59, , 14F
你幻想的板風喔
04/25 10:59, 14F
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04/25 11:00, , 15F
我不講了，無端惹塵埃
04/25 11:00, 15F
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04/25 11:00, , 16F
可能是他活在另外一個PTT 也說不定
04/25 11:00, 16F
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04/25 11:00, , 17F
哈哈，因為某人又要被鎖文了嗎?
04/25 11:00, 17F
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04/25 11:00, , 18F
板主出手 就知有沒有
04/25 11:00, 18F
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04/25 11:04, , 19F
zkow條款要出來桶人了嗎xD
04/25 11:04, 19F
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04/25 11:07, , 20F
哈 果然沒人討論 這就是這裡的版風吧
04/25 11:07, 20F
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04/25 11:07, , 21F
我再呼籲一次，請不要針對本人推文而淹蓋了本文的討論 謝謝
04/25 11:07, 21F
噓
04/25 11:10, , 22F
某樓壞了這篇文章的討論
04/25 11:10, 22F
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04/25 11:10, , 23F
沒傷的話早晚會調整回來的
04/25 11:10, 23F
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04/25 11:11, , 24F
早晚會調整回來的
04/25 11:11, 24F
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04/25 11:15, , 25F
某樓不要出來推文，這篇就不會出問題了阿 XD
04/25 11:15, 25F
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04/25 11:18, , 26F
z尻:超爽的 又有一堆人陪我聊天了 彌補我空虛的心靈~>///<
04/25 11:18, 26F
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04/25 11:21, , 27F
剛換聯盟 再給多點時間吧
04/25 11:21, 27F
※ 編輯: searoar 來自: 111.248.74.212 (04/25 11:24)
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04/25 11:31, , 28F
某個人就別在那假了.....
04/25 11:31, 28F
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04/25 11:33, , 29F
阿不就有人仗著有板主罩愛出來亂╮(╯_╰)╭
04/25 11:33, 29F
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04/25 11:39, , 30F
下滑好多喔~ 大約還很長-..-
04/25 11:39, 30F
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04/25 12:04, , 31F
有人會說:球季還長，等季末再來看吧!
04/25 12:04, 31F
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04/25 12:05, , 32F
球季結束後，有人會說:合約還很長，等約滿再來看吧
04/25 12:05, 32F
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04/25 12:15, , 33F
不爽不要講 XDD
04/25 12:15, 33F
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04/25 12:16, , 34F
我走錯版了嗎? 這裡是國小生來的地方?
04/25 12:16, 34F
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04/25 12:18, , 35F
看這標題以為普砲開彰張了
04/25 12:18, 35F
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04/25 12:18, , 36F
溫馨 大家只在乎版友 不在乎普神
04/25 12:18, 36F
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04/25 12:22, , 37F
才打沒多久而已急躁什麼
04/25 12:22, 37F
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04/25 12:23, , 38F
有米老鼠在 誰來都一樣
04/25 12:23, 38F
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04/25 13:10, , 39F
有好心版友願意幫翻譯嗎 感謝
04/25 13:10, 39F
噓
04/25 13:15, , 40F
逢普必噓 天使真的簽錯了
04/25 13:15, 40F
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04/25 13:43, , 41F
十年風險本來就很大　不過時間還長　就繼續看下去吧
04/25 13:43, 41F
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04/25 13:48, , 42F
過兩個月又回火星 大家又在那邊普神普神的叫了= =
04/25 13:48, 42F
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04/25 13:51, , 43F
去年簽約前好像有人勸他呆在紅雀的原因就是
04/25 13:51, 43F
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04/25 13:52, , 44F
"打得再鳥球迷也不會酸爆你" ...
04/25 13:52, 44F
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04/25 13:54, , 45F
好幼稚的推文 真的覺得時間還早
04/25 13:54, 45F
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04/25 13:58, , 46F
兩個月的 Who is Hot就夠了 XD
04/25 13:58, 46F
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04/25 14:26, , 47F
拿爽約了
04/25 14:26, 47F
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04/25 14:49, , 48F
美聯球隊要慎簽在國聯刷數據的球員^^
04/25 14:49, 48F
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04/25 14:50, , 49F
在這個時間點,其實Angels還蠻暗爽在心裡的就是...
04/25 14:50, 49F
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04/25 14:50, , 50F
再打一個月再說啦
04/25 14:50, 50F
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04/25 14:51, , 51F
不過這季如果很鳥的話 國聯大概會被酸到爆吧
04/25 14:51, 51F
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04/25 15:05, , 52F
您為何要這麼急咧
04/25 15:05, 52F
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04/25 15:10, , 53F
別忘了去年紅雀最後一刻壓低價格他才會跑去天使的...
04/25 15:10, 53F
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04/25 15:12, , 54F
哦..我少打了一個字....
04/25 15:12, 54F
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04/25 15:12, , 55F
在這個時間點,其實Angels fan 還蠻暗爽在心裡的就是...
04/25 15:12, 55F
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04/25 15:30, , 56F
zkow:請不要因本人ID而廢了整篇文章
04/25 15:30, 56F
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04/25 16:22, , 57F
國聯王
04/25 16:22, 57F
噓
04/25 16:26, , 58F
MLB版應該改名叫英檢版才對 不會英文的活該去死囉?
04/25 16:26, 58F
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04/25 17:21, , 59F
抱歉 本版只看得懂英文
04/25 17:21, 59F
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04/25 17:56, , 60F
股狗lai先生就知道..嗯，不意外。
04/25 17:56, 60F
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04/25 19:43, , 61F
才剛開季沒多久 急什麼 另外推樓上
04/25 19:43, 61F
‣ 更多 searoar 的文章
文章代碼(AID): #1FbsSA_u (MLB)
‣ 更多 searoar 的文章
文章代碼(AID): #1FbsSA_u (MLB)